The Pricing Blog by Omnia Retail
17.09.2024
17 Winning Pricing Strategies in e-Commerce
Setting the right price for your e-commerce products is like playing a game with extremely high stakes, no clear rules and ultra-intense competition. Choose the right price over time and you can win over your target...
Setting the right price for your e-commerce products is like playing a game with extremely high stakes, no clear rules and ultra-intense competition. Choose the right price over time and you can win over your target customers, creating loyal buyers who keep your business growing for years to come. Choose the wrong price and everything could go south, quick. So, how can e-commerce merchants choose the right pricing strategy or combination of strategies? In this comprehensive guide, Omnia covers 17 common pricing strategies in e-commerce and offers some advice for finding the right action plan for your business. What are e-commerce pricing strategies? E-commerce pricing strategies are approaches used by online businesses to determine, adjust and maintain the prices of their products or services over time. Strategies should take into account the company’s revenue goals, production costs, and other KPIs like customer lifetime value (CLV) and average order value (AOV). What is the difference between a pricing strategy and pricing rule? A pricing strategy is the high-level concept behind pricing decisions and policies, while a pricing rule is goal-oriented and about the actual execution of that strategy. Perhaps a retailer chooses a premium pricing strategy, where they price a product higher than market average, in order to increase the perceived value; for example, pricing a black chair higher than the average of all black chairs. The pricing rule in this case is the concrete translation of a price formula for a product or product group. In the Omnia platform, this would mean: New price = Market average price x 1.2 So, the price will be calculated and set to be 20% higher than the market average that day. With Omnia, this can be also combined with conditions, filters and more. The complexity of a rule is limitless. All your Pricing Strategies in one overview with Omnia's Pricing Software Request a free demo Top pricing strategies for retail and e-commerce There are endless examples of pricing strategies in e-commerce, so we compiled a list of 17 common types of pricing strategies below: 1. Dynamic pricing Dynamic pricing is a pricing strategy where companies or stores continuously adjust prices during the day to optimise margins and increase sales. The strategy applies variable prices rather than fixed prices, meaning they don’t have to decide on a set price for a season, but can instead adapt to the ever-changing market. It is important to note that although the two strategies are often confused, dynamic pricing differs significantly from personalised pricing, which focuses on the behaviours of an individual consumer and adjusts product pricing based on their past shopping experience. 2. Premium pricing Businesses using a premium pricing strategy want to keep their pricing levels higher than the competition. This can be paired with messaging and branding that shows customers why the higher price is justified. For a premium pricing strategy to work, sellers usually have to have some combination of a strong brand image, unique offerings or innovative product attributes. Examples of companies with a premium pricing strategy include Rolex, Apple and luxury fashion brands like Louis Vuitton and Chanel. 3. Competitive pricing One of the more common pricing strategies in e-commerce is competitive pricing, where sellers set their prices based on the prices of competitors. Competitive pricing is most often used by businesses operating in competitive markets or one with fairly similar products and little differentiation, as all sellers are then trying to win over the same customers. A competitive pricing strategy does not always indicate undercutting the competition, but rather setting prices in relation to competitors; this could mean setting product prices lower, higher or the same as competing sellers. Running a competitive pricing strategy with manual research can take a significant amount of time and is challenging in today’s fast-paced e-commerce environment. To make price adjustments for listings in real time, most companies use some type of Dynamic Pricing software. 4. Value-based pricing Value-based pricing, sometimes called value-added pricing or perceived value pricing, is a powerful strategy that requires a deep understanding of the market and of the value your products offer to potential customers. Sellers can use value-based pricing to shape how consumers perceive your product. Want to position yourself as a luxury brand, or to be the best value-for-money option? Price accordingly. Implementing value-based pricing demands extensive research into your target market and what the competition is doing, as well as reflection on and alignment with your business objectives. It will require collaborative effort across the organisation, but can create a very cohesive and effective pricing strategy. 5. Price discrimination Price discrimination, also called price differentiation or differential pricing, is a strategy employed by e-commerce companies to maximise profits by charging different prices to different customers for the same product or service, based on characteristics of the customer. The objective is to extract the maximum amount of consumer surplus and capture additional revenue based on individual customers' willingness to pay. To use this strategy, sellers make use of their vast amounts of customer data, including browsing history, purchase patterns, demographic information and geographic location. This data is leveraged to segment customers into different groups based on their preferences, behaviour and purchasing power. Once customer segments are identified, prices can be tailored to each segment's characteristics. For example, customers who have shown a higher willingness to pay in the past may be charged a higher price, while price-sensitive customers may be offered discounts or promotions to encourage purchases. The success of price discrimination in e-commerce relies heavily on sophisticated data analysis and algorithmic pricing systems. By leveraging customer data and market conditions, companies can optimise their pricing strategies to increase revenue and overall profitability. However, it is important to note that price discrimination can also raise concerns about fairness, privacy and potential consumer backlash if implemented in a way that is perceived as discriminatory or exploitative. 6. Odd-even pricing Odd-even pricing falls under the category of psychological pricing strategies and taps into the psychology of numbers to influence consumer behaviour. Odd prices, like €5.99, are commonly used, but even prices, like €6.00, have their own psychological impact. This strategy can be employed in various ways, from offering strategic discounts to trying to create a memorable price point. For example, take a look at the difference between how luxury jewellery brand Tiffany & Co uses even pricing and more affordable brand Kay Jewellers uses odd pricing. Customers coming to Tiffany & Co. are looking for luxury items and are likely less price sensitive, so the company uses even pricing. Shoppers on the Kay Jewellers website may be more interested in finding a deal, so many of their prices use odd pricing and end in .99 or .95. 7. Charm pricing Charm pricing, also called psychological pricing, is similar to odd-even pricing, as it leverages pricing to evoke an emotional response and prompt action. This strategy is often observed in late-night infomercials, where potential buyers can be swayed by a price ending in “.99” or “.95” to make an impulse purchase. But infomercials aren’t the only place charm pricing is seen; many retailers use elements of this pricing strategy. There are a number of theories for why charm pricing is so effective: A perception of loss: This is when consumers value a product based on the loss they feel without it rather than the gain. In the Western world, most consumers read prices from left to right, so there is a high likelihood of grasping the first number as an anchor. Under this theory, that’s why €599 would feel so different from €600, even though there is only a separation of €1. A perception of gain: On the other side, perhaps consumers feel they have gained something, i.e. saved money, when they see an example of charm pricing. If the higher price of €600 is the anchor, then the lower price of €599 means you gained something and saved €1. This theory pairs well with the .99 or .95 pricing, which may make a consumer think they’re getting a discount. Specificity: With a charm pricing strategy, the price of an item is so specific that it can trigger a psychological response of customers believing it must be priced at the correct value. This is especially relevant if pricing is fractional, meaning it ends in a cent value. Example: Uniqlo Although the apparel brand rarely has sales, they signify to customers that they are getting a good deal by ending almost every price in “-9.90” or “-4.90”. 8. Bundle pricing Bundle pricing, also called product bundle pricing, is a strategy companies use to sell more items with higher margins while giving customers a discount for increasing the size of their order. Products are “bundled” so customers receive several different products as a package deal, costing them less than it would have if they made separate purchases of the included products. This incentivises purchases by creating higher perceived value and cost savings. E-commerce companies typically select complementary or related products and combine them into bundles to encourage larger purchases, increase average order value and enhance customer satisfaction. By offering discounted bundle prices, companies can attract price-sensitive customers, drive sales of slower-moving products and create a competitive advantage in the market. 9. Promotional pricing A promotional pricing strategy in e-commerce involves offering temporary price reductions or discounts on products or services to create urgency, stimulate sales and attract customers. The primary goals are usually to increase sales volume, clear out excess inventory, introduce new products or gain a competitive advantage. Promotional pricing can take various forms, such as percentage discounts, buy-one-get-one (BOGO) offers, limited-time sales, flash sales, coupon codes or free shipping. These promotions can be advertised or offered through any channel, from email marketing and social media to online ads or on-site banners. 10. Predatory pricing A predatory pricing strategy in e-commerce refers to a practice where a company deliberately sets extremely low prices for its products or services with the intention of driving competitors out of the market or deterring new entrants. By selling products at a loss or below cost for an extended period, the predatory pricer aims to eliminate competition and subsequently raise prices once competitors have been forced out. Predatory pricing is often considered anticompetitive and is illegal in many jurisdictions as it violates antitrust laws created for consumer protection and to ensure market competition is fair. 11. Penetration pricing A penetration pricing strategy is often employed by online sellers and business owners to attract customers to new products being brought to market. It involves offering an initial lower price than competitors to entice more buyers to purchase. The goal is to secure market share, undercut established sellers in the market and attract new customers who will remain loyal, even after prices are adjusted back up. For this e-commerce pricing strategy to succeed, however, there must be a high demand for the product. Without a significant market, penetration pricing becomes less effective. It's also important to make the price increases gradually to avoid competitors implementing their own penetration pricing tactics and stealing customers. Businesses employing a penetration pricing strategy will need price monitoring software to track and analyse average market prices over a set time period, then use the data to calculate introductory pricing. 12. Price skimming With a price skimming strategy, the product is initially priced high and then reduced later on, rather than starting with a low price like penetration pricing strategies. This approach aims to maximise short-term profits and segment customers based on how much they are willing to pay, and is often used for innovative products and products with high demand. The top level of customers, the most loyal ones, will buy at high prices. The seller can then continue accommodating new levels of potential customers by gradually lowering (“skimming”) the price. This practice continues until it reaches the base price. Price skimming can be a great way to quickly generate revenue and even break even with a lower number of sales, but companies must be able to rationalise the high price point, especially if the market is saturated and customers have other low-priced alternatives to choose from. One real-world example of a price skimming strategy is Samsung. When a new mobile phone release is planned and demand is high, the price is set higher to bring in more revenue and capture market share and attention from competitors like Apple. The newest model above, for example, retails for as much as €1.819,00 to start. After the demand and hype lessens, the company skims the price back down to reach more customers. Samsung Galaxy phones, for example, are priced to capture share from the iPhone. 13. Price optimisation Price optimisation is a practice used in most e-commerce businesses that involves analysing data from customers and the market to calculate and set the optimal price for a product. The objective is to find the ideal price point to attract customers and maximise sales and profits. The types of data used can range from demographics and survey data to historic sales and inventory. Pricing optimisation is similar to dynamic pricing, but while the former can be more of a long-term process, the latter is built more for rapid change and adjusts pricing based on real-time data. 14. Surge pricing Surge pricing is a pricing strategy that temporarily increases prices in response to high demand and limited supply. It is used in many industries, from hospitality and tourism to entertainment and retail. Here are three common types of surge pricing: Time-based: Adjusts prices based on the time of day or during special events and expected or real-time high demand periods. For example, online retailers raise prices between 9 AM and 5 PM when customers shop online during office hours, as well as during large, industry-relevant events, like the Olympics for sporting goods sellers. Weather-based: Incorporates weather forecasts to determine pricing decisions. When favourable weather conditions are expected, prices are increased. For instance, if the weather forecast promises good conditions for the summer, prices for beach goods, summer apparel and BBQs can be raised in anticipation of higher demand. Location-based: Adjusts prices based on the geographical location of the buyer. It is often observed in crowded cities or areas with high-income populations, where customers have a higher willingness to pay. Additionally, surge pricing may be used in places with above-average shipping costs, resulting in higher prices. 15. Loss-leader pricing Loss leader pricing, often used as part of a penetration pricing strategy, involves intentionally selling certain products at a loss to attract customers and stimulate additional sales of other higher-margin products. The purpose is to entice customers with attractive prices on popular or essential items, with the hope or expectation that they will make additional purchases of complementary or higher-priced items. While the initial product may be sold at a loss, the strategy aims to generate profits through the sale of accompanying products or services. Effective implementation requires careful product selection, pricing analysis and understanding of customer behaviour to ensure the overall profitability of the business. 16. Honeymoon pricing Like penetration pricing, honeymoon pricing sets the initial product price low during launch to attract customers. This strategy is common in subscription models, where a low-priced starter offer entices customers who must then be retained. Retaining customers in this model can be achievable, however, since switching providers may be expensive or require too high a level of customer effort. 17. Yield pricing Yield pricing is a pricing strategy most often seen in the aviation and hotel industries. It involves pricing differently depending on when the customer makes the purchase. Airline seats, for example, are priced based on where you are in the booking period: Booking earlier gets customers a lower price, while late bookings are at a higher price point. This enables those airlines to avoid empty seats and lost profits. How to find the right pricing strategy for your e-commerce business Choosing the right e-commerce pricing strategy requires careful analysis and consideration, and it’s worth noting that most sellers use some combination of strategies. Here are five key steps to guide your research and discussions as you build your pricing strategy: Understand your market and customers: Conduct research to gain insights into customer preferences and market dynamics. Analyse costs and profit margins: Evaluate expenses and calculate desired profit margins to assess feasibility. Consider your business goals and value proposition: Align pricing with your objectives and unique value proposition. Test, monitor, and adapt your strategy: Implement and continuously evaluate your pricing approach to optimise results. Stay agile and regularly evaluate pricing against competitors: Keep an eye on the market and adjust pricing as needed to remain competitive. Over time, pricing strategies must adapt and evolve, both to keep up in the market and to meet the needs of the brand and product assortment. As you build, implement and execute your pricing strategies, Omnia Retail can seamlessly automate any strategy you choose, blending any combination of rules with advanced Machine Learning and AI algorithms. Learn more about our revolutionary and intuitive approach to Dynamic Pricing here. What is Price Monitoring?: Check out everything you need to know about price comparison and price monitoring. What is Charm Pricing?: A short introduction to a fun pricing method. What is Penetration Pricing?: A guide on how to get noticed when first entering a new market. What is Bundle Pricing?: Learn more about the benefits of a bundle pricing strategy. What is Cost Plus Pricing?: In this article, we’ll cover cost-plus pricing and show you when it makes sense to use this strategy. What is Price Skimming?: Learn how price skimming can help you facilitate a higher return on early investments.
17 Winning Pricing Strategies in e-Commerce19.04.2024
Reflecting on Price Points Live: Lessons for e-commerce in 2024
It’s been a few weeks since Europe’s e-commerce and pricing event of the year, produced and hosted by Omnia Retail, took Amsterdam by storm at the modern Capital C building in early March. Our invited guests were on the...
It’s been a few weeks since Europe’s e-commerce and pricing event of the year, produced and hosted by Omnia Retail, took Amsterdam by storm at the modern Capital C building in early March. Our invited guests were on the receiving end of the knowledge and expertise of some of the e-commerce world’s greatest minds and leaders, making for a successful annual rendition of Price Points Live. On this year’s stage was Prof. Hermann Simon, the co-founder and chairman of Simon-Kucher, who was a returning speaker at Price Points Live. He is known as the world’s leading expert on pricing and growth consulting. Also on the stage was Natalie Berg, an analyst, author and podcast host; Dr Doug Mattheus, a business executive and consultant in marketing, retail and branding; Gerrie Smits, a business consultant, speaker and author, and lastly, Cor Verhoeven, Group Product Manager at Bol, specialising in pricing and assortment insights. To conclude, the warm and confident Suyin Aerts returned as our host. Whether it be transparency in pricing, marketing or e-commerce practices, our panel of speakers bring more than a century of collective knowledge and experience to the table. So, what did our guests learn and take away from each of our speakers? What can brands and retailers understand about pricing, consumer behaviour and branding? Omnia shares the insights and knowledge pertinent to e-commerce success in 2024. Natalie Berg: E-commerce author and analyst “We are living in a perpetual state of disruption, and retail is no stranger to this, but the past few years have seen unprecedented levels of volatility and uncertainty,” shared Natalie. Whether we want to call it disruption, a seismic shift or a geopolitical and socio-economic tsunami, the one mitigating force to today’s ecommerce landscape was - and still is - Covid-19. “Covid has digitised our world - the way we live, the way we shop, or the way we exercise. And when it comes to shopping, most of it is still done in a brick-and-mortar store, but the majority of these sales are digitally influenced,” shares Natalie. This has brought brands and retailers to the popular omnichannel strategy, which has become more and more common and necessary. However, Natalie predicts that retail will start moving from omnichannel to ‘unified commerce’ which is “not just about being present in those channels but centralising those operations and connecting everything in real-time,”.. We see this already taking place with the partnership that shocked the e-commerce world in 2023 when Meta and Amazon announced that Meta users can shop Amazon products without even having to exit their Instagram or Facebook apps, creating a centralised and synonymous experience for social commerce and marketplaces’ shoppers. She goes on to speak about the customer’s time and how much more precious it is going to become for e-commerce and retail leaders. “28% of Amazon purchases take place in three minutes or less,” she stated,” so if you’re not saving a customer’s time, you have to be enhancing it.” A customer’s tolerance for mediocrity or for average service or experiences is getting lower and lower, which is how the customer experience has become the new currency. “It’s about really wowing your customers. Going beyond! Disrupting the status quo.” She shares that a new phenomenon is taking place because of this refreshed focus on the customer experience: The democratisation of white-glove service. “It’s a technology that is helping brands and retailers give this level of service,”.. This includes Walmart, in the US, which will go into your home to stock your kitchen with your newly purchased groceries while other retailers will collect your returns from your house when they make delivery, allowing the customer to kill two birds with one stone. Adidas in London has installed a system called “Bring it To Me” in change rooms where, if you want an item that’s in a different colour or size, a store assistant can collect it for you without you having to leave the change room. “Tech-enabled human touch - that’s what will separate the retailer winners from the retail losers,” Natalie argues. To conclude, Natalie speaks on how the use of AI will empower both e-commerce players and customers when shopping. “In the future, we won’t know where the physical world ends and the digital one begins,” giving an eerie yet exciting conclusion. “As a brand or retailer, standing still is the most dangerous thing you can do.” Dr Doug Mattheus: Consultant and branding expert Hailing from South Africa and living in the UK is Dr Doug Mattheus whose presentation focused on the art and science of brand building. So, what makes a brand long-lasting? “It is a mix of tangible and intangible features that, if properly managed, creates influence and generates value,” says Doug. But, as we’ve seen brands rise and fall over the last few decades, what are some of the factors that have created the most valuable brands in the world, from Apple to Mercedes Benz to Walmart? Creating a brand hook The ways in which a customer can get hooked on a brand are limitless: Reflecting back to the time he received his first pair of Nike shoes in high school, the one item Doug cared about keeping just as much as the shoes themselves was the box they came in. “It wasn’t just a box - it was a Nike box.” Fast-forward to adulthood, he visited a Harrods store and witnessed customers buy empty single-use packets and bags with the Harrods logo on them. In a more recent case, the fragrance of bath bombs and body scrubs in the air at a mall or airport has become one that is synonymous with LUSH. “Just follow your nose,” says Doug. “So, what is your brand hook?” On the contrary, we see brands like The Body Shop that have struggled to keep up with digitally-native challenger brands like Drunk Elephant, Glossier and Paula’s Choice in the personal care market and is undergoing mass closures across the US and EU. Doug’s advice to brands is to create a unique hook - whether it be in the sights, smells, sounds or physical world. What’s your differentiator from competitors? A small player in the award-winning wine industry in South Africa is a vineyard called Vergenoegd Wine Estate. By a large stretch, it is not the most well-known or award-winning brand. However, this boutique vineyard did not refrain from harnessing the commercial value of organic farming. The winemakers introduced runner ducks to the vineyard, which roamed around eating worms, snails, and bugs that could be detrimental to the vines. In addition, these ducks became a tonic for families and couples with kids wanting to experience the vineyard while having something fun for children. The ducks have become a unique feature to Vergenoegd Wine Estate and a key driver of foot traffic and revenue. “This is a great example of how a small player is not being defined by its smallness and not being intimidated by bigger players.” Multiple touchpoints for customers Stemming from Natalie’s thoughts on brands having to go the extra mile to impress customers, Doug shares that there are moments of magic around us at all times, and it is up to business leaders to find and develop those moments. However, where there is ease and innovation between brands and customers (like at Nordstrom in Seattle, USA who did not want to lose their “eyeball moments” with customers from rapid digitalisation, began offering curbside pick-up so they can still have face-to-face interactions with shoppers), there are also moments of friction and time-wasting that cause frustration for customers. It’s about fine-tuning interactions and creating moments that make a brand memorable. Relevance: Do you reinvent like a butterfly or a bull? As the title suggests, brands in many verticals, but especially in fashion, personal care, sporting goods, fitness, and electronics, are faced with the rapid rise of digitally-native brands that exist to challenge the status quo. In fact, these brands, which have only known a digital world, are, in fact called “challenger brands” because of the innovative approach to design, production, supply chains, customer interactions, marketing, and everything under the e-commerce sun. According to Doug, brands who reinvent like a butterfly are those who can go with the changes and challenges in front of them with agility and resilience while those who face reinvention like a bull may be stubborn and ignorant and may face their own downfall. Cor Verhoeven: Group Product Manager at Bol. Coming from one of Europe’s largest and most successful marketplaces, Bol., Cor Verhoeven delved into pricing, specifically how Bol. tackles bad prices on the platform and what the negatives are for a marketplace or e-commerce brand. “We have 38 million items for sale, 13 million active customers, and 50,000 unique selling partners. That means almost every home in the Netherlands and Belgium has bought something from Bol.,” says Cor. With numbers like that, it’s more than possible that a marketplace would run into pricing issues. “Part of our strategy is to make Bol. an equal playing field. Our sellers must be able to make a living off what they sell on Bol. - it’s not just us that needs to do well.” So, how does a customer-centric pricing strategy fall into this? “We all work hard to make sure that the price of an item is not the reason someone doesn’t buy something on Bol.,” says Cor. “Pricing is important because it positions you in a competitive market, it establishes customer trust, and it establishes customer lifetime value. Our success is caused by growth, monetising and retaining in a loop,” explained Cor. “Our three main beliefs when it comes to pricing are High-quality deals, trustworthy and reliable prices, and competitive prices in line with the market.” The balancing act between insult pricing and best-in-market pricing is tricky and precarious, which is why Bol. judges their products on their prices. “If a product’s price is above an allowable price, we take it offline to product the customer,” Cor stated. How does Bol. decide on what is an allowable price? “We source benchmarks. If a product has a benchmark, it’s given a classification - an insult price or an allowable price - and business rules are set,” explained Cor. “When we don’t have a price benchmark, that’s when we have little control.” When Bol. doesn’t have a price benchmark for a product, they utilise their data science model to predict a price while, daily, the model is manually looking for prices to benchmark those products.” The result is a price for a product that is more aligned with the market and within the boundaries of what a customer will accept. “Of course, taking insult prices offline decreases revenue, but what we get back in return is way bigger. The seller sees increased conversion,” said Cor. Sander Roose: CEO and Founder of Omnia Retail Joining the panel was our very own CEO Sander Roose who started his keynote speech by making good on a promise. “At the last Price Points Live event, I promised that Omnia would release a new platform sometime in 2023, and the whole Omnia team is proud to have achieved that.” As a veteran in the dynamic pricing industry, with 12 years at the helm of Omnia Retail, Sander brought to the stage what he believes are the pricing elements and design principles of successful dynamic pricing. According to Sander, there are three factors to successful dynamic pricing implementations: Clearly defined objectives; securing engagement and support; and the spirit of continuous learning. “Without clear objectives, you can have a strong pricing platform, but you won’t know how to harness it,” he said. “And as the market changes, you need to be able to change your objectives.” For the second factor, pricing managers and teams need to be fully on board: “If they don’t understand how prices are calculated, they will reject the implementation as a whole.” Then, the third factor speaks to a dynamic pricing user's ability to be agile and curious: “We see that customers that used the system most intensively to make iterations with their prices get the best results.” As a result, Omnia found that two key design principles for dynamic pricing success are necessary: flexibility and transparency. “Being able to automate any pricing strategy you can think of, to facilitate all the objectives, to keep control while the system is on autopilot, and finally, making sure the users are adopting the system.” Flexibility and Transparency A pricing platform needs to be able to support a vast array of pricing objectives and strategies. “A platform needs to be able to endure various high-level objectives. Perhaps on a global level, you have a profit maximisation objective while the strategy on lower levels, such as on a per country basis, may be different,” explained Sander. “For example, if your global brand has just launched in the Netherlands, you may want to maximise market share. Then, even further down, depending on your various verticals, you may want a stock-based strategy.” Flexibility must also be present not just in pricing strategies but in data collection and the recalculation process. Using the example of a Tesla self-driving car with a blacked-out windscreen, Sander makes the point that customers of dynamic pricing still need to be able to see and understand what’s going on - even if the system is on autopilot: “If you create transparency while the system is on autopilot, you can create buy-in from internal stakeholders and facilitate learning loops.” How flexibility and transparency exist in Omnia 2.0 The culmination of these two values resulted in the Pricing Strategy Tree, developed specifically for Omnia 2.0, making strategy building and interpretation easier and faster. “The copy-and-paste feature means a large D2C brand that wants to launch in a new country can simply execute their entire pricing strategy with just a few clicks by copying the strategy in the tree from another country. This is huge for an international customer to be able to do this.” Another feature called Path Tracking allows you to visually see how your strategy came to be, step by step. “This feature helps to validate if you set up the tree how you intended to,” explained Sander. Another feature that elevates transparency is Strategy Branch Statistics which works to answer burning questions from pricing managers: ‘Which part of my strategy is most impactful? The Strategy Branch Statistics feature works to show you which business rules are doing the work to give your prices.’ An additional feature highlighting transparency is the ability to name branches within the tree. The names not only help coworkers understand what you’ve built, but they differentiate the various strategies that are at play at the same time. Strategy Branch Statistics feature works to show you which business rules are doing the work to give your prices.’ An additional feature highlighting transparency is the ability to name branches within the tree. The names not only help coworkers understand what you’ve built, but they differentiate the various strategies that are at play at the same time. AI in pricing “From private label matching, creating automated weekly reports to send to category managers, to automated insights, AI is a powerful technology that has the potential to contribute to the superpowers we offer customers,” says Sander. However, as of today, Sander believes that AI is one part of the machine and should not be considered the holy grail of price setting. “The true need is goal-based pricing,” Sander says.”AI is a means and not an end.” Sander's vision for AI in Omnia’s pricing platform sees a move from granular pricing strategies that affect the business’s objectives to a scenario where the customer sets the objective, and the Omnia platform automates and optimises prices. “We want to move more and more towards goal-based pricing in our platform. We believe the end game for price automation will be rules and AI, not just AI, and the Pricing Strategy Tree allows for a rules and AI combination.” Prof. Hermann Simon: Founder of Simon-Kucher, author As a world-renowned expert in pricing and consulting, Prof. Hermann Simon joins the panel to share what he thinks are the hidden champions in e-commerce and retail and what their successful strategies are. Specifically, the small and midsized global market leaders with a market share of above 50% and that are little known to the public. “In China, which is by the largest global exporter, 68% of the exports come from small and midsized companies, and behind this number are the hidden champions,” says Hermann. “Inside super export performance requires large companies plus a very strong mid sector. Hidden champions, not large corporations, determine whether a country really excels in global competition. Hidden champions are an untapped treasure to learn about business success.” Focus and Globalisation What characterises these companies? “The three pillars of the hidden champion’s strategy are ambition, focus, and globalisation fueled with the tools of innovation, value and price,” shares Hermann. Focusing on your product makes your market small. How does hidden champions enlarge their market? An example of successful globalisation is Karcher, the global leader in high-pressure water hoses, which began internationalisation in the 1970s slowly and then accelerated in the 90s to become the global market share leader at 70%. Other examples include Deichmann, the largest shoe retailer in Europe, which sits in 31 countries across Europe, Africa, the Middle East and the US. “The lesson here is that if you have a good product, multiply it by regional expansion,” says Hermann. Value and Price For successful companies, value comes from innovation and a closeness to the customer. But what drives innovation? The answer is different for hidden champions and the average company. Below is a pie chart where we can see how little an average company prioritises customer needs: What is the most important aspect of pricing? “It’s customer-perceived value. The willingness to pay is a mirror of perceived value, and therefore, value equals price,” explains Hermann. “Understanding, creating and communicating values are the key challenges in pricing.” Using the example of the iPhone, the cost has always been above the market average for a smartphone, yet the success of the product indicates it must obviously bring value to the customer. “Value drives price,” concludes Hermann. According to internal studies at Simon Kucher, only one-third of companies can say they have real pricing power. So, two-thirds are exposed to the sensitivities of the customer. “The result is that value-to-customer and pricing power is created by differentiating your product, changing the way customers perceive your products and your price, and changing the mindset and confidence of your own people in your company,” says Hermann. Closeness to customer “88% of hidden champions say that closeness to the customer is their biggest strength, even more than technology,” says Hermann. Simon-Kucher found that 38% of employees at hidden champion companies had regular contact with customers, while large corporations only had 8%. In retail, it is difficult to understand value perception because there are many competitors selling the same thing. This makes retail’s soft parameters, such as the store layout, service and friendliness, more helpful in understanding value perception. The challenge then becomes how do enterprises effectively communicate their value offering. “Hidden champions are true value leaders with their intense closeness to customers. They achieve a more profound understanding of a customer's needs; their continuous innovations create higher value, and they integrate customer needs and technology much better than the average company.” Gerrie Smits: Speaker and author Gerrie believes we’re getting customer-centricity all wrong. From his 25-plus years of experience in helping companies prioritise customers as well as how to deal with the changing digital world, he has found a common thread of issues: “Technology is getting in the way, companies are seeing customers as a target, and teams are siloing their responsibilities and not wanting to take on other responsibilities,” says Gerrie. “Companies are getting tech just for the sake of it, not because there is any use for it. If you’re going to invest in tech, make sure you have a competitive edge.” According to US business leaders, the number one skill a company needs to have to succeed in the digital world is empathy. “Technology is fantastic if you know what to do with it. My clients are driven by technology, and that’s not customer-centric.” When it comes to companies seeing customers as a target. “I’ve never met a company that doesn’t say they’re customer-centric - obviously,” says Gerrie. But there is a large difference between intent and action. “For example, Amazon has always said they are obsessed with understanding the customer. Yet still, they got it wrong when, in 2022, they reportedly lost $10 billion from dismal sales for their voice-activated Echo. “What brands need to understand is that there is only a small part of me that is your customer. The rest is me as a human being,” says Gerrie. “Seeing your audience as buyers, you are not fulfilling the whole potential.” Concluding Price Points Live 2024 In closing, our panel speakers joined Suyin on stage to answer a round of interesting questions and to share their final thoughts. “To drive loyalty, one must understand what your customers value,” said Natalie, while Doug shared that although pricing is vital to brand loyalty, it is not the only factor. Answering a question about how smaller players in e-commerce can grow and succeed against large enterprises, Natalie says, “It’s like Prof. Hermann said: It’s about focus. You have to know what your strengths are, and then you have to execute really well.” The world of e-commerce is set to make $6.3 billion in global sales in 2024, which is expected to increase to $8 billion in 2027. However, what’s more interesting is the amount of e-commerce users which is set to increase to 3.2 billion by 2029 - a third of the current world population. More shoppers don’t necessarily mean more revenue and sales, so it is safe to say that brands and retailers need to focus their efforts on pricing, innovation, unique marketing and frictionless experiences if they want a segment of the ever-growing pool of e-commerce users. With these insights and go-to strategies for elevating the success of brands and enterprises, Omnia is excited to see what the e-commerce landscape will be for our customers and other growing e-commerce companies. We’d like to thank all of our speakers - Natalie Berg, Dr Doug Mattheus, Prof. Hermann Simon, Gerrie Smit, Cor Verhoeven and our own Sander Roose - and our host, Suyin Aerts, for their knowledge and time spent at Price Points Live 2024. Watch keynote presentations here.
Reflecting on Price Points Live: Lessons for e-commerce in 202405.03.2024
Transparency in e-commerce: Leading the conversation at Price Points Live 2024
Europe’s e-commerce and pricing event of the year is returning in 2024, as Omnia Retail gears up for another exciting edition of Price Points Live. As leaders in e-commerce pricing across Europe, Omnia Retail is...
Europe’s e-commerce and pricing event of the year is returning in 2024, as Omnia Retail gears up for another exciting edition of Price Points Live. As leaders in e-commerce pricing across Europe, Omnia Retail is perfectly positioned to bring together experts and leaders in retail, pricing, marketing and branding to share insights and knowledge. Taking place at the modern Capital C building in Amsterdam on 7 March 2024, the building’s majestic glass dome ceiling sets the tone fittingly for this year’s main topic: Transparency. Whether it be transparency in pricing, marketing or e-commerce practices, our panel of speakers bring more than a century of collective knowledge and experience to the table. Joining us is Prof. Hermann Simon, the co-founder and chairman of Simon-Kucher who is returning to Price Points Live for a second visit. Known as the world’s leading expert on pricing and growth consulting, Prof. Simon is an award-winning author. Also on this year’s stage is Natalie Berg - an analyst, author and podcast host - who will add value to the conversation on all things global retail. Dr Doug Mattheus, a business executive and consultant, will be bringing his 35-years of knowledge and experience in marketing, retail and branding. Lastly, Cor Verhoeven is a Group Product Manager at one of Europe's largest marketplaces, Bol.com, specialising in pricing and assortment insights. He’ll be bringing his entrepreneurial spirit and his 10-plus years of e-commerce, product management and marketplace experience to Price Points Live. Our speakers will be brought together by the charming Suyin Aerts, who is also a returning panel member. Challenges in today’s world of e-commerce What are brands and enterprises facing in e-commerce in 2024? From branding to pricing to consumer behaviour, the e-commerce arena has experienced more phases and changes in the last four years that it did in the previous decade. Let’s discuss some of the industry’s key trends and issues as of today. Growing competition and price-war strategies As e-commerce grows and oversaturates each vertical, consumers have more choice and power. This is not necessarily a bad thing, however, it does mean that brands and retailers start employing more competitive pricing strategies that ultimately lead to price wars between competitors and a race to the bottom. This undercuts the value of products and only results in losses for each business involved. This has been evident with smartphone brands like Samsung and Huawei who competitively lower the prices of their smartphones to achieve higher market share. It’s also common between wholesale retailers like CostCo and IKEA or large online marketplaces like Amazon that employ tactics to get their vendors to sell their products lower than on any other marketplace. Increased customer expectations For decades, the relationship between retailers and consumers had been dominated by the former. Customers had only a few options for where they trusted to purchase their groceries, shoes, school supplies, winter essentials and everything in between. Today, that relationship has been flipped on its head as consumers enjoy the pick of the litter in just about every retail vertical. As this trend has developed, consumers have come to expect faster shipping, better prices, higher quality, and more benefits for their loyalty. This will naturally affect a brand or retailer’s pricing strategies as they try to maintain customer retention and even attract new customers with promotions, benefits from loyalty programs and clubs, and bundles that appeal to shoppers. Changing customer loyalty What makes a customer loyal to a brand? At what point does a customer’s loyalty erode? And, what are the factors that could cause this to happen? For most customers, it’s a balancing act between quality and cost. However, in 2024, brands and enterprises must face other factors that could affect customer loyalty: Sustainability efforts. A 2023 McKinsey and NielsenIQ study found that products with ESG claims (environmental, social or governance) accounted for 56% of the total sales growth during the five-year period of the study, from 2017 - mid-2022, showing, for the first time, that brands with some kind of sustainability mention are growing faster than those without. This is all due to changing customer loyalty and the very parameters that shape and shift that loyalty. Social changes may be another factor. For example, in the sporting goods vertical, participation in social sports like pickleball and paddle tennis have increased by 159% while lacrosse, skiing and track declined by 11%, 14% and 11% respectively. Stubborn inflation The issue that has plagued global e-commerce since 2021 is still having its ripple effects on the industry in 2024. In the first quarter of 2024, the EU has already cut GDP growth expectations for the year from 1.3% to 0.9% as interest rates remain high while consumers still grapple with a 40% increase in gas and food prices that peaked in 2023. With this reality, pricing has never been more important nor more sensitive to the consumer. McKinsey’s latest ConsumerWatch report shows that shoppers were buying less items at the end of 2023 compared to the previous year’s period, with personal care dropping 3%, household items dropping 3% and pet care dropping 5% which results in AOV (average order value) loss. The importance of transparency in pricing software The use of dynamic pricing in e-commerce has grown exponentially in the last decade, however, that does not mean every software provider offers the best-in-class platform. Not every pricing tool is made equally. Transparency is something that has not been prioritised as a core tenet of pricing software, which has often allowed for a murky relationship between a brand or enterprise and their own pricing strategies. For a user of pricing software to experience the full potential of a pricing tool, they need to be able to build, test and edit each pricing strategy with clarity and ease. They need to be able to understand how and why a pricing recommendation has been made. They should be physically able to see every pricing strategy simultaneously at play without convolution or confusing coding jargon. While this may seem obvious, some pricing platforms have found that withholding pricing knowledge from a customer is the way to go. How is Omnia enhancing transparency? When Omnia set out to build its new pricing tool, named Omnia 2.0, its main goal was to create a next-generation platform that would enhance a user’s flexibility, user experience and transparency. Why was this necessary? The reason is two-fold: Pricing for SMBs and enterprises can be overwhelming, time-consuming and confusing. For enterprises, as assortments become larger and competitors thicken the competition, pricing may become more complicated. “As the ability to run detailed and complex pricing strategies has become mainstream, it has snowballed into the next level of challenges: Complexity overload,” says Omnia’s CEO Sander Roose. By developing our one-of-a-kind Pricing Strategy Tree™ coupled with information dashboards that give a God-like view of the market and every strategy you have at play, pricing becomes what it should always be: Transparent, flexible and simple. “Omnia 2.0 successfully cuts through the clutter,” says Sander. Another development that enhances transparency for users of Omnia 2.0 is the “Explain Price Recommendation” feature which provides a full explanation of how the price advice of a particular product came to be. This not only enables full control over how and why prices may change but it increases the customer’s pricing maturity. “The ‘Price Explanation’ visually tracks the path through the Tree to show the logic and how the price advice came about,” explains Sander. Join us at Price Points Live 2024 “Although at Omnia we believe it’s still day one in terms of building the ultimate pricing platform we are building towards in the long-term, we are very proud of how the Omnia 2.0 next-generation pricing platform gives our users of and customers ever growing superpowers,” says Sander. Join our exclusive annual event by reserving your seats on our Events page or simply email your dedicated Customer Success Manager who will assist you. We’ll be seeing you in Amsterdam!
Transparency in e-commerce: Leading the conversation at Price Points Live 202408.02.2024
Omnia’s work on company culture takes centre stage in Frankfurt, Germany
“Even if you don't manage company culture, a specific culture will emerge. Although it probably won't be the culture you envisioned,” says Omnia Retail’s COO Vanessa Verlaan who presented on the topic of building a...
“Even if you don't manage company culture, a specific culture will emerge. Although it probably won't be the culture you envisioned,” says Omnia Retail’s COO Vanessa Verlaan who presented on the topic of building a strong and healthy workplace culture at the annual World Class Workforce Transformation conference in Frankfurt, Germany in January. In sharing Omnia’s experiences, failures and successes in building a healthy company culture, Verlaan shared that it is not something that can be achieved if only one part of the company is actively trying to enforce it: “I am convinced everyone in the company should be responsible of company culture. Not just HR. It starts with the leadership team and then it can be scaled.” Covid-19 has upended how leaders interact with employees and how coworkers connect with each other," a Harvard Business Review article by Denise Lee Yohn says. "Culture has become a strategic priority with an impact on the bottom line. It can’t just be delegated and compartmentalised anymore,” says Yohn. In many cases, a company’s core values are used to attract and hire top talent and remain a calling card on a company’s website. But what happens when the experience does not match the initial expectation? “People have certain expectations when they start at a company and then when faced with the reality, they are disappointed, and then leave. That’s when companies have to rehire for the same positions. This is why core values need to be implemented from the leadership team and throughout each department,” shares Vanessa. Using this simple yet effective system, Verlaan explains how the expectation-reality gap can be closed if culture plays an unconditional role in every step of the employee life cycle: Professionals from DHL Express, Siemens, Allianz Global Investors and Celltrion Healthcare also shared presentations on upskilling, digital transformation in the workplace, employee engagement, and other interesting topics that affect teams across the continent, making this one of the most innovative and forward-thinking events dedicated to the employee experience. In addition to the case study presentation, Verlaan also participated in a roundtable discussion with professionals from other private companies which further unpacked the topic for employees at corporations, scale-ups and start-ups. In talking to one of the fellow speakers who experienced that her previous leadership team was not supportive of implementing a specific workplace culture throughout the company, Vanessa believes that there are further opportunities regarding the practices for companies that want to achieve a strong and positive corporate culture. “Culture persists only because people act in ways that uphold its principles and codes,” says a Stanford Social Innovation Review paper, echoing the sentiment that Vanessa shared in her presentation. As Omnia has grown over the years, expanded in locations and developed each department, one thing has stayed the same - its core values. “We don’t update our core values because they are the foundation. However, they have become more clear and implemented in various steps,” says Vanessa. Omnia Retail's COO Vanessa Verlaan enjoyed snapping some photos at the event with fellow speakers in between interesting discussions on company culture.
Omnia’s work on company culture takes centre stage in Frankfurt, Germany18.01.2024
The Future of Retail: Navigating E-commerce Trends and Innovations in 2024
E-commerce had a volatile 2023. From declining sales in luxury to behemoth partnerships to the resurgence of influencer marketing, the last 12 months experienced several changes and surprises that even the analysts were...
E-commerce had a volatile 2023. From declining sales in luxury to behemoth partnerships to the resurgence of influencer marketing, the last 12 months experienced several changes and surprises that even the analysts were not expecting. Reflecting on the performance and strategies of social commerce platforms, brands and marketplaces in 2023 has set the scene for a fast-moving and competitive market for 2024. Omnia looks at how the previous year ended within e-commerce and what industry players and shoppers may expect in 2024, in addition to the innovation that might change the future of retail. Social commerce will show its teeth Within the e-commerce landscape, it was the expansion of social commerce that made the largest leaps and bounds, proving once again how it has become the largest growing sub-industry within retail and e-commerce with an expected value of $2 trillion in 2025. Forbes predicted that social commerce is growing three times faster than e-commerce while the moves and counter-moves made in 2023 mirrored why: Meta and TikTok are not interested in your lunch selfies anymore. They’re interested in your likelihood to shop. With Meta’s new partnership with Amazon, allowing Facebook and Instagram users to shop Amazon ads directly in the app, a new era of e-commerce is forming that further increases Amazon’s control of the market and further drives Meta’s plans to create shopping-first platforms. Other social commerce companies such as TikTok, which is owned by Tencent in China, will also be focusing on establishing itself as a legitimate e-commerce and influencer marketing platform in the West. TikTok Shop’s launch in the US in September is set to disrupt both the social commerce and marketplace arenas for 2024. TikTok and Instagram are each other’s biggest competitors, thickening the hunt for consumer attention and loyalty. Instagram and Facebook are still the world’s top choices over TikTok for buying products, however, the difference is incremental: In Germany, 46% of shoppers use Instagram while 42% use TikTok. In the US, it’s 42% and 40% respectively, and in the UK, TikTok surpasses Instagram as the platform of choice (39% vs 35%). Despite TikTok’s incredible growth and influence, Omnia predicts that Meta’s new Amazon deal will keep them out of the top position for the foreseeable future. The Implications of TikTok's Ban on E-commerce Retailers The potential ban of TikTok in the United States carries significant ramifications for e-commerce retailers, who have increasingly leveraged the platform for marketing, sales, and customer engagement. TikTok, known for its highly engaging short-form videos and robust algorithm, has become a powerful tool for brands seeking to reach a young, tech-savvy audience. Here’s an exploration of the key implications: Loss of a Major Marketing Channel TikTok as a Marketing Powerhouse: With over 1 billion monthly active users worldwide, TikTok has emerged as a crucial marketing channel for e-commerce brands. The platform's unique algorithm promotes content virally, often reaching millions of users organically. For many retailers, TikTok has been instrumental in driving brand awareness and engagement through influencer partnerships, user-generated content, and creative campaigns. Impact of the Ban: If TikTok were to be banned, e-commerce retailers would lose access to this vast audience. Brands that have heavily invested in building a presence on TikTok would need to shift their strategies quickly. This disruption could lead to a temporary decline in visibility and engagement, impacting sales and customer acquisition efforts. Shift to Alternative Platforms Exploring New Avenues: E-commerce retailers would likely diversify and redirect their marketing efforts to other social media platforms such as Instagram Reels, and YouTube Shorts. These platforms offer similar short-form video features, which can help brands maintain some continuity in their marketing strategies. Challenges and Opportunities: Transitioning to new platforms may require additional resources and time to build a comparable follower base and engagement level. However, this shift could also present an opportunity for brands to diversify their social media strategies and reduce dependency on a single platform. Impacts on Sales and Revenue Sales Generation via TikTok: TikTok's "Shop Now" buttons and seamless integration with e-commerce platforms have enabled direct purchases within the app, boosting sales for many retailers. Revenue Risks: The ban would disrupt the revenue stream, especially for brands that have seen substantial sales through TikTok. Retailers would need to find alternative methods to drive direct sales, such as enhancing their websites' shopping experiences or investing in other social commerce tools. Influence on Consumer Behaviour Consumer Habits: TikTok has influenced consumer behaviour by making shopping more interactive and engaging. The platform's algorithm personalises content based on user preferences, making it easier for brands to target potential customers effectively. Behavioural Shifts: Without TikTok, consumers might shift their attention to other platforms, altering the dynamics of online shopping. Brands will need to adapt their strategies to align with changing consumer behaviours and preferences. Talk to one of our consultants about dynamic pricing. Contact us AI and E-commerce in 2024 Artificial Intelligence (AI) is transforming e-commerce in various ways, and many technologies that retailers use daily are AI-driven, even if not immediately apparent. Here are six of the most common AI applications in e-commerce: Personalised Product Recommendations: Collecting and processing customer data about their online shopping habits is now easier than ever. Retailers rely on machine learning to capture data, analyse it, and use it to deliver personalised experiences, implement marketing campaigns, optimise pricing, and generate customer insights. Over time, machine learning will require less involvement from data scientists for everyday applications in e-commerce companies. Retail analyst Natalie Berg shares: ‘’AI is going to make retailers smarter leaner more efficient. And it's going to make our experience as customers as you can tell. It's going to make it more personalized more relevant’’ Customer Segmentation Access to more business and customer data, along with increased processing power, enables e-commerce operators to better understand their customers and identify new trends. Smart Logistics Machine learning's predictive powers shine in logistics, helping to forecast transit times, demand levels, and shipment delays. Smart logistics use real-time information from sensors, RFID tags, and similar technologies for inventory management and better demand forecasting. Over time, machine learning systems become smarter, building better predictions for supply chain and logistics functions. Sales and Demand Forecasting Especially in times after COVID-19, planning inventory based on real-time and historical data is crucial. AI can help with this. A recent McKinsey report suggests that investment in real-time customer analytics will continue to be important for monitoring and reacting to shifts in consumer demand, which can be harnessed for price optimisation or targeted marketing. These applications highlight how AI is revolutionising e-commerce, providing enhanced personalisation, operational efficiency, and smarter business strategies. Marketplaces will face stiffer competition with less market share Niche marketplaces within luxury such as Yoox Net-A-Porter (YNAP), Farfetch and Matches almost ended in collapse in 2023, however, Farfetch was saved by South Korea’s e-commerce giant Coupang in a last-minute sale, Matches has been purchased by UK retailer Frasers for €60 million, while YNAP is still searching for a saviour to bring them into the black since the sale to Farfetch fell through. According to Vogue Business, Amazon or Alibaba could potentially purchase YNAP, two of the world’s biggest e-commerce platforms, further strengthening their grasp on the marketplace landscape. As mentioned above, Amazon has continued its growth and consolidation by entering the social commerce space with Meta, which was announced in November, and the results of this deal will play out interestingly throughout 2024. How will this affect other marketplaces? In 2024, marketplaces will feel the pinch of the Meta-Amazon coalition as an increasing number of lucrative vendors will turn toward Meta platforms to make sales and grow their brands. As a result, consumers will go where there is variety with a competitive price and an easier shopping experience. However, if more shoppers will be heading toward Meta platforms, marketplaces may be able to take advantage of the increased traffic with new advertising, sales and pricing strategies. Marketplaces other than Amazon will need to incentivise shoppers to choose their platform - whether it is via social media or not - to remain profitable. Although Zalando ended off 2023 with declined quarterly sales, their new partnership with Highsnobiety has led Omnia to believe that they too have noticed the e-commerce success that lies within content. Europe’s largest marketplace has realised that many customers, especially Gen Z and millennial shoppers, buy into content and not products. The new platform, entitled Stories, creates fashion-related video content and provides news of collaborations and interviews with designers. “We know that customers are looking for inspiration and with Stories on Zalando we are doing exactly that: crafting highly engaging formats to show what’s new and what’s next in fashion,” says Zalando’s Senior Vice-President of Product Design Anne Pascual. Brands will restrategise marketing and sales strategies to regain sales Brands in multiple categories, especially in fashion, beauty and luxury, experienced a cooling period in 2023 that lasted longer than expected. For some, this will extend into 2024: Burberry’s shares have dropped 15% after they reduced their profit outlook thanks to a quieter-than-expected sales period over Christmas. Nike is cutting jobs and is set to reduce $2 billion in costs over the next three years amid dwindling sales. Gucci’s brand equity dropped 31% from 2022 to 2023, while L’Oréal and Lancome list 20% and 19% respectively. Overall, the annual Kantar BrandZ report concluded that the world’s top 100 brands lost 20% of their value in 2023, leaving them on the back foot as 2024 gets underway which will see brands moving and shaking to get into a profitable, growthful place again. Despite the overall lookout, other brands in some verticals including sports apparel and performance footwear did well such as Swiss-owned running shoe maker On which saw third-quarter sales increase by 44% and HOKA, which consistently saw growth throughout 2023 and gained in market share. In 2024, On is focusing on building its D2C channel which will cut into market share controlled by Adidas and Nike which have seen declining market share at Dick’s Sporting Goods, one of the US’s largest shoe retailers, while On and HOKA increase. Source: Reuters 2024 trends in sports apparel include a transition from logo-heavy designs, which we saw gain prevalence within “quiet luxury”, to “quiet outdoors”. Brands like North Face and Arc'teryx will be focusing on gaining the attention of luxury buyers who want in on sportswear with a high-end feel. Conclusion As we move into the second half of 2024, the e-commerce landscape is set to become even more dynamic and competitive. The developments in 2023, including the rapid expansion of social commerce, strategic partnerships, and the resurgence of influencer marketing, have laid a robust foundation for the coming months. Social commerce, driven by giants like Meta and TikTok, will continue to evolve, with new features and integrations aimed at enhancing the shopping experience. Meta's partnership with Amazon and TikTok's efforts to solidify its position as a key e-commerce player will significantly shape consumer behaviour and market dynamics. However, the potential ban of TikTok in the US could disrupt these trends, forcing brands to adapt quickly. Marketplaces will face increased competition as the Meta-Amazon coalition draws more vendors and consumers to their platforms. This shift will compel other marketplaces to innovate and offer unique incentives to retain their market share. Strategic partnerships, such as Zalando's collaboration with Highsnobiety, highlight the importance of content-driven commerce in attracting and engaging younger audiences. Brands, particularly those in fashion, beauty, and luxury, will need to re-strategise their marketing and sales approaches to recover from the prolonged cooling period of 2023. While some brands face continued challenges, others in niches like sports apparel are poised for growth, leveraging direct-to-consumer channels and tapping into emerging trends like "quiet outdoors." In summary, e-commerce in the second half of 2024 will be characterised by rapid adaptation, and a focus on personalised, content-rich consumer experiences. Brands will need to leverage strategic partnerships with influential platforms and content creators to stay relevant. The successful players will be those who can seamlessly integrate innovative technologies and data-driven insights to create engaging, tailored shopping journeys for their customers.
The Future of Retail: Navigating E-commerce Trends and Innovations in 202426.12.2023
Sustainability: Footwear gains traction in creating a circular economy
Reincarnating the shoe - that’s what some global brands in footwear are attempting to do with sustainability’s latest solution to a mounting climate change problem. A circular economy refers to an ecosystem where...
Reincarnating the shoe - that’s what some global brands in footwear are attempting to do with sustainability’s latest solution to a mounting climate change problem. A circular economy refers to an ecosystem where fashion is designed with its end-of-life state being top-of-mind. Circular fashion and footwear are designed specifically to be recycled into new items made from the old. From the individual fibres of a t-shirt to the type of glue that binds shoe parts together, circular fashion is dedicated to reimagining how garments are made to avoid deeper damage to the planet and its resources. Up to 92 million tonnes of clothing and footwear end up in landfills around the globe each year, making the fashion industry one of the most significant contributors to waste and carbon dioxide emissions. “Circular fashion is a closed-loop system that aims to design out waste,” states the Sustainable Fashion Forum. Europe’s share of footwear consumption in 2022 sat at 14.9% of the global total, equaling 3.58 billion shoe purchases across the continent, and of those shoe purchases, how many can we say once had a life in another home on another foot as another shoe? As circularity initiatives grow for clothing and accessories through resale marketplaces and brand-run programs, shoes have been largely left behind. However, 2023 saw a positive uptick in footwear brands who want to see their shoes live several lives. Omnia delves into why it’s so difficult for shoe brands to create circularity and who’s doing it right. Why it’s harder for shoe brands to create circularity vs clothing It may be harder, but it’s still possible, and brands are proving it. Footwear is generally made to last longer than clothing, especially in the sports and outdoor aisle, with plastic, rubber and leather used for most shoe products. National Geographic reports that 47% of all footwear is made of plastic and rubber, making the 23.9 billion shoes produced globally in 2022 one of the most sustainably challenged products in retail and textile production. Clothing, on the other hand, is a much simpler item to create a circular ecosystem with, as items usually involve one to two materials. “Footwear has up to 200 different parts that go into one shoe,” says Adidas’ Senior Director of Sustainability Viviane Gut. Because of this, some global fashion companies have made concerted efforts to install circularity initiatives including H&M’s goal to become completely circular by 2030 by utilising 100% recycled and sustainability-sourced materials. There’s Farfetch, the UK-based marketplace for pre-owned luxury fashion and accessories, whose second-quarter results for 2023 showed 4.1 million active shoppers and a 40% year-on-year increase in supply growth. In essence, creating a more sustainable t-shirt or reselling a used blazer is less expensive and more seamless than going back to the drawing board of recreating how the shoe is made. However, this doesn’t mean it isn’t being done: In November, the Business of Fashion reported that eight global brands including New Balance, Crocs, Target, Brooks Running, Reformation, Ecco, Vibram and On are banding together under the name The Footwear Collective to share knowledge and resources to expand the circular shoe economy, which is the first of its kind within the shoe market. In addition, Nike debuted its first circular shoe in August 2023 entitled ISPA Link Axis. As the world’s largest sneaker producer, Nike calculated their carbon footprint to be over 11.7 million metric tonnes of CO2 in 2020 alone, equating this impact to what the entire city of Amsterdam, Netherlands may offset in the same period, further proving how necessary it is for global brands to create circularity and end-to-end sustainability. Each component of the shoe is made from recycled materials and no glue, making it the ideal shoe to be disassembled and reinvented once more. Assembling the Link Axis is also more energy efficient, as it does not require time and resources to glue the sole to the upper parts of the sneaker. Nike ISPA Link Axis Talk to one of our consultants about dynamic pricing. Contact us Where does the circular economy begin? Creating a closed-loop ecosystem where garments essentially never become waste is central to a circular economy. However, at the heart of the conversation, the first question brand leaders and retail entrepreneurs can ask themselves is, if we can’t rely on consumers to resell our garments or take part in branded circular initiatives, how do we kickstart circularity from the inside out? How do we at least guarantee that our manufacturing and production practices are low-impact? Allbirds, the shoe brand that’s made a name for itself for its innovation in sustainability and carbon offsetting, has already done more than most to create a greener product when they launched a sneaker in 2015 made out of Merino wool from sustainable farming and recycling. The sneaker’s fame came from the fact that it only had a small carbon footprint of 9.9 kilograms, however, this success only motivated Allbirds to go further. In mid-2023, the brand launched a new sneaker at the Global Fashion Summit in Copenhagen that offsets 0.0 kilograms of carbon dioxide, making it one of the first sneakers to be carbon neutral. For Allbirds, this is all part of their long-term goal of reaching a 50% reduction in their carbon footprint by 2025, culminating in a 0% carbon footprint by 2030. Allbirds The Moonshot In essence, circularity needs to start at the root including materials, manufacturing, transportation, product use, and end-of-life which may include the resale market, return initiatives, brand-run programs, and recycling. New rules for the new world The very first shoe, created approximately 9,000 years ago and discovered in California, USA, was made out of sagebrush bark that simply covered the toes and the sole. Today, the sophistication and variety of footwear are evident from Prada to Nike to Timberland and everything in between. As fashion and footwear brands continue to release new items in the coming decades and centuries, one thing is for certain: The rules for producing, manufacturing and discarding will change. Policy, public scrutiny and changing consumer behaviour will edge and direct brands to revisit their production, distribution and end-of-life methods time and time again to ensure greener products are the end result. Creating and taking part in a circular economy for shoes and fashion is one of the best solutions for brands and consumers to lower their carbon footprint, reduce landfill accumulation and make full use of the materials used. “When you use materials seven, eight, or 10 times over, then the footprint goes down dramatically,” said On’s co-founder Caspar Coppetti to the Business of Fashion, the Swiss shoe brand that’s been backed by Roger Federer. “You have to really go to the source and develop new processes, new technologies, scale them … and then there’s a lot more investment needed.”
Sustainability: Footwear gains traction in creating a circular economy14.12.2023
Black Friday sales increase, but holiday spending looks shaky
Consumers showed their resilience once more for Black Friday 2023 amid global economic turmoil as sales increased across multiple channels, categories and markets. Shopify and Adobe all shared positive year-on-year...
Consumers showed their resilience once more for Black Friday 2023 amid global economic turmoil as sales increased across multiple channels, categories and markets. Shopify and Adobe all shared positive year-on-year increases: Shopify reported a 22% increase in sales from brands using its platform while Adobe Analytics shared a 7.7% increase in e-commerce sales over the total Black Friday weekend. In addition, year-on-year foot traffic for brick-and-mortar stores also saw an increase, albeit a small one, of 1.5% on Black Friday weekend. Adobe’s annual report, which covers 100 million SKUs in 18 retail categories, found five categories to be the largest contributors to this year’s sales - clothing, electronics, furniture, toys and groceries. These contributed to 60% of the €101 billion in sales from 1 - 27 November, which includes pre-Black Friday discounts during the month. By the end of the shopping weekend, discounts climaxed at 31% for electronics, 27% for toys, 23% on apparel and 21% on furniture. Small appliances and electronics like TVs and smartwatches also did particularly well while beauty and personal care saw Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales for beauty saw a 13.3% increase in year-on-year sales, as reported by RetailNext. Performance footwear’s discounts led to high sales Brooks Running was one of the performance shoe brands that reported a highly successful Black Friday/Cyber Monday period, enjoying a 14% record boost in sales on Cyber Monday alone. Omnia researched Dutch pricing data for running shoes to see what could have caused the increase in sales. Black Friday and Cyber Monday offers already began the Friday beforehand but the number of offers increased over time with the peak on Black Friday. Discount offers remain over the weekend and return to lower levels two days after Cyber Monday. Compared to the month before, Black Friday and Cyber Monday are seen as highly competitive days. On selected items, there is an average discount of 18.5%. Where some retailers and brands even go up to a discount of 28.7% on average. During this period we see different strategies of different retailers coming to life. Where some retailers and brands rely more on heavily promoted products, others that maintain their competitive strategies aren't able to discount that much. A trend we detect in the running shoe business is that brands, on average, have higher discounts, showcasing that a D2C strategy could be highly lucrative over this period. What can retailers expect about festive season spending? The state of consumer spending over Black Friday weekend should not fool retail leaders. Stubborn inflation and high food and gas prices are very much a constant monkey on the shoulders of household budgets and, even for wealthier consumers, have eaten into expendable income. Adobe reported a 14% increase in buy-now-pay-later services compared to this period last year. Cyber Monday saw a massive 42% increase in the use of these services as consumers moved to act resourcefully to make purchases. In addition, US credit card debt exceeded $1 trillion in November. Overall, although Black Friday spending was better than expected, a booming holiday shopping season will likely not be on the cards. Retailers and brands expect to see year-on-year increases, but it won’t be because of the usual holiday shopping explosion: Inflation has resulted in all-round price increases, making everything more expensive than last year, resulting in consumers spending more money for the same or less. Single-digit increases in spending of 3 - 4% are predicted, according to the US National Retail Federation, in comparison to 2021’s 12.7%. Average selling price across all categories: 2022 vs 2023: Source: Salesforce data published by Forbes Consumers expect to spend, but this will be largely due to the fact that consumers feel obliged to buy gifts over this period, and not because they want to go all-out on multiple gifts, holidays and treats for themselves. “They’ve been very resilient. They will shop. They have obligations to family and other loved ones that they’re going to fulfil the gift list for," says Michael Brown, a partner at Kearney. In the UK, festive season shopping, which encompasses both November and December, has not started as strong as in previous years: The British Retail Consortium and KPMG report that retail sales in November totalled 2.7% compared to 4.5% in 2022 while non-food items experienced a decline altogether. Moreso, PwC predicts a 13% decline in festive season shopping in the UK market, as reported by the Business of Fashion. As a result, UK retailers are expected to discount heavily in January 2024 to offset sitting stock that should’ve sold during this year’s fourth quarter. How can retailers make the most of December deals? McKinsey suggests that providing value will likely be the best strategy for retailers and brands to get consumers to shop which could mean offering same-day delivery, free shipping, product bundles, or sharper discounts. “People are heading into the new year thinking inflation is bad, interest rates are tough, there’s geopolitical conflict in the world, and that’s why consumers are so negative. They’re in betwixt, and their uncertainty is what’s keeping them from splurging,” said Kelsey Robinson, senior partner at McKinsey. In terms of sales channels, smartphone shopping for e-commerce sales accounted for a 54% majority, meaning an advertising restructure targeting smartphones via social commerce may result in higher sales. Targeting social commerce buyers may also lead to an entirely new stream of customers for future purchases.
Black Friday sales increase, but holiday spending looks shaky24.11.2023
Amazon and Meta's 2023 partnership share a common end-goal
Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg are smiling a little more as the fourth quarter of 2023 plays out, thanks to a striking new deal between Amazon and Meta: Instagram and Facebook users can now shop products directly from...
Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg are smiling a little more as the fourth quarter of 2023 plays out, thanks to a striking new deal between Amazon and Meta: Instagram and Facebook users can now shop products directly from Amazon ads in their feed without having to exit the app. Shoppers will have the ability to link their two Amazon and Meta accounts “for a more seamless shopping experience,” says Meta in a statement in November. “For the first time, customers will be able to shop Amazon’s Facebook and Instagram ads and check out with Amazon,” said the company too in a statement. Source: Maurice Rahmey, Co-Founder and Co-CEO at Disruptive Digital As retail and e-commerce experience decreasing sales, small businesses and enterprises will be looking at this new partnership intently to see how it may affect their sales strategy. Despite the possibility of some good news for brands and retailers, who may be eager about the news of this collaboration, Omnia sees other factors that may be at play: Is it more about increasing ad sales and consolidating advertising market power, or is it about the end seller? Setting the stage for the Amazon-Meta partnership Over the years, social commerce has matured to rival e-commerce in its sales and reach. The line between a successful e-commerce marketplace or retailer and an in-app storefront on social media is blurring, and no other example than TikTok Shop’s launch in the US in September displays this phenomenon so well. However, despite social commerce’s rise to success with a valuation of $1.2 trillion by 2025, the industry’s largest player, Meta, has still struggled to rebound after Apple’s iOS privacy updates in 2021 largely cut off its ability to mass target customers and collect data from them. Forbes wrote in 2022 that Facebook took a $12 billion knock to ad revenue after the change. As a response, Facebook and Instagram simultaneously increased advertising costs for brands and retailers and squeezed their reach and engagement levels to initiate more ad spending, which created an unprecedented scenario for themselves where advertisers chose other platforms to advertise on. When it comes to Amazon, as it has grown bigger and more brands have chosen to sell their products on the behemoth marketplace, the more saturated each category has become. And as brands - big and small - obviously want to be seen by shoppers on Amazon’s apps, the competition for attention thickens, making for a ripe scene for Amazon to take advantage of this competition. Getting vendors to advertise their products has been the e-commerce giant’s strategy for some time now, with the push to lure in ad expenditure from sellers accruing $12.06 billion at the end of the third quarter. That’s a 26% increase compared to the same time in 2022. Looking ahead, Amazon has ramped up their agenda to boost ad sales, offering enterprise ad agencies the chance to advertise via Amazon Prime Video in 2024, asking for between $50 - 100 million. It may seem out of left field for a retail company to focus so much on building an advertising department, however, this is how Amazon plans to consolidate growth and power in the industry. Talk to one of our consultants about dynamic pricing. Contact us How will this affect brands, enterprises and other marketplaces? There are pros and cons to this deal that will have ripple effects. For brands who already sell on Amazon wanting to increase sales volume, being able to advertise and convert directly within Facebook and Instagram will be largely beneficial to them. The ease of the process will also be improve the customer’s shopping experience and, in turn, will build a network of return customers. For enterprises, the pros are quite similar, however, a glaring con is that larger enterprises also want to direct traffic to and sales from their own websites using their own pricing strategies that aren’t dictated by Amazon. The Amazon-Meta partnership may send enterprises down a path where they see less sales from their own platforms and find themselves relying more on in-app sales from their Amazon stock. If this takes place, Amazon will be able to indirectly control the price of an enterprise’s product. For marketplaces, especially those in niche categories, this partnership may leave them out in the cold. As the Amazon-Meta coalition grows, more and more vendors will turn toward it to make sales and grow their brand. In turn, more shoppers will go where there is variety with a competitive price and an easier shopping experience. As a result, other marketplaces may feel the effects of consolidation by losing vendors, shoppers and overall sales. A new era within e-commerce This is a surprising partnership for the e-commerce industry and is being described as “the most significant ad product of the year” by Founder and CEO of Disruptive Digital marketing agency Maurice Rahmey. When speaking to CNBC, Rahmey said the partnership shows “these two-walled gardens are kind of coming together.” According to a Duetche Bank report quoted by Fast Company, 75% of Facebook’s billions in revenue comes from small businesses, making Facebook (and Google) the chosen place for small-to-medium businesses to advertise and sell. If Meta has done such a good job in cornering the SMB market, it’s no surprise that Amazon would want in. And if Amazon has done well to expand profits through ad sales, it’s no wonder Meta would want a chance to recover from their $12 billion knock from Apple’s iOS privacy changes. However, these may be short-term goals for the two companies, and it’s all about the long game for both of them: For Meta, this unlikely partnership is a giant leap towards increased ad sales and market penetration through social commerce. For Meta, this collaboration means forging towards a commerce-first platform, beyond the early years of selfies and poking. Combining their resources on tracking, data and user experience, a new era of shopping and marketplace expansion is upon us.
Amazon and Meta's 2023 partnership share a common end-goal14.11.2023
TikTok Shop: What’s in store for marketplaces with the new e-commerce platform?
The end of the third quarter of 2023 saw TikTok launch its new Shop tab in the US market, adding to an already unpredictable and fast-moving marketplace arena. While it may be too early to place its seat in the market,...
The end of the third quarter of 2023 saw TikTok launch its new Shop tab in the US market, adding to an already unpredictable and fast-moving marketplace arena. While it may be too early to place its seat in the market, TikTok Shop brings all kinds of possible scenarios and questions: How will this affect Amazon and other large marketplaces? How will consumers approach shopping on this new platform? How will this impact the current social commerce playground? Social commerce is set to grow faster than e-commerce in the coming years, with an expected annual growth rate of 32% from 2023 - 2030, creating a landscape that increases the competition for marketplaces such as Amazon, eBay and bol.com. Omnia unfolds how TikTok Shop will play out for brands and retailers looking to focus their energy and budgets on social media. Consumers will buy into content, not products, on TikTok Shop The virality of TikTok content has shown how the intertwining of content and shopping results in sales, profit and brand awareness. TikTok Shop’s marketplace will be relying heavily on a content-first strategy to influence buying behaviour, which will essentially replicate its already highly successful and addictive video content section that saw unexpected brands, especially in beauty, reach new heights when influencers, bloggers or ordinary app users include a shop link to a product. What TikTok seems to get right is that it centers shareability more than its rival social commerce platforms, making app users (and potential shoppers) more likely to want to get in on the trend - whatever that trend may be at any given time. According to HubSpot, 77% of TikTok users prefer it when a brand creates content around challenges, trends or memes, encouraging people to join. But more than that, brands with little to no advertising presence on TikTok are finding success simply because creators are using, posting and tagging product links. As the Business of Fashion states, “TikTok has become a beauty shopper’s playground.” For example, the hashtag #snailmucin has 776 million views (at the time of writing), which has helped COSRX’s snail mucin serum reach global corners. Content will be king in TikTok Shop’s success, however, in the short term, we do not see them overtaking as e-commerce’s new behemoth. This does not mean that marketplaces should not be wary of the growth trajectory of social commerce platforms: Social commerce will account for 50% of US e-commerce sales by 2027. TikTok Shop may replace Instagram as the leading social commerce platform The age of influencers on social media reached a stale point, in the last three years, since the height of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020, as consumers faced loss and tragedy on a grand scale. However, as cycles go, consumers have rebounded from contemplating the meaning of life and the urge to shop, travel and look their best has returned with gusto in 2023, despite inflation. For brands and retailers, this is good news: The age of influencers is back, and this time it’s not on Instagram. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook 2023. In the above graph we see how influencer marketing drastically dipped from 2021 - 2023 but plans to rebound in 2024 and onwards. The more interesting observation is how influencer marketing plans to remain stronger than social ad spending, which bodes well for TikTok Shop influencers going forward. Moreover, TikTok Shop’s e-commerce viability is even stronger than some may think: Although Meta platforms have been at it for longer, Instagram’s removal of their Shop tab in January as well as the withdrawal of in-app product links for influencers means that editorialised product virality has moved away from Instagram and more towards TikTok Shop’s corner. In addition to Instagram removing its Shop tab, the platform is also much stricter on - if not altogether against - independent vendors that may fall into the grey market. On TikTok Shop, however, independent sellers and influencers can revel in a much more lenient, open-air system that focuses more on sales than it does on legitimacy. Additionally, with adult social media users spending more time, on average, on TikTok (54 minutes per day) than Instagram (33 minutes), Omnia is curious to witness how consumers and social media users will approach each platform, especially considering the differences in how each platform tackles shopping. According to Insider Intelligence, TikTok Shop will have just over 33 million buyers in the US in 2023 alone just after its September launch. Even though this is lower than Facebook (65 million in 2023), the percentage of shoppers on each platform is equal at 37%, making TikTok the faster-growing e-commerce choice for shoppers. Talk to one of our consultants about dynamic pricing. Contact us Early hiccups include fake products and an unrefined algorithm However, it is not all sunshine and roses for TikTok Shop, as a large number of products on the platform seem to be low-quality goods from China. Bloomberg News, through a look at the Shop tab’s listings, found that many of the goods that are “recommended” by the app are outdated and irrelevant such as waist trainer vests, or simply a random choice of items from mini clay statues to budget planners, akin to what shoppers would see at a garage sale. Other issues include products that are counterfeited such as fake Nike sweaters and skincare products from Korean brand COSRX that are heavily and suspiciously underpriced and labelled as being made in China while the brand is well known for being produced in Korea. In this early stage of the marketplace’s launch in the US market, it is crucial for the algorithm that creates a user’s particular interests to impress and lead to conversions, especially since TikTok’s parent company, ByteDance, has set its eyes on selling $20 billion worth of merchandise in the next year. This rivals Amazon’s target for the US market too, however, what TikTok should try to avoid with their new shopping platform is the disorganised and unvetted flea market style that this early version of TikTok Shop is currently presenting to some users which is reminiscent of eBay’s and Amazon’s earlier days of jam-packed categories and sub-categories of vendors. In addition, some luxury and established brands within fashion and beauty are hesitant to jump into the TikTok tide, fearing brand depreciation due to the association of possible counterfeiters, leaving TikTok on the outskirts of a lucrative revenue stream. A volatile start with pros and cons In 2022, as a content-creating-specific platform, TikTok still outweighed Instagram (16.4%) and YouTube (17%) as the number one destination for shopping on social commerce, with 21% of consumers who use social media to shop selecting TikTok. As the platform improves and bolsters its shopping features, that number is only set to rise. Regarding the platform’s algorithm issues and reliability as a trusted marketplace with vetted sellers, ByteDance may experience setbacks in the US market. Policymakers remain concerned that consumer data is at risk of being misappropriated via Chinese vendors. TikTok Shop will have to work harder to onboard American vendors located within the US to avoid legal ramifications as well as a deterioration of trust among shoppers. Marketplace market share still resides in the hands of the larger marketplaces, but this we already know - what we don’t know and will anticipate learning is how consumers react to this developing channel of shopping, and what the long-term arc of TikTok Shop will be as e-commerce leaders fight for growth and market share.
TikTok Shop: What’s in store for marketplaces with the new e-commerce platform?22.09.2023
What quiet luxury tells retailers about consumer sentiment
A new trend in high-end fashion has emerged that speaks of a new era in how the ultra-wealthy convey their identity: Quiet luxury. Breaking from the days of loud logo-boasting in the early and mid-2000s, quiet luxury...
A new trend in high-end fashion has emerged that speaks of a new era in how the ultra-wealthy convey their identity: Quiet luxury. Breaking from the days of loud logo-boasting in the early and mid-2000s, quiet luxury gives a nod to subtle and almost invisible branding, while focusing on the overall fit and feel of an item of clothing. It has an “old money” feeling where a fashion time capsule transporting through the 1930s, 50s and of course, the 90s would capture similar styles and colours: Trench coats, leather, cream linen, 100% cotton, white button-ups, navy suede, cashmere and head-to-toe neutrals. There’s a reason these fabrics and styles have made a place for themselves in every decade since the turn of the 20th century: Quiet luxury is about clothing that possesses longevity, and it’s not phased with fitting in nor standing out. Compared to the days at the start of the new millennium of blingy design embellishments where even the short-sighted could spot a Gucci bag or a Dolce and Gabbana shirt, quiet luxury is less about attracting attention and more about embodying a lifestyle. Don’t get us wrong - quiet luxury still means status. However, if we look deeper into this trend, a change in consumer behaviour and psychology is noticeable, while the factor of economic anxiety permeates both buyers, luxury brands and mid-range brands trying to copy the trend. What does quiet luxury, also known as “stealth wealth”, mean for the fashion arena as well as sustainability? How and why has consumer behaviour changed in this manner? What lessons can brands and retailers learn? Omnia discusses this new trend as it pertains to the state of fashion, e-commerce and retail. Fashion continues to reflect the economic mood When the internet revolution optimised entire economies in the late 90s and early 2000s with growing wealth and booming revenues, consumer sentiment matched this energy. Shoppers wanted to show their successes and ambitions with material objects, and branded clothing and accessories were one of the best ways to do it. However, decades on, those same consumers as well as their children, who are now in the millennial and Gen Z age groups, are experiencing a totally different economic climate. “The idea of buying disposable or flashy fashion at this particular moment doesn’t feel as right as it did a couple of years ago,” said Robert Burke, chief executive of retail consultancy Robert Burke Associates, who shared this with Business of Fashion in an interview. “The psyche of the customer today, people are attracted to buying luxury goods that have longevity,” said Burke. Emphasising “this particular moment” that Burke refers to, consumers are more price-conscious today than they have been since the start of the covid-19 pandemic in early 2020: For two months in a row (May and June), US consumer spending has decreased by 3% versus last year, despite inflation falling significantly since this time in 2022. High-income earners are not excluded from this, as credit card and debit card spending for consumers earning more than $100,000 per year shows: As shown above, high-income earners have found ways to steadily decline their spending over the last 12-24 months, reaching -3% year-on-year spending in June 2023. As spending confidence declines among shoppers of all income brackets, shoppers are looking for a sense of long-term stability in their fashion choices so they don’t have to spend more money on clothing when the next trend cycle begins in a few months. “It’s a mirror to the current economic climate,” said Heather Kaminetsky, the North American president at Mytheresa, a global e-commerce marketplace for luxury brands. “There are times in the world when everything’s great and people want to show off, but right now, everyone’s a little bit uncertain.” During the height of the covid-19 pandemic in 2020 when travel bans and social restrictions were in place, consumers reflected the economic landscape with the casualisation of their wardrobe. Sweatpants, jumpers, t-shirts and sneakers became common choices for social or professional gatherings. Just as consumers reflected their feelings on the state of the world through their fashion purchases back then, they are repeating the cycle today as geopolitical tensions remain high, and inflation, food and energy costs cause consumers to crave the security and simplicity the quiet luxury trend purveys. “We came out of the pandemic and we had that maximalist moment, which was such a release,” said Lorna Hall, director of fashion intelligence at trend forecasting firm WGSN. This explains the 21% increase in global revenue from fashion retail between 2020-2021. “Now, reality has bitten: not just the economic reality, but the reality of real life. We’re back to daily norms.” What opportunities can quiet luxury give mass-market brands and retailers? Quiet luxury doesn’t only have to belong to the 1%. Since the emergence of it, more affordable brands that aren’t in this highly exclusive category should find ways to capitalise on it - and some already are. The bulk of consumers mostly purchase from fast fashion brands like Zara, Old Navy, Zalando, and H&M or from mid-range luxury brands like Banana Republic which have worked in the quiet luxury trend in unique ways. Banana Republic advertises that they design suits in Italian mills, and so does luxury brand Brunello Cucinelli, allowing this more affordable brand a step into the quiet luxury category. Other brands may create “capsule collections” that suggest they are a once-off phenomenon created for a specific person or time. Country Road’s 2023 winter collection includes a number of minimalistic basics, including a white fitted turtle neck knit that’s made from extra-fine Australian Merino wool with 20% silk. The item has no branding, bling or embellishments, however, the luxury of this item comes from the quality of the wool and silk and the sustainable practices that went into creating this garment. Upsell this with a strategic marketing plan, and Country Road becomes part of the quiet luxury inner circle before you can take out your debit card. Source: Country Road Australia The key for marketplaces like Zalando and ASOS or mass-market brands like Mango, Zara or Adidas to attract quiet luxury shoppers is to market their other winning attributes. Conveying agelessness or exclusivity will look different for each brand. For example, Adidas’ Adiclub rewards program conveys exclusivity by gifting members with first access to brand-new clothing ranges, giving invites to live events, discounting certain items, offering rewards for taking part in sporting community events, and even giving birthday gifts. A rewards program for a fashion-centric brand like Mango would not fit, which is why they opted for a video campaign featuring handmade and hand-painted ceramics made in La Bisbal d'Empordà, a small town in Spain, which are part of their new home collection. The campaign gives shoppers the feeling of owning something distinctive; something bespoke; and something that contributes to the economy of a small place far, far away. Both Adidas and Mango, which are brands that are unique to one another, used their individual winning attributes to convey either exclusivity or timelessness, which are central to the look and feel of quiet luxury. What minimalism is to home decor, quiet luxury could be to fashion For home and DIY retailers, quiet luxury intersects with the minimalism trend that has remained strong since before the Covid pandemic arrived. Minimalism spurred a number of brands to create furniture and decor ranges that focused on neutral tones, clutterless spaces and comfy textures. This offers even more brands and retailers opportunities to attract new customers, higher relevance and more sales. Trends like quiet luxury have staying power due to the fact that they offer accessible, easy-to-style pieces that can be replicated in both the luxury and mass-market categories. This dichotomy would not exist in 2006, the year the world delved into the high fashion scene of “The Devil Wears Prada”, where luxury leaders remained the gatekeepers and creators of trends. Today, social media allows anybody to become a viral trendsetter, from fashion to travel to homeware. Viral trends can be lucrative opportunities for brands and retailers if their sales, marketing and fashion merchandising teams work together to build a creative, robust strategy.
What quiet luxury tells retailers about consumer sentiment17.08.2023
Is e-commerce prepared for the EU’s new Price Indication Directive?
After its first introduction in 2021, followed by some delays in implementation, the EU’s Price Indication Directive (PID) is being implemented across the e-commerce and retail landscape throughout European member...
After its first introduction in 2021, followed by some delays in implementation, the EU’s Price Indication Directive (PID) is being implemented across the e-commerce and retail landscape throughout European member states including the Netherlands, Italy, Greece, Poland, and others. However, some countries have expressed concern about how the PID will be implemented, considering how vast and segmented the retail industry has become. How will this affect retailers, marketplaces and online stores, as well as consumers going forward? What are the specifications that retailers need to abide by? Omnia answers these questions and provides a solution for retail clients who may be concerned about how to implement this new legislation in an effective, seamless way. What are the PID’s key changes affecting retail stores and consumers? The PID is part of a larger legislative move within the Omnibus Directive towards bolstering consumer protection and transparency between retail stores and consumers. The PID section, which was a piece of legislation first created in 1998, is being updated with new rules to reflect the times. It focuses specifically on new ways of applying and advertising discounts, while the greater Omnibus Directive includes changes to other aspects of e-commerce such as online reviews, personal data, how aggregator websites display suggestions, and more. The PID focuses on ensuring retailers, online stores and vendors on marketplaces aren’t deceptively creating the illusion of a price decrease. Under Article 6a, a discount must be based on the lowest price within the last 30 days prior to the newly-introduced reduction and not a base price created by the retailer/vendor. In addition, when a trader intends on implementing a price reduction on an item, they must also show the item’s previous price. Price Announcements For example, a price decrease can be displayed as a percentage (“20% off”) or as a specific amount (“€20 off”). This can be shown with the previous price in a crossed-out form. Article 6a does not apply to long-term price reductions that shoppers may get with loyalty programs, cards or memberships, but specifically the price announcements. Here, we see how the PID gives transparency to pricing announcements: Before PID: A discount of 10% is announced. After PID: Discount is in fact 0% because the lowest price in the past 30 days is the same price as today. While a trader may usually advertise a discount of 33% (from 150€ to 100€) because it looks like a higher discount, thus incentivising consumers to buy a product, the PID now forces the trader to advertise either a 9.09% discount or not to advertise it at all. This means that as a retailer with an effective pricing strategy, one has to be able to access the cheapest price of the past 30 days and base their advertised discounts on it. More general price reduction announcements like “Sale now on” or “Black Friday specials” are also subject to Article 6a. Retailers, however, can still use general marketing techniques like “Best prices in town!” without Article 6a being invoked. Retailers The PID defines traders to be “any natural or legal person who sells or offers for sale products which fall within his commercial or professional activity”. In a nutshell, this includes sellers on marketplaces but not the actual marketplace itself or similar platforms like comparison shopping engines and aggregators. An example here would be eBay which acts as an intermediary platform between traders and shoppers. However, an intermediary like Amazon is subject to the PID rules when it is the actual seller of the goods or when it sells on behalf of another trader. In addition, Article 6a applies also to traders based outside the EU that direct their sales to EU consumers, including to traders offering goods via platforms. Talk to one of our consultants about dynamic pricing. Contact us Across the EU, reactions have been mixed Transposition and interpretation of the PID have not been a seamless or instantaneous process for most EU Member States. In early July, E-commerce Europe, which represents more than 150,000 businesses selling goods and services online, held a workshop to discuss its findings on how the PID is being approached by Member States. It showed mixed reactions and concerns, with each country approaching the PID with varying levels of seriousness. Among the concerns were the technical difficulties of indicating the prior price on price tags; how consumers will understand the various prices; how this affects promotional campaigns on items that need to sell rapidly (like fresh food), and the technical issues of displaying the prior price when selling through marketplaces. The countries experiencing the most difficulties were Italy, Sweden, Poland, Finland and Belgium. A number of survey questions were given to Member States regarding the implementation of the PID, with one survey showing high concern: Question: Have you experienced difficulties with implementing the new rules on price reductions? Answers: 10 Member States - Yes, regarding technical difficulties to indicate the prior price on physical price tags in stores. 9 Member States - Yes, it is more difficult to keep track of the prices and establish the prior price reduction. 8 Member States - Yes, regarding the concerns about less compliant competitors gaining a competitive advantage. 7 Member States - Yes, regarding technical difficulties to indicate the prior price in online selling interfaces. 5 Member States - Yes, regarding technical difficulties to indicate the prior price when selling through online marketplaces. How is Omnia taking action for existing and potential clients? In our Omnia 2.0 product that launched this year, our clients are able to have full insights into price history with a feature called the Directive Pricing Indicator. It shows the lowest selling price in the last 30 days on their dashboards so that brands and retailers utilising our product can easily comply with the Price Indication Directive. As the next iteration in our product development, we will make this data available in the setting of pricing strategies. In addition, Omnia plans to show the history of a client’s competitor prices in the last 30 days so that they are aware of their competitor’s pricing moves too. Your partner in price maturity and transparency The new Price Indication Directive will not only add value to the e-commerce experience for shoppers, but it will solidify trust and legitimacy between brands, retailers, their intermediaries, lawmakers and consumers. Transparency within pricing is a vital part of strategy and pricing maturity. As a client of Omnia’s, implementing these price-centric changes is efficient and simple. There is something to be said about a brand or retailer and their respective leaders wanting to improve their impact on the planet. As we’ve known and seen for the last five decades, it would be easy and mostly inconspicuous for a brand to simply continue the production, manufacturing and distribution tactics that are harmful to the environment. Up until recently, choosing sustainable operations within a business has been viewed as optional or as lacking demand from consumers.
Is e-commerce prepared for the EU’s new Price Indication Directive?15.08.2023
Sustainability in 2023: What brands and retailers can learn
There is something to be said about a brand or retailer and their respective leaders wanting to improve their impact on the planet. As we’ve known and seen for the last five decades, it would be easy and mostly...
There is something to be said about a brand or retailer and their respective leaders wanting to improve their impact on the planet. As we’ve known and seen for the last five decades, it would be easy and mostly inconspicuous for a brand to simply continue the production, manufacturing and distribution tactics that are harmful to the environment. Up until recently, choosing sustainable operations within a business has been viewed as optional or as lacking demand from consumers. Today, that is no longer in question. Brands and retailers that prioritise sustainability experience growth and loyalty from consumers, especially those in e-commerce. Online shopping produces up to 4x less carbon dioxide emissions than traditional store shopping, according to Dr Helen Buldeo Rai, a researcher at the Université Gustave Eiffel in Paris. As we discuss the growth potential of brands with products that make environmental, social and governance (ESG) claims, we take a look at which economic powers are leading the charge against environmental damage and what technologies brands and retailers can start looking into to lower their carbon footprint. In addition, we also ask, are consumers translating their eco-conscious sentiments into credible spending behaviour? Let’s jump into one of retail’s largest shadows: Sustainability. The EU is mobilising against fast fashion in 2023 The world’s largest fast fashion giants like H&M, Zara and Shein have been dealt a striking punch to the profit gut in June, as the EU parliament voted to tackle excessive production and consumption practices within the clothing industry, affecting how these brands have been operating for decades. Low production costs, high carbon footprints, questionable working conditions and greenwashing scandals have become part of the fabric of the fast fashion industry while revenue soars and environmental and social responsibility goals go unmet. European governments voted to create stricter rules and recommendations, including targets that are legally binding and quantifiable, as well as a total ban on the destruction of unsold textiles, which are often burnt. Due to the low-quality nature of fast fashion clothing, consumers in the EU are throwing away 5.8 million tonnes of textiles every year. On average, these clothes are only worn 7-8 times before being added to landfills. Source: Statista (Study conducted in 2020, released in 2023) According to the EU Parliament, the environmental representatives of the member states “request to ensure that production processes become less energy- and water-intensive, avoid the use and release of harmful substances, and reduce material and consumption footprints”. These recommendations will support new regulations presented by the EU Commission in 2022. This comes after a similar crackdown in March which targeted greenwashing and will focus on increasing surveillance of and penalties on brands that inflate or outright lie about their sustainability efforts. According to the EU Commission, this new legal threshold will save up to seven million tonnes of CO₂ emissions over 15 years. How are other economic powerhouses leaning into sustainability efforts within retail and e-commerce? American lawmakers have also been busy drawing up legislation to take on environmental, social and governance (ESG) efforts within retail and e-commerce. In 2022, the FABRIC Act (Fashioning Accountability and Building Real Institutional Change Act) was drafted and, among the new rules and regulations that brands and retailers would have to abide by, one of the incentivisations is a 30% tax reduction to return garment-making back to US soil to reduce excessive air travel and international shipping. Furthermore, The Fashion Sustainability and Accountability Act will require large fashion brands, including luxury ones like Prada and Armani, to declare their environmental and social practices and impact. This includes being transparent about their carbon emissions, supply chain systems, and their treatment of employees. This moves the onus onto the companies to be responsible for their impact on the planet, instead of the consumer. Speaking of consumers, how are US shoppers reacting to and engaging in eco-friendly behaviour? A study by GWI surveying approximately 21,000 Americans found that 39% of people want brands to be socially responsible and a further 37% want brands to reduce their environmental impact. In addition, 35% said a dismal environmental track record and false sustainability claims would deter consumers from shopping from a brand. Moreover, and since the US and Russia are the top two countries for greenhouse gas emissions per person per year, it is pleasing to see that consumers are making more eco-friendly decisions regarding their purchases: Drones and electric cars are the last mile’s biggest hope for a greener delivery system One of the worst contributors to carbon emissions within the e-commerce spiderweb is delivery to the consumer, whether that’s groceries, clothing or takeout. Often referred to as the “last mile” - similar to the last stretch of a long race - it is expensive, time-consuming and, more often than not, harmful to the environment. Brands and retailers have had to keep up with consumer demands which have swiftly moved from two-day delivery to 60-minute delivery, especially within the food category. This has, however, affected efforts to curb carbon emissions. How do e-commerce leaders balance the need for meeting consumer demands and the increasing pressure to improve their environmental and social impact? It may feel like a scene out of Blade Runner 2049, but home delivery via drones is becoming more and more popular. In 2021, approximately half a million drone deliveries were taking place worldwide, which increased to 1.5 million in 2022. In addition, the drone delivery package market is estimated to be valued at $555 million by 2030, with a growth rate of 49% between 2022 - 2030. “Drones could become an important part of the delivery supply chain. Companies will be much more likely to reach their emissions goals if they do not have to deliver a one-pound burrito with a two-ton vehicle,” says Rob Riedel, a partner at McKinsey. Source: McKinsey Drone Delivery Tracker and Forecast In Europe, drone technology for delivery is being developed by Airbus in the Netherlands and DHL in Germany. US companies like Boeing, FedEx and Alphabet (Google’s parent company) are also leading the way. Despite the excitement around the possibility of replacing traditional vans with drones, the industry will have to calculate how to make each individual drone delivery more cost-effective. Currently, one delivery of a small package within 8 km by a normal van emits 6.4 kg of carbon dioxide and costs €11, including labour and energy. With a drone, under the same conditions, a delivery emits 1 kg of CO₂ but costs €12.60. Labour takes up the majority of this cost as the current format is that only one drone delivery can be operated by one person versus hundreds of packages being delivered by a driver in a van. Currently, electric cars pose the greatest chance of the last mile drastically lowering their carbon emissions, as one driver can deliver multiple packages, keeping labour and energy costs low. Delivery by an electric car including five packages travelling within 8 km emits 0.14 kg of CO₂ and costs €1.50. Brands and retailers within e-commerce committed to tackling their environmental footprint should start strategising a future where drones and/or electric cars are a part of their delivery strategy. At the current growth rate (49% between 2022 - 2030), drone deliveries, amongst other eco-friendly delivery methods, could become integral to e-commerce’s supply chain methods over the next few decades. Are consumers acting on their statements about eco-conscious spending? In May 2023, McKinsey and NielsenIQ released one of their most extensive studies that analysed five years’ worth of direct-to-consumer sales data in the US, covering 600,000 unique products across 44,000 brands within 32 CPG (consumer packaged goods) categories including food, drinks, personal care and household items. Considering that consumer spending contributes two-thirds to the US GDP, analysing how sustainability-related claims on product packaging affect spending and consumer behaviour for the near and distant future is paramount to whether e-commerce and retail leaders may or may not invest more in sustainability. The study, which examined the performance of products that made ESG claims in competition with products that did not, found that US shoppers are overwhelmingly making the shift to more sustainable purchasing decisions: Products with ESG claims accounted for 56% of the total sales growth during the five-year period of the study (2017 - mid-2022). In particular, products with ESG claims experienced a 28% increase in cumulative growth versus 20% for products with no sustainability or social responsibility claims. Visualising, with this raw data, how US shoppers are translating sentiment into sales shows that consumers are actioning their beliefs around sustainable shopping practices. Within CPG categories, however, sales growth among products with sustainability-related statements is not even. For example, more consumers are spending on hair care products with ESG claims than on baby formula products with similar claims. This may be because new parents are wary of environmental claims such as “plant-based” or “vegan” and may opt to trust products that are more traditional. Hair care products account for approximately 45% of the retail sales among products with ESG statements, while baby formula only contributes roughly 5%. Nevertheless, critics may say that it is only the most prominent and wealthiest brands that can afford to implement environmental and social changes to their products and packaging, but the data proves different: In 59% of the categories, the smallest brands with sustainability claims had more growth than brands who did not. It was similar for large brands, where 50% of the categories saw products with ESG-related claims experience more growth than those without. If this data is anything to go by, it suggests that the retail and e-commerce sectors can begin to shift their thinking on sustainability: It is no longer a half-ignored checkbox on a list that curtsies to the planet in a moral dilemma, but a profitable, strategic and centred part that is integral to a brand’s ethos and practices. The time is now for brands and retailers to get on board A global survey conducted by McKinsey across 90 countries asked employees in several industries, including retail and e-commerce, how the company they work for is addressing ESG issues. Regarding the reasons why ESG is being tackled, 51% of respondents who work in retail and CPG said that it is because the company sees it “as a growth opportunity”, while 40% said it is to meet consumer expectations. Both of these reasons give hope to the notion that mindsets around sustainability are changing for the better, whether it is to seek growth or to retain eco-conscious customers. In 2023 and beyond, brands and retailers may continue to feel the effects of Covid-retailed supply chain issues, inflation, and energy disruptions. In addition to this, they will have to keep up with consumer demands and spending habits regarding their environmental and social responsibility stance. As the data has shown, more and more consumers are consistently choosing products with ESG-related claims, resulting in larger growth in comparison to brands that have no sustainability claims. Whether a brand or retailer offers one or hundreds of categories of products, the effort to improve its environmental impact must be genuine, consistent, tracked and quantifiable.
Sustainability in 2023: What brands and retailers can learn28.04.2023
Pricing: An approach to prosperous business development
Isn’t it a scary thought that 75% of S&P 500 incumbents will no longer be listed on the index by 2027? Due to slow or nonexistent evolvement, Standard & Poor’s data show that the evolution of corporate success has been...
Isn’t it a scary thought that 75% of S&P 500 incumbents will no longer be listed on the index by 2027? Due to slow or nonexistent evolvement, Standard & Poor’s data show that the evolution of corporate success has been dwindling for more than 50 years, stipulating that the average lifetime of an enterprise has decreased from 61 years in 1958 to just 18 years in 2011. Adaption and evolution are pertinent to the success of any enterprise, and no case of this being true is larger than the digitization of shopping. From malls to iPhones, the development of e-commerce has been the funnel for the start and the end for countless brands and retailers. As e-commerce experiences its largest growth spurt in the last three years since 2020, creating the most competitive landscape the industry has ever faced, one factor for e-commerce success has remained strong and true: Price is the number-one profit driver. As correctly stated by Prof. Hermann Simon, the world’s leading expert on pricing and the founder of Simon-Kucher & Partners, just a 1% increase in prices can yield up to 10% in profit. In this article, Omnia will discuss the importance of pricing for an enterprise’s long-term success and will display why a pricing strategy, coupled with a pricing software solution, is simply smart business development. In inflationary times, pricing is the cornerstone for enterprise success For decades, as one of the 7 P’s of marketing - a basic blueprint for retail and brand owners to launch successful products - pricing took a comfortable middle-child spot without enough attention being paid to it. The impressive and explosive trajectory of e-commerce in the last five to ten years has changed that. However, it isn’t just the growth of e-commerce that has directed the light onto pricing, but the very nature of its competitiveness and oversaturation. Consumers have become king, experiencing more options to shop and more capabilities to compare. The retailer no longer enjoys the peace of mind of knowing the consumer has to come to them - quite the opposite. As the balance of power shifted to the consumer, brands and retailers began rubbing their hands together to strategise on how they can capture the customer once more. As the other P’s (product, place, people, process, promotion and physical evidence) became less prominent as shopping moved to a web shop, pricing has become the top factor for consumers when choosing or abandoning a particular brand or retailer. In 2023, following the effects of covid lockdowns, supply chain issues and record-high inflation, pricing is more influential than ever: McKinsey reports that price is at the top of the list of consumers’ motivations to change their spending behaviours. US consumers are switching brands and retailers now more than they did in 2020 and 2021 (33% versus 46%). Furthermore, in PwC’s 2023 Global Consumer Insights survey, 96% of consumers said they intend to adopt cost-saving behaviours over the next six months and 69% have already amended spending on non-essential items. With price becoming so pertinent to consumer spending decisions in inflationary times, it becomes that much more vital for brands and retailers in e-commerce to stay ahead of market changes and conditions while driving revenue and profit upwards. On the other end of the spectrum, it’s not simply consumer buying behaviour that has propelled the importance of price: If one analyses the last decade of e-commerce, it is the powerful monopoly of marketplaces like Amazon, Google Shopping, Zalando and eBay, as well as large D2C online stores, that have developed a sense of control and manipulation of pricing in multiple categories. From electronics to personal care and everything in between, vendors and D2C small-to-medium businesses (SMBs) are contending with lower prices on these giant platforms that they feel pressured to meet or beat. And, without expertise and the right tools, how can they? Amazon has 1.9 million SMBs worldwide as third-party sellers on its marketplace, and owns a 38% majority of the US’s e-commerce market share, showing just how influential one marketplace could be over the pricing of multiple categories. It then becomes imperative that enterprises have access to scraping data and robust pricing rules and technology to remain competitive in an industry largely dominated by marketplaces. Talk to one of our consultants about dynamic pricing. Contact us Mobilising pricing power Considering how competitive and concentrated the e-commerce arena has become, with marketplaces like Amazon and Google Shopping dominating market conditions, while the D2C stream increases by double digits, how does an enterprise create a forward-thinking, data-driven pricing strategy? How does an enterprise know when to action that 1% price increase so fondly spoken of by Prof. Simon? A Bain & Company global study shows that of the 1,700 retail leaders surveyed, 85% say management teams need to make smarter pricing decisions and only 15% believe they have effective price monitoring tools. The gap is considerable. However, as a McKinsey study suggests, incorporating AI-based pricing into retail pricing and promotion can add a valuable Dollar impact of between $106 million - $212 million, which may go a long way in easing the frustrations of the aforementioned business leaders, as well as their margins. In addition, Boston Consulting Group (BCG) shared in a study of theirs that it may take as little as three months to see up to a 5% increase in profit by implementing optimised pricing. As Prof. Simon also said, “Profits are the cost of survival and the creators of new value,” but, are retail leaders ready to maximise this value that’s right in front of them for their brand and their customers? According to the same Bain & Company study, implementing “new pricing capabilities” can increase the average profit by between 200 - 600 basis points: The crux of mobilising pricing power is knowing that it is not a once-off solution to fixing dismal profit margins, high sales team turnover and waning customer loyalty. Leadership needs to view pricing as the relationship is cannot get out of - and that’s a good thing. Developing pricing muscle and pricing maturity is a multi-year journey with an investment in data, automated processes and talent. Building longevity in value When one thinks about the kind of brain power, talent, hard work and almost indispensability a company may possess to reach the S&P 500 list, it seems inconceivable that a concept as elusive as adaption and evolvement could be its downfall. This goes to show how a simple mindset shift could be the deciding factor of stagnation and dissolution or growth and profitability. McKinsey shares that digitization “has less to do with technology and more with how companies approach development” and that when well executed, “it can unlock significant value by compressing timelines and eliminating duplication or inefficiencies.” As e-commerce technology advances and becomes more intelligent, it is unthinkable that one of the most critical and unpredictable factors - pricing - is not maintained manually. However, not only is the automation of pricing informed by competitor data and market insights necessary to demonstrably meet commercial goals, it is the partner in pricing, not just the software, that is needed.
Pricing: An approach to prosperous business development22.02.2023
E-commerce prices drop by 1% in January 2023 compared to 2022
Online shopping prices saw a 1% decrease in January 2023, compared to prices during the same time in 2022. In a consistent trend with decreasing e-commerce prices, January became the fifth month in a row that...
Online shopping prices saw a 1% decrease in January 2023, compared to prices during the same time in 2022. In a consistent trend with decreasing e-commerce prices, January became the fifth month in a row that year-on-year online prices have dropped, according to the Adobe Digital Price Index. Major categories like such as electronics, computers, home appliances and garden products all experienced major price drops thanks to the impact of inflation on the consumer’s wallet, which has culminated in year-on-year (YoY) decreases. Computers saw the largest price decline, seeing a 15.8% drop; with electronics seeing an 11.9% drop. Home appliances decreased by 2.5% and home-and-garden products fell by 3.5%. Sporting goods saw 6.4% and books 3%. However, one category that has not seen decreases of late is groceries, which has seen a YoY 12.6% increase in January. Tools and the home improvement category have also seen an increase of 6.9%. These two categories, especially groceries, have continued to see consistent support from consumers, despite a change in purchasing decisions, including buying in bulk, waiting for specials, or changing to white-label brands. Although prices for home-and-garden products fell 3.5% YoY, this came after numerous months of the category seeing steady price increases. Consumers have long supported this category thanks to a massive shift in how consumers like to spend their time and money during and post the covid-19 pandemic. Families and young professionals have, across the board, begun spending more time at home between 2020 - 2022. Overall, these decreases are also a result of the global inflation crisis that is finally settling down after many months of high prices. As predicted by Aline Schuiling, a Senior Economist Eurozone at Group Economics of ABN AMRO Bank, who shared her inflation predictions at our Price Points Live event in Amsterdam in October 2022, inflation will drop drastically from 2022 - 2023, and then even more so in 2024. What this means for brands and pricing There are different methods of adjusting prices. It is always important to look not only at the price alone, but the availability, the data, how well a product is selling, and the associated marketing budget. For some products, a downward price adjustment will be necessary because there is more competition for the lower price. In addition, the behavioural data from Google Analytics and the profitability of Google advertising efforts can be taken into account when deciding if a price should be reduced, maintained or even raised. Profitability is more decisive in the end, and this can be increased across assortments of data and insights on the respective products and categories are available. For brands with a dynamic pricing solution like Omnia’s, reacting to these market changes is automated and immediate. However, for brands who are trying to keep up with changing consumer behaviour and the impact of falling inflation, it will be a constant battle of walking one step forward and two steps back.
E-commerce prices drop by 1% in January 2023 compared to 202216.02.2023
D2C in 2023: What we predict and recommend for brands
In 2019, as a retailer, a D2C brand, or a pricing expert; if you heard the statistic that, in 2022, 64% of consumers will make regular purchases directly from brands, you’d likely wonder what could possibly take place...
In 2019, as a retailer, a D2C brand, or a pricing expert; if you heard the statistic that, in 2022, 64% of consumers will make regular purchases directly from brands, you’d likely wonder what could possibly take place in between those years for D2C shopping to become the majority choice for consumers. Direct-to-consumer, commonly called D2C, has jumped leaps and bounds in the last few years thanks to the traditional relationship between brand and retailer experiencing a reckoning with covid-19 lockdowns and closures that spanned two years. In essence, the new face of D2C e-commerce was born out of a need for survival amongst brands, from tech to fashion, who were staring down the barrel in 2020 with closed retailers, supply chain issues and sitting stock. On the other end, stay-at-home consumers were searching for a way to receive goods directly to their homes. Today, D2C sales, including established brands and digital natives, are estimated to reach $182.6 billion in 2023 and, overall, D2C sales have increased by more than 36% from 2020 - 2022 in the US. Despite these successes, D2C - both online and offline - has also suffered from the global inflation crisis of 2022 that left brands contending with 10.1% inflation in the UK, 6.1% in France and a 31.7% increase in energy prices across the EU. Facing increased competition, residual inflation, and a crackdown on sustainability practices, how does D2C fare for 2023? As we explore this growing sector of global e-commerce, Omnia looks to paint a portrait of its current state, as well as our predictions and expectations for the year ahead. Established brands will dominate revenue in 2023, showing the major shift big brands have made to D2C Despite showing impressive growth over the last few years, revenue for digitally-native vertical brands (DNVBs) will take a backseat to the more established brands that have made the move to D2C in recent years. In 2023, digitally-native brands are expected to earn $44.6 billion in revenue while established brands will earn much larger revenues, taking home $138 billion. In 2024, these numbers are expected to rise to $51 billion and $161 billion respectively. However, that doesn’t mean any less focus should be placed on the digital side of a brand’s sales stream. Although it is notable to see how well digitally-native brands are doing in the retail landscape, it is more noteworthy to see just how many established brands have made the move to D2C while some have circumvented the retailer route altogether at inception. Tech and home appliance brands like JBL, Phillips, Dyson, Bosch, and Miele, and sports brands like Nike, The North Face, Patagonia, New Balance and Under Armour have gone D2C - and these are just a handful of international brands that are making the move. In Europe alone, D2C e-commerce has grown by 23% between 2021-2022, with Germany leading the way as it remains Europe’s most sophisticated nation regarding logistics, infrastructure and a supply chain network. In addition, 57% of multinational companies worldwide gave “significant financial investment” in their D2C strategy, while another 31% added “moderate investment”. In the US, the amount of D2C brand consumers are set to increase to 111 million shoppers in 2023, making up 40% of their population. Globally, D2C-specific shoppers are at 64%, up 15% from 2019. Source: Insider Intelligence - D2C Brands 2022 Talk to one of our consultants about dynamic pricing. Contact us Why more consumers are choosing D2C over retailers When we see brands experiencing double-digit growth in their D2C channels, we know it’s because consumers have been making a conscious and active decision to go to the brand they love and trust directly. According to Statista, the leading reason consumers choose to shop directly from a brand, at 49%, is better pricing. In second place is free delivery at 47% and free returns at 35% in third place. Free delivery and returns were made industry-standard by Amazon before the covid-19 pandemic arrived, and have become the expectation of most consumers who specifically choose online shopping over a retailer for the reason of convenience and speed. Source: Statista 2023 However, despite what many consumers think that they are getting a cheaper price directly from a brand, this is often not the case, which is why brands need a thorough dynamic pricing tool to offer a better price - not always the cheaper one - for the brand’s consistent growth. As Omnia`s pricing data show, the necessity for a dynamic pricing solution is twofold: Brands have to contend with their entire retailer network. On average, a brand’s product will be sold by more than 1,000 shops on multiple marketplaces and comparison shopping engines in a national market, which the D2C channel must compete with. Secondly, prices are volatile; meaning that on average the lowest market price for a third of all products for any assortment will either increase or decrease on a daily basis. A dynamic pricing tool gives a brand the ability to react to market changes and consumer demands. The need for market insight is, therefore, vital for a brand. D2C in 2023: In the face of increased competition, new brands will need to find a way to stand out Gymshark, a UK-based sports apparel brand founded at first, in 2012, to digital customers only, has been labelled as a “challenger brand” for one simple reason: It’s found success in creating products around neglected areas within sportswear; one of them being the interests of the everyday gym-goer, instead of the successes of famous athletes. Nike, Adidas and Reebok, who have largely encompassed their ethos, identity and marketing around the famous athlete, from Rafael Nadal to Shaquille O’Neal to Cristiano Ronaldo, have peddled the dream of sporting victories to billions of consumers who - for the most part - can’t or won’t achieve that level of sporting success; although it is nice to fantasise. Instead, Gymshark looked to focus their communication and overall identity on the wants and needs of the daily sport-lover and gym-goer who has a 9-to-5, or a family at home. In addition, the brand has focused on creating gym wear that isn’t only for model-like physiques or for fully able-bodied consumers. The online store shows people one would actually be sharing the leg press machine - not Tiger Woods. Now valued at €1.39 billion only a decade after its inception, the lesson that Gymshark can offer longstanding brands with a D2C channel is to not tell consumers to challenge the status quo with sharp taglines (“impossible is nothing”; “just do it”) but to actually do it themselves. By 2025, the sportswear market across the globe will be valued at €395 billion, with a growth rate of 8-10 percent, showing just how much potential there is within the market to rise above the fray. “Activewear start-ups have found success by creating hyper-specialised products and marketing to local communities first,” reports Business of Fashion. Not dissimilar to Gymshark, Off-White, the brand created by Virgil Abloh, learnt to fill an almost non-existent high-fashion-meets-streetwear gap. The creative director sadly passed away in 2021, however, his vision for meeting a misunderstood or neglected part of the streetwear market caught the attention of Louis Vuitton which led to his appointment as the luxury brand’s menswear artistic director in 2018. Off-White is still in production today. “In a large part, streetwear is seen as cheap. What my goal has been is to add an intellectual layer to it and make it credible,” said Virgil. Strategic partnerships are also part of Off-White’s game plan to succeed in this niche, collaborating with both ends of the spectrum - from Jimmy Choo to Levi’s to Sunglass Hut to Nike. Whether a brand is within the activewear or luxury category or not, we see opportunities for D2C players to focus on a niche in their segment or, like Gymshark and Off-White, look at the needs of consumers buying from those categories to see where they aren’t being met. How D2C brands can prioritise long-term success and growth in 2023 Rely less on digital marketing spending for growth In the early years of Facebook and Instagram, it was easy for brands to rely on sizeable marketing budgets to push growth. As consumers consumed content that was both organic and paid for, brands could rely on these platforms for sales and awareness. In addition, digital marketing on these channels used to be more affordable than it is today: On average, the cost per impression (reaching one person equals one impression) on Facebook cost $14.9 in 2021 versus $7.8 in 2019. The cost to advertise also gets more expensive if there are more ads within a segment, making the increasing competition among D2C brands in food, clothing, or tech even more costly. The smarter alternative to funnelling funds into digital marketing is to have an all-rounded approach that involves social media with user-generated content, tips and “how-to” video content; strategic partnerships with brand ambassadors; personalised email marketing and subscriptions; as well as omnichannel in-store experiences. How D2C brands spend money to acquire customers matters over the long term with strategic, disciplined spending being better over the long term. Focus on quality customer data British mathematician Clive Humby said in 2006 that “Data is the new oil”, which is a statement that has proven to be true over the last few years. Research firm Magna Global found in a study they conducted that 83% of consumers are willing to share data - such as retail preferences, location, age, and marital status - to access discounted or personalised services. In addition, McKinsey reports that 80% of consumers want personalisation from retailers, which is a lesson the D2C sector could learn using customer data. Using quality customer data, D2C brands can build stronger relationships with customers, based on their personal preferences, when it comes to new product launches, sales, returns and delivery, and more. D2C can also optimise pricing and product assortment, as well as help brands understand the customer journey online. Hire the right talent Finding and retaining quality talent will be key to achieving long-term D2C success. From branding to e-commerce to digital to customer experience (CX/UX), having professionals and experts in these arenas is a non-negotiable point. Firstly, companies can look to see who, in the team, has the knowledge, credentials and skills to push forward the D2C agenda while offering them leadership positions or promotions. Another way to secure strong talent is to acquire professionals from existing scale-ups that have shown to be strong competitors in the market. First-party data and underserved niche markets will be D2C’s best friends in 2023 Over the last three years since D2C experienced its most growth, we’ve been pleasantly surprised at the sector’s resilience, considering it is up against e-retailer and marketplace behemoths like Amazon, eBay, Bol.com, Walmart, and Target, as well as social commerce marketplaces under the Meta title. Both brands and consumers have shown an almost stubborn competitiveness in forging their own way within retail and e-commerce. However, 2023 will not come without its challenges for D2C brands: Gaining and implementing strategies with first-party customer data will become more vital for growth while Apple and government regulators work to make third-party data a thing of the past. In addition, as the competition increases within D2C, brands will have to find ways to rise above the fray to stand out. In categories like skincare, beauty, or sports apparel where mostly established brands own the customer, new and emerging D2C brands should grab underserved niche markets by the horns.
D2C in 2023: What we predict and recommend for brands02.02.2023
Design Infringement in Fashion: A Growing Concern for Brands
The line between creative inspiration and infringement can be thin, dotted, or invisible at times. This was one of the lessons that Adidas had to learn this month when it lost its $8 million lawsuit against American...
The line between creative inspiration and infringement can be thin, dotted, or invisible at times. This was one of the lessons that Adidas had to learn this month when it lost its $8 million lawsuit against American fashion label Thom Browne over the use of parallel stripes in their designs. The German sportswear giant, who filed the lawsuit in 2021 saying that Thom Browne’s use of the stripes infringed on their trademark logo, believed that the use of the striped design was “confusingly similar” to the one presented in their logo. In 2020, global fashion brand Zara was sued by a smaller luxury label, Amiri, for copying a design of jeans without permission to use the design that included pleated leather panelling and zippers around the knee; after which the two brands decided to settle. And, more recently, French luxury brand Hermes has sued NFT artist Mason Rothschild for creating and selling NFT digital images of their famous Birkin bag, saying that the name of his work, entitled “MetaBirkin”, appropriated the Birkin trademark. At the crux of these lawsuits, along with many others, is a conundrum of creative expression, trade infringement, artistic licence and consumer confusion that affects D2C brands both small and large. As the fashion category within retail is so often pushed forward by something as ambiguous as creative expression, is there a defined lane that brands must stay inside of to avoid causing a fashion collision? Are fashion and beauty brands blurring into a homogenous cauldron of shared creativity? Do fast-fashion brands like SHEIN, Revolve, H&M and Zara get away with copycat behaviour because of their overall size and influence in e-commerce? Copyright and intellectual property laws may favour fast-fashion giants “Designers could not claim protection for any and all sweaters simply because they happen to make sweaters. But they can copyright the creative aspects of their work that make it different from the norm, such as a unique pattern,” says lawyer and Editor-in-Chief of The Fashion Law Julie Zerbo. “The reality is, in most cases, it's perfectly legal to knock off a dress design,” says Zerbo, which is why Amiri’s case against Zara resulted in being settled out of court as Zara made the case that the skinny jeans were “generic, ornamental and not distinctive” enough for Amiri to act on protectable trade dress rights, according to their legal representatives. In a similar instance, Nigerian designer Elyon Adebe found a replica of one of her crochet sweaters on SHEIN, the Chinese fashion brand that is the most-installed shopping app in the US; which seems to have copied the design and the colour scheme. The handmade garment was priced at $330 while the sweater on the e-commerce giant was priced at $17, catering to the Generation Z (aged 11 - 26) market that has largely contributed to SHEIN’s success. The copied sweater was removed from SHEIN’s website after Adebe posted about it on social media. The fact that many fast fashion behemoths are able to infringe, borrow or take inspiration from smaller D2C brands without much financial or social recourse leans toward a point made by Eleanor Rockett, author of the academic paper “Trashion: An Analysis of Intellectual Property Protection for the Fast Fashion Industry” published for the University of Plymouth, who said fashion is an industry “with copying at its heart” but further thickens the grey area when saying, “Intellectual property protection must strike the appropriate balance between inspiring innovation and restricting imitation.” She also references a theory that suggests copying spurs on innovation instead of stifling it, by saying that the more a trend or design goes viral, the faster it becomes irrelevant, in turn making for ripe conditions for more design innovation. European copyright law offers wider protections than in the US Rockett states how lax the intellectual property laws are in the US, which is supported by Zerbo’s thoughts above, and that the openness of them actually encourages copying and hastening the fashion cycle so that new designs can be made. In Europe, however, the requirements needed to be protected by copyright law offer far more coverage in the sense that there are only two requirements to meet: The design’s originality. It must be proven it is the creator’s own intellectual property The design must have the ability to be expressed in an exact and objective manner by an individual American law only offers protection if there are distinguishable features on the garment while European copyright law gives brands and designers wider protection. For example, in 1994, French luxury label Yves Saint Laurent (YSL) sued Ralph Lauren for copyright infringement. YSL’s dress was black, full-length, made of silk, had gold buttons, no pockets and a narrow lapel. The Ralph Lauren dress was black, full-length, made of wool, had black buttons, included pockets, and a wide lapel. YSL still won despite the dresses in question having unique characteristics, and took home €323,000. Find out more about how Omnia can help brands with price monitoring. Read more Are fashion and beauty brands blurring into a homogenous cauldron of shared originality? Shared originality - something that can’t quite technically exist but is tending to spread within fashion and beauty retail. Just this week, Nike sued Lululemon for patent infringement, accusing Lululemon of using some of Nike’s flyknit technology in their lifestyle sneakers. Although both brands produce sportswear and lifestyle shoes and clothing, their markets, branding, identity, ethos and marketing strategies are completely different; however, something that used to be a uniquely Nike product is now - kind of - Lululemons too. In addition, prior to this, Lululemon did not include any shoes as a part of their offering, making the fly knit look-alike their first venture into offering sneakers. In the past, Adidas has been accused of using fly knit technology in their Primeknit shoes too, adding fuel to the fire that proprietary designs and formulas that are used, borrowed or outright stolen make for a market that lacks individuality. While the shoes may not look similar, it is the fly knit technology patented by Nike in 2013 that Lululemonhas allegedly infringed upon, which is a knitted textile used in Nike's running shoes. Credit: @lululemon Instagram Credit: @Nikerunning Instagram Eventually, will everything look the same to consumers? Because branded items are losing their distinctiveness, consumers may opt for an item that looks similar to one they truly want, but is cheaper, thus increasing the competition within pricing. Brands are now not only competing on a product level, but on a pricing level because said products are becoming homogenised. The same can be said within beauty which has seen an explosion in market saturation in the last five years. If Chanel and MAC release liquid concealers within just a few months of one another that both offer pore-blurring technology, the product is no longer bespoke and the consumer can begin to choose a winning product on a price level, pushing forward the snowball effect that stepping on another brand’s proprietary technology only leads to a price war in the market. Although brand individuality is blurring, consumers can enjoy the unintended benefits When it comes to pricing, it works in the consumer’s favour when brands with similar products compete; keeping prices steady for shoppers. If there was no competition in pricing, there would only be monopolies; stifling opportunity and competition for new, smaller brands. When Andrea Saks from “The Devil Wears Prada” was on the receiving end of a scathing monologue from Miranda Priestley, played by Meryl Streep, for making a snarky comment about high-end fashion, she learnt that the “lumpy blue sweater” she was wearing wasn’t an exemption from the fashion industry, but very much a cog in the machine of it. Priestley's point was that fashion is not only cyclical, but shared, easily influenced and even more influential. Fashion is an industry full of brands and trends that either intentionally or unintentionally step on each other’s toes when it comes to designs, formulas or technology; all in the name of attracting and holding consumer demand. This is not to say that trademarks are up for grabs, and brands have the right to protect what they have built. Ultimately, the consumer must decide how they go about navigating the flock of brands that are all starting to look like doves and this is at times where dynamic pricing for D2C brands plays the biggest role for the consumer.
Design Infringement in Fashion: A Growing Concern for Brands31.01.2023
The Evolution of the Beauty Industry in 2023 and Beyond
Consumers who enjoy shopping from the beauty category have long been used to two main pillars to choose from: Luxury brands like Dior or Yves Saint Laurent, and drug store brands like Revlon, Essence and Catrice which...
Consumers who enjoy shopping from the beauty category have long been used to two main pillars to choose from: Luxury brands like Dior or Yves Saint Laurent, and drug store brands like Revlon, Essence and Catrice which are found in pharmacies. Recently, a third pillar, made up of new-age makeup and skincare companies such as Drunk Elephant or Fenty Skin, has arisen and shown intimidating potential to the status quo within beauty. However, alongside the wave of new beauty brands aiming to disrupt the industry with reformed ingredients and packaging policies, there has also been an increase in the number of famous actors, singers and social media influencers who have released beauty products and skincare lines, overwhelming the industry as a whole. It begs the question of if there is enough space for all of them to thrive. It also takes us to another point: Do we really need another celebrity beauty product? How are these new beauty brands different? And, are long-standing luxury brands affected by the hype about indie brands? Here is a look at how the world of beauty is doing in 2023 and beyond. The rise of celebrity and “Instagram” beauty brands For decades, the only association celebrities or supermodels had with makeup or skincare brands was the fact that they were the face of it: Kate Moss for Rimmel; Cindy Crawford for Revlon; or Beyonce for Neutrogena. Nonetheless, there was a defining knowledge amongst consumers that this was not their personal brand but simply an endorsement. Since around 2015, however, the rise of brands created and owned by celebrities include ranges from Kylie Jenner, Rihanna, Selena Gomez, Ariana Grande, Kim Kardashian, Jennifer Lopez, Victoria Beckham, Pharrell Williams, Kate Moss, Scarlett Johansson, Hailey Bieber and now even Brad Pitt and Travis Barker have entered the field. With a revenue industry expected to be $571 billion in 2023, endorsements and campaigns are no longer what celebrities want - they’re more interested in owning a piece of the billion-dollar pie that industry leaders like Kylie Cosmetics, valued at $1.2 billion, and Rihanna’s Fenty Beauty, valued at $1.4 billion, have managed to gain. Charlotte Palermino, a qualified esthetician and the co-founder and CEO of Dieux, a US skincare brand founded in 2020 that focuses heavily on sustainable ingredients and packaging, says, “It feels like there is almost no thought to the execution but that the main goal is to simply make money,” in reference to the haul of celebrity beauty brands. This trend has coincided with the growth of platforms like Instagram and TikTok that make for well-oiled machines that directly reach millions of consumers each minute of the day. The Instagram account for Fenty Beauty received more than 45 million engagements (likes, comments, shares) on its posts in the year of 2021 while the account for Kylie Cosmetics received over 64 million. And, remember, this is just one of the many social media platforms that celebrities are using to attract a loyal fan base for growth and revenue. Instead of paying for an expensive TV advert to run during prime time viewing, celebrities simply photograph, film and post from their personal and branded Instagram and TikTok profiles, which is not only essentially free to create but allows the everyday consumer into the lives and beauty routines of the ultra famous. For celebrities, this combination has catapulted their brands into the same stratosphere that long-time brands like Covergirl and L'oreal have existed in for decades in a short period of time. An Instagram beauty brand is not the same as selling on Instagram When we talk about Instagram beauty brands, we’re not simply referring to brands that are sold on the platform. Beauty has experienced a radical surge in new brands being born out of the Instagram era which means aesthetics, beautiful packaging, and even font selection are vital to the virality of a product. Instagram beauty brands are minimalistic, sleek, and colour-coordinated, with a focus on not trying too hard to impress. In addition, how strategic a brand is with their Instagram feed layout adds to the virality and legitimacy of it. Instagram brands have a larger focus on being photogenic so that consumers will want to follow and mimic their page, and ultimately buy their product. There is also a stronger focus on connecting to consumers on a deeper level by posting user-generated reels and tutorials to show how the product can be used by anyone at home. We see here how Fenty Skin, which is part of Fenty Beauty, uses a minimalistic design for the packaging and sticks to a particular colour scheme in their content strategy. Above is Beauty of Joseon, a Korean beauty brand that gained rapid popularity on Instagram between 2020 - 2022 thanks to its simplistic branding and cleanly-curated feed. Here we see Rhode, the skincare line from Hailey Bieber, which remains true to the ‘Instagram brand’ philosophy of uncluttered packaging, post-worthy selfies and lifestyle shots, a modern font, and a dedicated colour scheme. What new beauty brands are trying to get right Clean Beauty For decades, established beauty powerhouses have made little to no effort to improve their sustainability efforts and to answer questions on their animal testing policies. However, in the last five years, the trend of “clean beauty” has skyrocketed like a bullet out of a gun, forcing older beauty houses to contend with new, indie brands that make clean beauty central to their identity, marketing and long-term strategy. To be clear, clean beauty refers to products that are cruelty-free, vegan, sustainably made, and with ingredients that are safe for you and the environment. Beyond that, clean beauty may involve excluding ingredients like fragrance which can be irritating to the skin, as well as toxic ingredients that may be carcinogenic. Sustainable Production and Packaging Outside of the bottle, sustainability within packaging is a large focus for indie brands. However, it’s not as simple as ensuring your packaging is plastic-free or recyclable. Indie beauty brand leaders constantly have to walk the tightrope of creating a product that not only does what it claims to do, but remains within a respectable price range for consumers, all while having to factor in the cost of eco-friendly and ethical production processes, delivery, and packaging. Despite these challenges, new-age beauty brands have much stronger policies on eco-conscious packaging, using materials like paper, glass, airless packaging, and aluminium, compared to the global behemoths that have dominated beauty practices for the last century. Sustainability as a core element of a brand’s identity has also become essential to consumers, as a THG Ingenuity study shows that 74% of consumers are willing to pay for more for a skincare product that has sustainable packaging. Direct to consumer In 2023, the total amount of online sales completed in the beauty and personal care market is estimated to be 27%, and is expected to increase to 33% in 2025. Of that, 63% of online purchases will be done via a smartphone instead of a laptop by the same year. With this growth rate, more consumers are choosing to engage with a brand directly instead of heading to a large beauty retailer. It is no surprise, then, that most new-age beauty brands have started out with a D2C ecommerce-only model before even considering moving to brick-and-mortar retailers. They have bypassed the traditional ways brands would typically get lift-off within a market by recreating the rules for themselves. In this sense, D2C brands can receive first-hand data on what their shoppers like and dislike; they can pick up the pain points of the online shopping journey; and they have full control over their packaging and delivery practices. Should luxury brands be worried? Luxury brands have seen fads within beauty before when every celebrity from Britney Spears to Jennifer Lopez had their own fragrance in the early 2000’s, however, this trend was premised on a cultural obsession with celebrities, supermodels, tabloids and their lifestyles. In 2023, things are different: Two key factors for a successful beauty or skincare brand are transparency and authenticity. Actor Jared Leto told Vogue Magazine that he “has never been interested in beauty products,” and then released a body care line with 12 products. With new celebrity brands popping up at least once a month, consumers end up feeling overwhelmed, confused and frustrated facing a saturated market. As the up-and-down hype of a new celebrity brand comes and goes, consumers will want to turn to something trustworthy and made of quality, and this is where luxury brands have a chance to shine by reaffirming their relationship with consumers. Regarding indie brands such as Drunk Elephant, Dieux, Glow Recipe and The Ordinary, luxury brands may have to step up their efforts to be more sustainable and transparent about their production processes, who make up their C-Suite, how their packaging is made and more. For the most part, luxury brands have thrived on having an air of mystery and exclusivity about them which may no longer work for younger consumers. The more transparent you are as a brand, the more millennials and Gen Z shoppers, who make up the bulk of the consumer pool, will trust you.
The Evolution of the Beauty Industry in 2023 and Beyond18.01.2023
Amazon layoffs: Tech and retail contend with a post-pandemic slump
During the peak of Covid-19, businesses around the world experienced the toll of the pandemic with either sky-rocketing growth or heartbreaking closures. The structure of national lockdowns and social restrictions meant...
During the peak of Covid-19, businesses around the world experienced the toll of the pandemic with either sky-rocketing growth or heartbreaking closures. The structure of national lockdowns and social restrictions meant that businesses, especially in retail, that had a primarily online business model thrived, gaining in revenue and hiring staff to meet their new demands. By early 2022 in the US, e-commerce transactions, as a whole, increased by 55% during the pandemic, increasing spending by $609 billion. Online businesses, marketplaces and web shops on the receiving end of this were growing exponentially and it seemed like this trend would continue upwards as economies recovered and social restrictions eased. However, by the end of 2022, reports of successful businesses having to downsize or close became more common, and by the first week of January 2023, e-commerce’s biggest name, Amazon, announced 18,000 planned job cuts. It would be the largest in Amazon’s history. Leading up to this, Bed Bath & Beyond had been experiencing disappointing sales and layoffs in 2022, culminating in 120 store closures published by the retailer by the second week of 2023. Meta, Facebook and Instagram’s parent company, cut 11,000 jobs in November last year, which was the first time the company has had to do so in 18 years. What has caused these closures and layoffs? How did businesses not gauge growth with caution? What can e-commerce stores and D2C brands do to curtail similar outcomes? Omnia looks to answer these questions and more. Hypergrowth was employed to meet demand Facebook, TikTok and Instagram are not traditional retailers and they’re certainly not brick-and-mortar stores. However, it would be naive for any e-commerce player or marketplace to ignore their growing place in retail. As social commerce leaders, billions are being spent by consumers who are purchasing items directly from these apps as Forbes predicts that social commerce is growing faster than e-commerce to reach a value of $1.2 trillion by 2025. From 2020 - 2021, Meta platforms experienced more usage than ever as stuck-at-home consumers scrolled endlessly to try to pass the time, with Facebook increasing users by 11.8% from 2019 - 2021 and TikTok by a large 85% in the US in 2020 alone. On Facebook and Instagram combined, global ad spend increased by 50% from 2020 - 2021, with the e-commerce category seeing an ad spend increase by 41%, beauty by 40% and fashion by 95%. More people on the platforms meant more spending was being done through in-app shops which ultimately led D2C brands to hurryingly increase their marketing budget for social commerce. With this snowball of growth, it is no shock to hear that Meta confidently hired 10,000 new employees in 2020 alone to meet heightened demand, only to have to cut 11,000 employees just three years later. The same can be said for Amazon. By November 2020, the e-commerce giant had hired 427,300 new employees around the world in just 10 months, averaging 1,400 per day. The jump from 2019 to 2020 alone was a 50% increase, seeing positions from warehouse workers to software engineers increasing in their thousands. Fast forward to January 2023 and the departments affected most by the layoffs will be retail operations, devices business and recruitment, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. Other companies like Shopify laid off approximately 1,000 employees in the second half of 2022. Stitch Fix, a personal shopping and styling service, reported this month that 20% of its workforce would be cut after experiencing a boom during the pandemic as more consumers shopped for clothes online, which resulted in a struggle to maintain the same sales growth. Source: Statista As depicted by the above graph, we see within “retail" that 2021 only saw 288 layoffs worldwide while 2022 saw 19,311. Within “consumer”, 2021 saw only 3,600 job reductions while 2022 saw 19,691. Optimism and overconfident projections As this trend moves across retail, e-commerce and tech, it begs the question: There have been many periods of surging growth and demand in the past. Why was growth not gauged with more caution and planning? Was the train moving too fast? Some could suggest that just as unexpected as the growth and demand within e-commerce in 2020 and 2021 was, so was the impact of global supply chain blockages and soaring inflation. No analyst or economist could’ve predicted a war between Russia and Ukraine, resulting in the highest food and energy costs in decades. And, no one person could’ve seen just how versatile the consumer would be in responding to record-high living costs by changing brands or retailers or cutting out certain luxuries. In statements released by their respective CEOs, Facebook and Shopify both said their accelerated approach in 2020-2021 was based on the thought that this trend would simply continue after the pandemic became old news. Stripe, an internet payment processing platform that cut 14% of its workforce in November 2022, attributed the rise and fall to “too much optimism”. Speaking to the Washington Post, analytics firm Insider Intelligence says, “Everyone kind of bought into the myth that e-commerce is going to permanently accelerate. But in order for that to happen, you have to have a fundamental change in behaviour that’s going to be sustained into the future. And the reality is e-commerce kind of consistently grows for years and years and years at about 15 percent a year, plus or minus a couple of percentage points.” Attributed to the pandemic recovery and high living costs, another reason retail and e-commerce are feeling the pinch is that consumer behaviour is changing - yet again - to keep up with a changing world. “We’ve seen consumers just want to be out. They want to be in the stores, they want to shop, they want to touch, they want to try on - that whole experience. And so we’ve seen the online purchases normalise and pull back from the highs of where they were in 2020,” says Wells Fargo Capital Finance. Layoffs, as an approach to gain back market share Professor Jeffrey Pfeffer from the Stanford Graduate School of Business shares that layoffs are not a winning strategy to improve company performance, and that there is a plethora of evidence that shows this. “The tech industry layoffs are basically an instance of social contagion, in which companies imitate what others are doing. If you look for reasons for why companies do layoffs, the reason is that everybody else is doing it,” he says. Although Prof. Pfeffer agrees that Facebook and Amazon did indeed overhire and that there was a “bubble in valuations”, layoffs as a solution don't increase productivity or stock prices, and are often the result of “an ineffective strategy, a loss of market share, or too little revenue”. Here are some ways in which retail leaders can avoid layoffs while still providing relief to expenses: Consider implementing a company-wide salary decrease of 10% while senior management takes 20%. In this sense, everyone in the company gets a small percentage of the problem instead of a part of the company getting 100% of the problem. Temporarily postpone bonuses and promotions Consider furloughing employees instead of outright layoffs Look at the company’s top performers and place them in teams that perform averagely. Studies show that placing a top performer in a team can boost team output between 5-15%. Offer employees fewer or flexible hours which may result in them earning less, however, they may want to prioritise other areas of life any how Remain strategically cautious - even when it’s easy not to be The trend of obscene growth followed by unprecedented closures and layoffs is becoming more common as e-commerce and retail navigate an industry - and a consumer - that’s always changing. If even the biggest companies in the world are capable of making overprojections, retailers, marketplaces and D2C e-commerce brands should heed the call to remain calm and cautious amongst accelerated growth, even when it is easy to be overconfident about future growth.
Amazon layoffs: Tech and retail contend with a post-pandemic slump11.01.2023
Analysis: Prices on Zalando drop by up to 23% over Black Friday
Despite slow performance expectations for Black Friday 2022, retailers and marketplaces around the globe proved once again how well a shopping event like Black Friday can do - even in the face of record-breaking...
Despite slow performance expectations for Black Friday 2022, retailers and marketplaces around the globe proved once again how well a shopping event like Black Friday can do - even in the face of record-breaking inflation, energy and food costs. The small and medium tech and domestic products categories, such as TVs, toasters and headphones, showed the largest price drops while consumers wanting to make good use of the discounts arrived in full force with their wallets in hand. Results in the US showed a 2.3% increase in online sales compared to 2021. In the Netherlands, data from credit card translations and online sales showed a 12% increase in purchases while spending increased overall by 30% in the week leading up to Black Friday. As an event, the most successful retailers and online marketplaces like Zalando have learned how to get the most out of consumers and their vendors using competitive pricing strategies. As Omnia works to provide critical data and information to our clients to better serve their pricing approach and to increase their knowledge of online marketplaces, we’ve taken a look at how Zalando, one of Europe’s biggest online marketplaces, managed its pricing on Black Friday 2022, as well as before and after. Zalando’s pricing before, during, and after Black Friday Our team analysed 10,000 product prices on Zalando across multiple vendors within various categories, however, with a specific date range surrounding Black Friday, which took place on 25 November. As shown below, Zalando’s prices increased by 8% in the three weeks leading up to Black Friday, starting on 25 October. Then, there is a significant price drop by 18% on the 17th, signalling the start of Black Friday week. The decrease in prices reached its highest amount with a drop to an average price level of 85.5 % on Sunday, 27 November. This means that prices have fallen by 23% (compared to a pre-Black Friday level of 108%) in just one week. After Cyber Monday, prices returned to pre-Black Friday numbers which were still higher than prices in October. Price Level on zalando.de over time, Source: Omnia Retail Data Price Level on zalando.de: For the analysis, the prices on the first day of the observation on 25 October mark the reference point (100%). From there our data shows that the price level (on average for all observed products) is increasing until 16 November. A turning point is 17 November: From a price level of 108%, the average price level dropped to 85.5%, which marks a relative drop of 23%. To win the Buy Box, price became the top driver for vendors We have observed additional dynamics in the price-change frequency over the Black Friday period which leads us to believe that Zalando implemented repricing strategies to create a stronger sense of competition for the Buy Box: In our methodology, a price-change ratio of 0% means that the price never changes A price-change ratio of 100% means that a price always changed at any observation time stamp (which was every 15 minutes). A price-change ratio of 1.5% meant that a price would change once per day. Over the Black Friday period, this ratio climbed to 7% on average, meaning that the price would not only change once every 24 hours, but it would change once every 5 hours. Source: Omnia Retail Data Usually, to win the Buy Box, the top driver has never been about price: Over the same observation period, 25% of products had a maximum of one vendor change in the Buy Box and 7.4% of products had no change at all despite 56% of these products showing price increases. Even in the three weeks leading up to Black Friday, the Buy Box owner never changed for 28% of all products. This shows that, historically, price is likely not the main driver for winning the Buy Box, however, during Black Friday, Zalando’s pricing strategies brought pricing to the forefront as a top factor, instigating lower prices and stiffer competition. In the graph below, one can see Zalando’s Black Friday pricing strategy at play: Source: Omnia Retail Data Outside of competition scenarios, the Buy Box is less about price and more about convenience If price is usually not the determining factor for winning the Buy Box, regardless of competition scenarios, what is? Speed of Delivery Our data suggest that delivery times are vital to remaining in the Buy Box. To win the Buy Box, a vendor must have a maximum delivery time period of four days, which becomes even less when the number of vendors per product increases. In other words, the more competition there is for a certain product, the more important convenience becomes for the vendor and ultimately the customer. Availability of Stock As seen below, the Buy Box change ratio when all products are available is at 2.1%. However, when products are unavailable up to 24 hours, the change ratio doubles to 4.09%, showing just how vital availability of stock is to winning the Buy Box. As a vendor, it is essential to have consistent levels of stock, otherwise your chances of losing the Buy Box is much higher. Source: Omnia Retail Data Unlike Amazon, Zalando leaves competitors wondering about their Buy Box strategy As an online marketplace, Zalando’s focus remains within the fashion market, attracting 48.5 million active customers across 25 European countries, earning a revenue of €10.5 billion in 2020. Zalando claims not to have a Buy Box like Amazon in an attempt to distance itself from the image of a platform where prices change within minutes due to the high competition among vendors: “We do not want to enable a price war. Therefore, only one vendor offers a product. If more vendors offer the same product, convenience decides who is listed on the platform. This is calculated by an algorithm on the basis of factors such as shipment speed, trustworthiness and return speed. There is no pressure on price to win any kind of Buy Box,” says Zalando’s VP of Direct to Consumer Carsten Keller. Nevertheless, as a marketplace, Zalando opens its platform to third-party sellers just like Amazon does. According to their website, 800+ partners are active in their partnership model entitled “Zalando Fulfilment Solutions”. This means that, in some cases, more than one retailer, including Zalando itself, is offering a product on the platform. And this, as the above statement indicates, leads to a situation where the platform has to decide which offer is listed and shown to the end consumer. Finally, this is where we can speak of a Buy Box offer similar to Amazon’s, as the principle of a product being offered by multiple vendors on the same platform is the same. If Zalando is not open about its Buy Box strategy, how can vendors benefit from Omnia’s services? A vendor selling on Zalando is able to retrieve all available data from the platform into Omnia’s software as a direct scraping source. As the website does not show competitor prices, the data will nevertheless be useful to run an internal data analysis shedding light on what pricing strategies can be useful on Zalando. With Zalando as data source, the retrieved data can be used within different sets of pricing rules. Vendors need to have a robust pricing strategy for Zalando In times of high spendings, such as over Black Friday and the Christmas festive season, vendors need to prioritise a number of factors, from stock levels to delivery times, as well as competitive-based pricing to make the best of their real estate on Zalando. As seen from the above data, price is not historically the most important factor for Zalando’s Buy Box, however, Black Friday 2022 proved that the marketplace is willing to adjust its commercial values to create an environment where lower prices will result in more spending.
Analysis: Prices on Zalando drop by up to 23% over Black Friday19.12.2022
Festive season: Omnia sees chances for beverages market gains
Retail is experiencing a first this festive season: This is the first time in 92 years that the industry has had to contend with Black Friday, Christmas and a World Cup all at the same time. In addition, 2022’s...
Retail is experiencing a first this festive season: This is the first time in 92 years that the industry has had to contend with Black Friday, Christmas and a World Cup all at the same time. In addition, 2022’s Christmas period marks the first one with zero restrictions on alcohol and social gatherings since 2019. Typically, these three events lead consumers to spend more in various categories, from food to tech to alcohol, giving retail a much-loved boost. The festive season, which includes Christmas and New Year’s Eve, mostly sees alcohol sales increase over this period as friends and families host parties and dinners. The alcoholic drinks category saw $1,484 billion in revenue in 2022 and is expected to be valued at $393 billion by 2026. However, as unprecedented food and energy costs dominate household budgets and headlines this year, consumer spending and behaviour are changing faster than ever. Will shoppers be grabbing their favourite bottle of gin or red wine this Christmas? Are consumers turning to alternatives? What are the alcohol consumption trends as we enter 2023? We’re looking at this category in particular as the festive season continues. Christmas alcohol sales may get a boost from the FIFA World Cup Although alcohol sales may be banned at all stadiums in Qatar, the FIFA World Cup, which is the first World Cup taking place during Europe and the UK’s winter season, is propelling alcohol sales in some parts of the world. According to Pernod Ricard, which owns alcohol brands like Jameson and Absolut Vodka, found that 45% of consumers are eager to watch the football matches at home with friends and family, which boosts sales for domestic use. Jameson has created a football-themed campaign offering five unique bottles with different football shirts which will cater to the game’s biggest fans as well as those looking for gifts during the festive season. In the UK, the popular brand Westons Cider began off-shelf advertising and offering festive season promotions back in November to make use of the timing of the World Cup. Although retail is facing the overarching issue of high living costs as a deterrent for spending, alcohol sales are often a category that is little affected during tough economic times. Instead, shoppers tend to reduce spending in other areas while keeping items like beer, wine and spirits as a treat after long days or on weekends. What’s new and what’s changing in the alcoholic drinks market? Emerging economies in Asia added significantly to growth The Asia Pacific region (APAC), which includes China, has contributed the most to the drinks market’s growth, with revenue from China alone bringing in $319 billion in 2022. The APAC region, including many countries with emerging economies, saw steady growth from 2021-2022 despite the pandemic, while some developed economies saw a decline. Increasing levels of wealth and new market entrants are fueling this growth in Asia and the US. Niche categories show development The IWSR, which specialises in market analysis for alcohol in 157 countries, is seeing new trends and changes in the global drinks market with the growth of niche categories such as agave-based spirits, sugar-free tonics and aperitifs, non-alcoholic beer and gin, Japanese whiskey, flavoured gins, craft beer. These new entrants are diversifying each segment and are becoming appealing to new, younger buyers. E-commerce alcoholic-drinks sales are growing Between 2020 - 2025, beverage alcohol e-commerce is expected to grow in value by 66%. This is thanks to the impressive growth in omnichannel and pure player e-commerce channels that have sprung up in the last two years, including marketplace apps for home delivery, specialist marketplace web shops (such as a website offering wine from various vineyards and regions), and D2C online stores from brands. In Germany, the majority of online drinks sales is done via marketplaces and in second place, online specialists. In the Netherlands, the majority is omnichannel shopping, with online specialists coming in second too. Christmas may see an increase in low- or no-alcohol beverages IWSR reports that “moderation choices are driven by consumption occasions.” In other words, with events like Christmas and New Year’s Eve typically seeing consumers enjoy more alcoholic drinks on those days in particular, the increase in low- and no-alcohol drinks in the market will see an uptick this festive season. People who are hosting parties, dinners and other festive get-togethers, as well as attendees who don’t want to consume too much alcohol, will be enjoying low- or no-alcohol drinks. Alternatively, there will also be “blenders”, as described by IWSR, who will drink both non- and alcoholic drinks. There is always an opportunity to add value Taking into consideration record-high inflation as well as the increased cost of living, retailers and brands should heed the call to create value for customers. There are many opportunities now - combining Christmas, the World Cup and New Year’s Eve - for themed promotions, discounts, in-store experiences and advertising. If Christmas shopping is expected to decline by 3% in the six weeks leading up to the day compared to 2021, there is even more reason for retail leaders to look at where they can attract consumers and influence buying decisions, especially within a category like alcoholic beverages, which typically revels in popularity at this time of year.
Festive season: Omnia sees chances for beverages market gains08.12.2022
By 2023, 27% of a consumer’s cupboards will be made up of pre-owned items
When you think about all the times you received a gift that ended up in your storage cupboard for a few years, here’s a statistic that is sure to shock you: Each year, the UK spends approximately £700 million in...
When you think about all the times you received a gift that ended up in your storage cupboard for a few years, here’s a statistic that is sure to shock you: Each year, the UK spends approximately £700 million in unwanted gifts and about £42 million of that winds up in landfills. You may have thought about using that gift you received a few Christmases ago, but you can’t quite put your finger on when or how. Or, perhaps you’ve outgrown a beautiful leather bag from a previous season that’s collecting dust. Over the last decade, the resale market for pre-owned clothing and accessories has skyrocketed to levels that rival even the most popular of e-commerce stores. In Europe alone, the revenue for the resale market was €1.4 billion in 2021, with names like Depop, Vinted, Etsy, eBay and Vestiaire Collective becoming household names. In this article, we discuss who are the resale market’s biggest supporters, how the industry is growing globally, and why getting consumers to choose second hand is harder in the face of capitalism. More millennials are choosing second-hand gifts this season According to data collected by Trove, an e-commerce operating system for trade-in and resale platforms, 74% of millennials would receive a pre-owned gift and 64% would give one too. Considering that Millennials (ages 26 - 41 in 2022) contribute the most to global spending and economic growth, this shift in thinking and buying behaviour is interesting and optimistic to see. The resale market being powered by mostly Gen Z and Millennial consumers is not surprising since one of their main values when shopping from a particular brand is authenticity and identity. When a brand has a strong identity, it resonates better with younger shoppers, especially when they are open about their practices; who makes up their C-suite; and their efforts for inclusivity and sustainability. This comes from a desire to stand out instead of fit in, unlike older generations. Most pre-owned gifts are high-end bags that are in excellent condition; vintage watches, blazers or shoes; or retro sunglasses like the original RayBan wayfarers. Leather items, if taken care of, are also often seen as second hand gifts that are desirable. If a younger audience is keen to give or receive second hand gifts, designer labels would be smart to create and market a pre-owned division, which would target sustainability efforts and new markets for revenue. In the face of capitalism and newness, the resale market has its work cut out for them Getting the average consumer to choose secondhand over a brand new item is like a salmon trying to swim upstream, which is why it can be difficult for resale platforms to see continuous support, growth and profit. One of Europe’s largest resale e-commerce sites, Vinted, reported €118 million in losses for the year of 2021, which is a number five-fold from the previous year. The losses are mainly due to marketing expenses after acquiring German competitor Rebelle. Vinted spending three times as much on marketing in 2021 compared to 2020. Although their losses are much higher, it must be noted that their revenue also increased from €148 million to €245 million, which is a testament to the mission of continuing the fashion cycle instead of adding to waste and carbon emissions. The company’s directors are reportedly not concerned about the increase in losses as E-commerce News EU reports that it was always the plan to increase spending on marketing to drive growth. The feeling of buying something that’s new and shiny is a feeling that can’t be recreated (unless one buys something else, of course), which is the serotonin boost brands and retailers love to see when annual sales reports come in. However, that doesn’t mean the culture of consumption and capitalism should not be met with more sustainable ideas. In 2021, Vinted alone was valued at €3.5 billion and operating in 16 countries. Vestiaire Collective, the French marketplace for secondhand fashion, is valued at €1.7 billion and just acquired Tradesy in 2022. In the Middle East and the UK, there’s The Luxury Closet which sells second hand high-end fashion and accessories, and just secured $14 million in its fourth round of funding. If these numbers are anything to go by, needless to say, the second hand apparel market is not only growing but cultivating new attitudes on fashion and sustainability. Source: Statista 2022 Vestiaire Collective conducted a survey to learn more about the shopping behaviours of thousands of consumers around Europe, Asia and the US, and found that the main reason, at 50%, for choosing second hand items over new ones was affordability, while sustainability came in second at 40%. Notably, sustainability as a reason for shopping used items increased significantly since the 2020 survey; and 25% of the average consumer’s cupboards are filled with pre-owned items. This is expected to grow to 27% by 2023. Sellers, who use these platforms to sell luxury or vintage bags, coats, watches and more, are seeing both the monetary and the environmental value in selling them, with 40% of sales being attributed to the climate crisis. In addition, 59% of shoppers either discovered a brand or bought it for the first time second-hand. Attitudes are changing Traditional retail and consumer buying choices are being challenged more and more as the climate crisis continues to worsen. People who may have been big fans of buying the latest season’s shoes or coats are rethinking their choices, opting for the same luxury items via a different experience that’s more sustainable and affordable. These same brands are even creating their own pre-loved channels, like Marc Jacobs, for shoppers to sell and buy second hand items. This allows the life cycle of a clothing item to continue years longer than the average timeline, which is 2-3 years. This shows that the fashion industry is maturing as consumers’ attitudes are changing towards newness and consumption. However, it isn’t just the fashion industry that’s seeing second hand channels and platforms flourishing; we are also seeing it with smartphones and other tech products, children’s toys, and gym and sporting equipment. If brands and retailers commit to creating pre-loved channels, and if resale platforms continue to grow as they have been, we see this as a successful concept with lifelong potential.
By 2023, 27% of a consumer’s cupboards will be made up of pre-owned items01.12.2022
Christmas Gifts in 2022: A Conundrum of sustainability and capitalism
A large part of the festive season is buying gifts for friends and family, as well as ourselves, with the November to January period being retail’s most profitable and chaotic time of the year. With inflation and the...
A large part of the festive season is buying gifts for friends and family, as well as ourselves, with the November to January period being retail’s most profitable and chaotic time of the year. With inflation and the increased cost of living causing drawbacks in spending in the European and UK market since February, retailers and e-commerce players alike have been anticipating the gifting season to boost yearly sales and revenue. Something that retailers also have to contend with each year is new gifting trends, basket loading, and increased returns; creating a tornado where retailers try to meet consumer demands as well as keep their heads above water regarding returns and sustainability efforts. Ahead of the festive season, we’re exploring gifting trends, how e-commerce and brick-and-mortar stores can better manage returns, and other aspects of this time period. Gifting trends for 2022 Shopping and finding inspiration on social media Instagram, TikTok and YouTube aren’t just platforms for people to share their holiday photos and video tutorials. They’ve become multi-billion Dollar virtual businesses that push content using algorithms to make sales. Social commerce, as it is now called, is expected to be valued at $1.2 trillion by 2025. Users of the platforms are not only shopping from them, but they are using the platforms for gifting inspiration. The same way people use online reviews as a testing ground for a product, more and more consumers are using social media to research a product or brand. In fact, according to a Sprout Social report on the common ways people find the perfect gift, 40% of consumers are seeing organic posts from brands and another 34% are researching a product on the platforms. Limits on spending This year, the average consumer in the US and the UK will spend roughly €1,100 on holiday gifts, while shoppers in France, Germany and Spain will spend approximately €405 on gifts during this season. These numbers are still considerable, however, it is a far cry from what families used to spend in the years leading up to the pandemic. According to a new survey done by Retail Economics, 51% of shoppers are imposing spending limits on gifts for Christmas this year; while 90% of low income shoppers are setting limits as opposed to 68% of the most affluent shoppers. Personalised gifts After facing and surviving the life-and-death reality of a global pandemic, many people are turning to personalised gifts for loved ones to show how much they care. This includes engravings on jewellery, imprints of initials on leather items, sandblasted champagne flutes, handmade gifts and more. The personalised gifts market is set to grow by 7.8% per year over the next five years, reaching €36.9 billion in 2027. Who’s offering extended return policies over Christmas 2022? Because retail is so reliant on the festive season for hitting targets, moving inventory and making profit, shoppers have more power than ever when it comes to returns over Christmas and New Year’s; enjoying extended return policies. And, what many retailers and consumers may not know is that leniency on time actually reduces returns more than any other returns policy factor. Here are just some of the companies offering extended return policies: ASOS, an online clothing and accessories retailer, is giving shoppers up to 2 months and 10 days to return an item. If you shopped between 14 November - 24 December 2022, you have until 24 January 2023 to make a return. Amazon’s Christmas returns extension is from 7 October - 31 December 2022, offering shoppers up to 31 January 2023 to return. H&M allows purchases between 14 October 2022 - 3 January 2023 to be returned until 31 January. GHD, a global hair care brand, allows purchases between 1 October - 24 December to be returned until 14 January 2023. Patagonia has no deadline for purchases being returned. Banana Republic allows returns for purchases made between 1 November - 31 December 2022 to be returned until 31 January 2023. Ralph Lauren’s extended returns policies allow purchases Investing in technological upgrades can reduce the rate of returns The process of a shopper returning an item has never been an easy and affordable part of the logistical chain. For many years, the industry-standard of offering “free and easy returns” has fulfilled consumer demands, however, it has left an ever-increasing hole in the pocket of D2C brands and retailers; so much so that global brands are ushering in a new era of limited or charged returns. In recent weeks, Zara, J. Crew, LL Bean and Dillard’s in the UK began charging a fee for mail-in returns, while Kohl’s in the US has stopped paying for a return’s shipping costs. CNN Business reports that some retailers are considering refunding shoppers for their return and letting them keep the item because the cost of a return is too much. In addition, these same retailers don’t necessarily want returned stock because they have mountains of excess inventory already, from gym apparel to home decor. In the US alone, the cost of shipping returns amounted to $751 billion, according to the National Retail Federation, while the number for online shopping alone is $218 billion. Although free returns remain a top factor for choosing a particular retailer, some consumers are enjoying the Black November discounts and the extended returns policies so much that they’re ordering one item in various sizes or colours, such as a coat in medium and large, and then logging a return on the size that doesn’t fit. This practice is called “Bracketing” and it is the result of shoppers taking advantage of free returns; not trusting sizes online; or opportunistically buying an outfit for a single event and then returning it (which is also known as wardrobing). If every shopper did this, retailers would be paying for one return on every order with their free returns policy. On average, the returns process costs twice as much as the delivery process, making bracketing and wardrobing unsustainable for a business and even more so for the environment. So, how can retailers minimise the cost of returns? The obvious reason would be to start charging for returns, which would cut down on bracketing and wardrobing significantly. However, the less obvious choice that also improves the customer experience would be to invest in technological and informational upgrades on products online. Dr. Heleen Buldeo Rai, an author and researcher at the Vrije Universiteit Brussel in Belgium, who has researched and written extensively on the topic of sustainability within e-commerce, shares in a literature review entitled “Return to sender? Technological applications to mitigate e-commerce returns” that using internet-enabled tools and data analysis to improve product information may result in fewer returns. For example, some D2C beauty brands are making use of an AI tool that allows a buyer to take a photo of their skin tone in real-time to match it with an exact shade of foundation. A case study Dr Buldeo Rai references sees online clothing stores in China make use of virtual fitting rooms where you can try on an item of clothing using an AI model with your personal measurements. In this case study, returns decreased by 56.8%. Other technologies include colour swatches, video product reviews, and zoom technology, which has shown that just one unit increase of zoom usage leads to a 7% decline in the odds of a consumer logging a return. By focusing on improving the customer experience with technological upgrades and features, fewer returns will result in lower overhead costs and a lower impact on carbon emissions. Christmas spending may be lower in 2022, while a better returns system is on the horizon Christmas shopping in 2022 is not expected to be as abundant as previous years due to ongoing inflation and increased living expenses, however, retail can still expect shoppers to make good use of discounts, extended Black November sales, free shipping and free returns. As a pull-in for customer loyalty, it is understandable why retailers would want to keep free returns as an option. However, unless retailers and e-commerce pure players prioritise a new customer experience to reduce returns, it will continue to be an expensive headache, totalling $642 billion per year as it currently stands. Overhauling the returns process will also improve retailers’ environmental impact. A study conducted by Dr Buldeo Rai shows that just under 80% of consumers are willing to wait longer for a delivery or to collect their own purchase. With this kind of information, retailers can offer better delivery and returns options that are easier on their pocket and the environment.
Christmas Gifts in 2022: A Conundrum of sustainability and capitalism24.11.2022
Price Points Live: Prof Hermann Simon on goal-setting and true profit
Considering the impact of inflation and lagging economic growth on the books of eCommerce shops and retailers in Europe and the UK, taking advice from the world’s leading speaker on pricing and profit may be a good...
Considering the impact of inflation and lagging economic growth on the books of eCommerce shops and retailers in Europe and the UK, taking advice from the world’s leading speaker on pricing and profit may be a good idea. Professor Hermann Simon, who founded Simon-Kucher & Partners; who has published more than 30 books on business and pricing; and who has a business school named after him in Hong Kong would be the ideal choice; which is why Omnia Retail was impressed and delighted to have him join our panel of keynote speakers at our annual Price Points Live event in Amsterdam last month. During tough economic times, there are numerous topics and issues that Prof. Simon could’ve focused on, but in the name of giving the best advice to retail players keen on heeding his guidance, Prof. Simon shared his thoughts on two important things: The importance of goal-setting and answering what true profit really is. In the final article in a series of articles focusing on the interesting topics shared by our keynote speakers, we will share Prof. Simon’s insight on true profit and setting the right targets. What is true profit? “Profits are the cost of survival and the creators of new value,” says Prof. Simon in his book True Profit! No Company Ever Went Broke Turning A Profit. Although this sentiment is powerful and inspiring in its own right, the nitty gritty of the meaning of true profit is far more direct: “True profit is what the entrepreneur can keep after the company has met all contractually agreed claims of employees, suppliers, banks, and the state.” Profit and pricing: Setting goals and avoiding common mistakes Prof. Simon says one of the biggest causes of profit weakness is having the wrong targets or goals. He surmises that most businesses, 47%, are volume-oriented and only 28% are profit-oriented. “Profit orientation is the only meaningful goal because it is the only one that observes both the market side and the cost side. Elimination of profit killers is the most effective way to profit improvement. This especially applies to price wars and overcapacities, since they are the most dangerous profit,” says Prof. Simon. Other causes of profit weakness include having incorrect incentives for employees such as sales commissions; overstretched diversification; or responsibilities in the management board. Profit drivers other than price include volume in 2nd place and cost in 3rd respectively. However, price is the most effective, as a 1% price increase yields a 10% profit increase, according to Prof. Simon. When it comes to pricing, Prof Simon states that the most important thing to understand about it is value, or value to the customer; and this should be a key factor when businesses price their products: “Price and value must be balanced!” When it comes to the most common mistake businesses make when it comes to pricing, Prof. Simon says it is when one’s costs are used as a basis when formulating prices. In addition, to make it worse, all costs are used, including fixed costs. “Fixed costs are not influenced by price and volume.” When it comes to inflation Considering the fact that Prof. Simon’s leadership at Simon-Kucher has helped the company achieve $522 million in revenue in 2021, most business owners are keen to hear his thoughts on how to sail through it without hitting too many waves. “For companies to survive and grow, they need to get the cash in as quickly as possible and then spend it as quickly as possible” as inflation is fundamentally the devaluing of money. Watch Prof. Simon’s full interview at Price Points Live as well as the interesting panel discussion at the end of the event here.
Price Points Live: Prof Hermann Simon on goal-setting and true profit23.11.2022
Black Friday 2022: Our predictions and recommendations
Each year, avid shoppers look forward to the annual Black Friday shopping event, which kicks off the holiday gifting season, where brands and retailers reduce prices on items from electronics to jewellery to levels that...
Each year, avid shoppers look forward to the annual Black Friday shopping event, which kicks off the holiday gifting season, where brands and retailers reduce prices on items from electronics to jewellery to levels that inspire crowds in their thousands. Around the world, shoppers who may not be able to afford certain products, or feel that they are getting a better deal than the usual price, can now make a purchase, or a consideration at least. Consumers who find shopping for items like dishwashing liquid a tedious task may buy in bulk on Black Friday to avoid it being on the shopping list in future, which is also known as pantry loading. Whichever category consumers fall into, Black Friday attracts people from almost every socio-economic background, making it retail’s favourite day of the year. As we await Black Friday in 2022, which officially falls on 25 November, it takes little effort to see that this year’s event may be quite different to that of previous years, considering record-high inflation has hit Europe in the jugular since the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Despite mixed reports on how this year’s Black Friday will go, Sander Roose, CEO and founder of Omnia, predicts there will still be many retailers and brands who are aggressive in their discounting strategy for the fact that they are holding excessive stock and, quite possibly, because they feel inclined to discount heavily as they know they are dealing with inflation-stricken consumers. However, some studies are showing consumers to be spending more now than before the arrival of Covid-19 as people grapple with surviving a life-and-death reality. Let’s take a look at this year's Black Friday predictions in comparison to previous years, and if high inflation is a strong enough deterrent for consumers. Market predictions for Black Friday in 2022 London-based e-commerce researchers IMRG have found unimpressive results in their data collection. Previously, over the years, IMRG has found that Black Friday is the pinnacle of retail’s fourth quarter trading period. In 2022, it is estimated that not only will Black Friday not be as abundant as previous years, growth estimates are at -5% in comparison to 2021. The clothing, home, beauty, garden and electrical markets are not expected to see any growth this Black Friday. Other than inflation and low confidence in the economy, there’s another factor influencing Black Friday spend this year - the FIFA World Cup. Some retailers predict that a global focus on the games may negatively impact shopping on Black Friday weekend, with 34% of 118 retailers thinking it will reduce shopping, according to an IMRG survey. However, if retailers and e-commerce stores are smart, especially those in clothing, sporting apparel and electronics, they should see this global event as a golden opportunity for them to curate their marketing, deals and the customer experience to include the World Cup theme. Regarding the general feeling towards Black Friday from consumers, a survey from Zendesk gives a more positive outlook, showing that 4-in-5 consumers are more excited than ever for this year’s Black Friday and that the increases in living costs are propelling them to bigger deals and discounts. This behaviour isn’t new, suggest Dan Thwaites and Patrick Fagan, who are the founders of Capuchin Behavioural Science. "A rise in stress, or mortality salience, has been equated with a rise in purchases of ‘escape products’ such as beer or status products like luxury watches, reflecting the thought, often ascribed to Epicurus, ‘Let us eat and drink, for tomorrow we die,’” says Dan. However, consumers should be wary of spending brashly, as a new investigation by consumer watch group Which? found that 9-in-10 Black Friday items on special were the same price or cheaper in the six months prior to the shopping event. Comparing the EU, UK and the US Despite inflation and higher living costs, Europeans have experienced an overall increase in their purchasing power-, or expandable income, since 2021 due to the reopening of economies, businesses and tourism. GfK’s study on the average purchasing power per person per year in Europe sits at €16,344 - an increase of 5.8% compared to last year. However, there are giant differences between some countries regarding their spending abilities. For example, Liechtenstein’s purchasing power per capita is €66,204 while Ukraine’s is €1,540, so although spending abilities have improved, not every European may be seeing or feeling it. This is evident in the year-on-year decrease in holiday spending in specific European countries, which includes Spain, whose purchasing power was below the continental average: Source: Statista 2022 Filip Vojtech, a geo-marketing expert at GfK predicts that the increase in purchasing power amongst Europeans may not necessarily translate to retail purchases this Black Friday and the festive season, as the uncertainty regarding inflation and high energy prices is keeping many Europeans conservative with their money. In Germany, for instance, Horizont reports that Black Friday shopping is expected to be low this year, as consumers are more interested in saving. If bargain hunters do shop, 76% of them want to place a larger focus on planned purchases and price-centred campaigns, instead of hurried buying for the sake of buying. In the UK, the same IMRG study found that 47% of retailers believe that the stress of increased cost-of-living is enough to deter shoppers from eagerly shopping on Black Friday weekend. However, another 43% of retailers said that today’s higher bills will actually pull consumers into Black Friday spending so that they can make good use of heavily discounted products. Nevertheless, the spending will be less spontaneous and more considered. In this instance, we could say that the state of consumer spending on Black Friday in the UK may look similar to Europe. Source: Statista 2022 US consumers provide a unique - albeit complex - case. McKinsey reports that, although they are concerned about inflation and have historically low confidence in the economy at the moment, American shoppers are also showing eagerness to spend and have remained robust and confident spenders in the last few months, as retailers like Home Depot and Walmart have reported. American consumers are also expressing a higher sentiment for the holiday season this year than they have in a few years. The Consumer Pulse Survey conducted by McKinsey shows that 55% of US shoppers are excited about holiday shopping, which traditionally begins with Black Friday, and have the savings to spend. In addition, consumers across the Atlantic are so excited about holiday spending that their usual wait for Black Friday specials is creeping back a few weeks with 56% starting their spending in October. Black Friday: What’s selling, who’s taking part and who’s not in 2022 Lower volume sales means bigger discounts As Sander predicted, certain categories have experienced lower sales this year than they had planned. This is due to an overwhelming global demand starting in 2020 that retail leaders thought would spill into 2022. However, global demand for items from e-bikes to washing machines has slowed down, and retailers will be ambitious to discount considerably. Products in the luxury small domestic appliances (SDA) category, like a Nespresso coffee machine, and products in the luxury major domestic appliance (MDA) category, like a SMEG gas stove, will likely not see major sales this Black Friday, which is not surprising since their popularity this year has been lower and in decline compared to 2021. However, because their volume sales have been low this year, these are the items that retailers will be desperate to get rid of and will likely have the biggest discounts. GfK says that standard and basic SDAs like TVs and cordless vacuum cleaners, which have already received a 15%-plus price cut this year, will be the biggest targets for larger discounts this Black Friday. Products in the tech and electronics category, such as headphones, smart watches, bluetooth speakers and more, will also see the biggest discounts, as reported by the New York Post. High-income earners won’t feel the pinch Despite 43% of global consumers believing now is the time to pull back on non-essential spending rather than jump straight in, high-income earners who aren’t necessarily affected by inflation and high living costs will still continue to enjoy Black Friday spending like previous years. Premium products in the luxury domestic appliances category mentioned above will still be supported by premium buyers. Gen Z has higher demands for Black Friday discounts Black Friday is retail’s favourite day of the year to get rid of stock at drastically low prices, however, some age groups, like Gen Zers (born 1997 - 2012), require retailers to offer a minimum of 41-50% of a discount for them to want to participate. The other, older age groups - Millennials, Gen X and baby boomers - require between 21-30% of a discount to consider shopping. This may be so for two reasons: The more obvious reason is that Gen Z shoppers are often in high school, in university or have recently entered the working world, meaning their expendable income is lower than the older age groups. The less obvious reason, which took some research on our behalf when looking at Gen Z’s buying behaviour, is that Gen Zers are far less concerned with fitting in when it comes to shopping, and prefer choosing a brand that separates them from the crowd, unlike Millennial shoppers. They are also more likely to spend money on a brand that values authenticity and sustainability. Typically, it is large-scale retailers and global brands that dominate Black Friday offerings, and not the smaller, lesser-known companies who are not focused on pushing inventory and creating a product at the cheapest price possible. A product would, therefore, need to be heavily discounted for the average Gen Z shopper to consider buying it. FOMO (Fear of missing out) and ego-boosting behaviour From a psychological point of view, Dan and Patrick share that events like Black Friday trigger emotionally-charged consumer behaviour. We may still see confident spending from consumers who are simply shopping because they feel they might be missing out if they don't. "The thought of deals disappearing triggers this fear of loss, making us feel we have to act,” says Dan. “Simply making something look like a sale can be enough to trigger the behaviour,” Dan continues, such as using the colour yellow which has been studied as being an influential colour for discount offers. “Even though the product is no cheaper, people buy more. This is due to representativeness bias. If something looks like a duck and sounds like a duck, we think it’s probably a duck. Same with discounts - even if they’re actually not.” When one does in fact find a good deal after doing some research online, consumers tend to feel as if they have “gotten one over the store,” as Mark Ellwood says, author of Bargain Fever: How to Shop in a Discounted World. “And it's also really fun. You didn't know it was dopamine surging through your brain. But you still come out of the store, and you're grinning, and you're thinking, 'That was amazing.' We should have that moment all the time,” continued Mark to CBS News. This sentiment is further expressed in the academic paper “The Excitement of Getting a Bargain: Some Hypotheses Concerning the Origins and Effects of Smart-Shopper Feelings" by Robert M. Schindler from the University of Chicago who says that “Just as ownership of a product may have many different types of consequences, so also there may be different types of consequences resulting from the price a consumer pays. This includes the implications which a price may have on the consumer's self-concept. Paying a low price for a particular item might lead a consumer to feel proud, smart, or competent.” In the name of sustainability, some brands are giving Black Friday a miss In an effort to sway shoppers from shopping in excess or to encourage them to focus on recyclable materials, some global brands are not offering Black Friday sales, while some have created their own spin on it. Ikea launched a campaign called #BuyBackFriday which asks customers to bring their used furniture for resale instead of throwing it away. Fjällräven, a bag and outdoor apparel brand, uses the event to remind people who long-lasting their products are, instead of hyping people up to buy another coat. Shoe brand Allbirds actually increased their prices on Black Friday in 2021 by $1 and gave the money from each purchase to Fridays for Future, an organisation focused on climate change. Monki, which owns H&M, will not be offering Black Friday specials at all. Black Friday becomes Black November To lure in foot traffic or to get rid of stock volumes; either way, global brands and retailers (both online and offline) have extended a one-day event into days and weeks of Black November specials. Globally, we see that the annual shopping event began changing years ago, with the introduction of Cyber Monday at first, and then the rapid move to online shopping during Covid-19 lockdowns. For the first time ever, in the US, during 2021’s Black Friday event, there was a decline in year-on-year growth by $100 million. This may be because 49% of consumers took advantage of the earlier specials on offer throughout the month of November, according to the America National Retail Federation. In addition, the total number of Black Friday weekend shoppers fell from 186 million in 2020 to 179 million in 2021, showing again how consumers are choosing to enjoy discounts and deals earlier on. Specifically, Target launched their Black Friday sales in mid-October - more than one month before the official event. Amazon teased shoppers with its October Prime Day, a warm-up to Black Friday. Adidas and Nike launched their strategies more than a week before the event, offering between 15-50% off. How can retailers make the most of this year’s Black Friday? Start your Black Friday deals earlier As mentioned above, the Black Friday festivities are beginning in early November and sometimes in October. According to a PwC study, 43% of shoppers choose the earlier Black November deals to ensure items are in stock. Another 37% shop earlier to make sure their purchases are delivered in time for the festive season; and 31% do it to avoid the large crowds. Introduce dynamic promotions With dynamic promotions, you are constantly (and automatically) surveying and evaluating your competitors’ prices and your volume sales, even throughout the chaos of a sale, so that your promotional strategy maximises revenue, maintains competitiveness among the sea of Black Friday sales, and better moves inventory from warehouse to consumer. Treat this year’s event as a test one can learn from Although each year is proving to be different, it would be wise for brands and retailers to look at their marketing and promotional strategies to see what worked in 2021 and what didn’t. Going forward, each year should be treated as a study that can be learned from. Optimise the in-store and online experience In-store digital media, additional discounts for shopping online, multiple delivery options, email sign-up discounts, stock volume and delivery updates… There are many ways to help consumers enjoy their Black Friday shopping experience even further. Consumers tend to remember the brands that went the extra mile in creating a positive shopping experience. Take the opportunity to cross-sell to increase revenue Specifically for retailers in clothing, sports apparel and electronics, creating bundles of products that compliment each other may drive up revenue and entice shoppers to spend. For example, creating a Black Friday bundle discount on a smart watch with wireless earphones; running trainers with exercise equipment; winter coats and boots; and so on. Lessons for Black Friday 2022 Although there are remaining questions on shopper turnout for this year’s Black Friday weekend, one thing stands firm: Retailers and brands are ready to offer big discounts on sitting stock, with the largest deals taking place in the tech, electronics and domestic appliances categories. This strategy rings true across all major markets, including the EU, US and UK, despite the US showing the highest levels of consumer excitement around Black Friday shopping. In the EU and UK, inflation and high living costs remain a potential blockage for retailers to experience the shopping rush of Black Fridays in the past.
Black Friday 2022: Our predictions and recommendations22.11.2022
Price Points Live: A more sustainable eCommerce industry is possible
“Online shopping produces up to 4x less carbon dioxide emissions versus traditional store shopping,” says Dr Heleen Buldeo Rai, a researcher at the Université Gustave Eiffel in Paris, who joined the panel of speakers at...
“Online shopping produces up to 4x less carbon dioxide emissions versus traditional store shopping,” says Dr Heleen Buldeo Rai, a researcher at the Université Gustave Eiffel in Paris, who joined the panel of speakers at our annual Price Points Live event last month in Amsterdam. She shared her insights regarding sustainability and e-commerce. Over the last decade, many retailers and brands around the globe have been working towards a greener industry, with packaging, manufacturing and delivery being the top three cogs in the machine with the worst environmental impact. In this article, the third in a series where Omnia gives an in-depth look at what we learnt at Price Points Live, we will discuss what retail, both online and offline, can learn and do to improve their economic and environmental impact regarding packaging and delivery. During Dr Buldeo Rai’s talk, she shared 10 insights based on studies and experiments conducted for the purpose of finding eco-friendly solutions to last mile delivery. Here are three that e-commerce players should take note of: 1. Consumers make the final choice When it comes to choosing delivery options, it is the consumer that has the final choice, and not the retailer. According to Dr Buldeo Rai’s research, most consumers are not willing to pay for delivery, as the industry standard today is free delivery. However, they are willing to wait longer or to collect their purchase, as seen in the results of a study below. Dr Buldeo Rai surmises that after conducting this study in Belgium, similar results were seen in the Netherlands, Bolivia, China and Brazil, showing the global trend in delivery options. The same consumers were asked the same question, however, the delivery time estimate was changed to 3 - 5 days, and the results were very similar. Choosing a slower delivery time/method has a significantly positive economic and environmental impact per parcel delivered, and as we see below, most consumers are still willing to wait a little longer. Retailers can use this information to motivate consumers to choose more eco-friendly delivery options. 2. “Did You Know?” Consumers choose more environmentally friendly delivery options when they are informed. Dr Buldeo Rai and her team found through an experiment that 59% of online shoppers would opt for a slower delivery method if the web shop had a “did you know” information box sharing that if they are given more time to group parcels, the environmental impact of delivering this parcel will be lower. 3. Reusable bags are more environmentally friendly after a number of uses The average parcel contains between 130 - 250 grams of padding and packing material, which alone has an impact on the environment and adds to the ever increasing levels of waste. However, retailers struggle to find a solution for this due to the fact that the average parcel journey includes 17 falls, and packages need to be cushioned, otherwise a consumer will expect a free return - which is another headache for retailers. One option is reusable bags, but this option will also need its own logistical process so that bags are actually being reused. Below, we see how using reusable bags (red line) decreased in their environmental impact per use, while single-use bags remained the most impactful. Still in search for a solution to the dreaded last mile “By 2025, about 30-50% of everything we buy will be done online. And so, it is time for us to look at ways to organise the e-commerce supply chain in a more sustainable way,” says Dr Rai. In a paper written by Dr Buldeo Rai, in collaboration with Sara Verlinde and Cathy Macharis, the idea that crowd logistics (also known as crowd shipping) could be an operationally cost effective and environmentally friendly alternative to traditional parcel deliveries is discussed and tested. However, contrary to previous research, Dr Buldeo Rai concludes that crowd logistics, as it currently stands, is not more sustainable than current delivery methods: “The impact on sustainability is dependent on several factors, including the crowd's modal choice and consolidation of parcels.” For example, if someone was delivering a parcel dedicated solely to delivering this one parcel, instead of on the way home or on the way to work (as the concept of crowd shipping intends), it would significantly increase the delivery’s environmental impact. The idea behind crowd shipping has potential, but the logistics need to be fine-tuned. Watch Dr Buldeo Rai’s full keynote speech on sustainability in e-commerce here.
Price Points Live: A more sustainable eCommerce industry is possible17.11.2022
Price Points Live: How retailers can benefit from consumer psychology
In the last few months, the EU has experienced inflation at a high of 10.1% as well as a slight economic recession, as predicted by ABN AMRO Bank’s Senior Economist Aline Schuiling. So, with unprecedented inflation...
In the last few months, the EU has experienced inflation at a high of 10.1% as well as a slight economic recession, as predicted by ABN AMRO Bank’s Senior Economist Aline Schuiling. So, with unprecedented inflation following a global pandemic, how can retailers tap into new ways of understanding consumer behaviour? This is where Dan Thwaites and Patrick Fagan, co-founders of Capuchin Behavioural Science, come in. Influencing the consumer’s mind to choose one product over the other, or to spend more money instead of less, is a tricky tightrope to walk on. In this article, which forms part of our in-depth view on each topic discussed at our Price Points Live event last month, we will discuss how data-driven and science-backed techniques regarding consumer psychology can benefit retailers and e-commerce players. Strategies for success: How small but impactful moves can influence consumers There are a number of ways to influence buying decisions and, under certain conditions, retailers can actually get consumers to spend more. Certain nudges and strategies, which are simple and easy to implement in nature are referred by Dan and Patrick themselves: The Decoy Effect This is a technique used by retailers to push consumers toward two product options that are similar in value (such as a microwave) by introducing a third one as a decoy that is much more expensive. Adding a decoy is considered “a violation of rationality” by introducing cognitive bias against it. Consumers are pushed toward the other two options without even knowing it. Academic Dan Ariely shared in his book Predictably Irrational, Revised and Expanded Edition: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions a study he did to show how well the decoy effect works. In his experiment, he presented three options for a subscriptions to his students to choose from: Online-only access for $59.00 a year Print-only access for $125.00 a year (the decoy) Online and print access for $125.00 a year 16% of the students chose the first option, none chose the second option, and 84% chose the third option. Ariely then removed the decoy option. Even though no one selected the second option in his earlier experiment, this time with only two options, the results showed a considerate shift. When given only two options, 68% of the students chose the online-only access for $59.00 a year, and only 32% chose the online and print access option for $125 a year. The Anchoring Effect This is a little more complex than the decoy effect, however, it is still geared towards creating cognitive bias by steering a consumer to a certain product or brand or price based on the belief that it is the best option. Certain information is presented to the consumer to which they become anchored to. This is done intentionally. For example, if a retailer was conducting research and asked how much a consumer would pay for a smoothie that had collagen production ingredients in it, the only information the consumer would have to go on is their previous experience with buying smoothies, because they wouldn’t know what the cost is for collagen-inducing ingredients. Or, perhaps a retailer is wanting to push sales for a new waffle-making machine and it is marketed as having cutting-edge technology for perfectly shaped waffles with new mechanics to prevent spills or messing. Consumers may latch onto the idea of something being “new and improved” versus previous experiences with older machines. The Precision Effect Does €4.99 look less expensive than €4.00? A number of studies and papers have been written about this theory, including the journal paper entitled “The Price Precision Effect: Evidence from Laboratory and Market Data” in Marketing Science by Manoj Thomas, Daniel H. Simon and Vrinda Kadiyal from Cornell University. These academics coined the term “the precision effect” which ultimately suggests that prices with rounded numbers, such as €20.00, look larger - or more expensive - than €25.55 for a product. In addition, one of their studies found that homeowners spent more money buying houses when properties were listed with rounded numbers. The precession effect can be used by retailers to increase sales and ultimately improve turnover. Nudging consumers means understanding buying behaviour During times of economic difficulty, retailers need to dig deep into the pockets of creativity to connect with concerned consumers and to sustain profit and growth. Consumers are the beating heart of retail and e-commerce and understanding how they think, feel and spend during times of financial success as well as financial stress is pertinent to e-commerce’s survival. Using these strategies shared by the Capuchin co-founders, as well as many other nudging tactics, can be a game-changing move on the part of the retailer in surviving inflation or any other global phenomenon. The entire recording of the event can be reviewed here.
Price Points Live: How retailers can benefit from consumer psychology15.11.2022
Price Points Live: Inflation is set to decrease to 2% in 2024
With inflation being the number one issue on the minds of business owners, economists and consumers alike, it was no surprise that the topic was first on the list during Omnia’s annual Price Points Live event, which...
With inflation being the number one issue on the minds of business owners, economists and consumers alike, it was no surprise that the topic was first on the list during Omnia’s annual Price Points Live event, which took place in Amsterdam a few weeks ago. In a series of articles, we will share an in-depth view of the event’s topics, starting with inflation, and then including consumer behaviour and psychology, sustainability in e-commerce, and pricing and profit. Sharing her knowledge and predictions regarding current and future inflationary trends, Aline Schuiling, who is the Senior Economist Eurozone at Group Economics of ABN AMRO Bank, explained how the ECB (European Central Bank) predicts and calculates inflation and what the EU can expect in the coming years. Trajectories for inflation show a confident decrease Aline’s inflation predictions for the next few years show that Europe can expect a decline in inflation and will rest at 2% again by 2024. This prediction is supported by a study conducted by Statista, which shows that inflation will remain at 2% from 2024 - 2027. In addition to a positive outlook regarding inflation, GDP growth for 2022 had a better result than expected: Annual GDP growth is expected to sit at 3.1% and in 2024, it’s expected to sit at 1.9% growth. Thanks to a resurgence of tourism, the easing of bottlenecked supply chains and the lowering of energy and food prices, these short-to-medium term projections should instil more confidence in the markets and the economy. When calculating inflation, Aline assures that numbers are derived from comparisons to the previous year. “For example, in the first few months of the pandemic in 2020, inflation was actually in the negative. Then you see prices start to go up later on and then inflation starts to increase. Why? Because it is compared to the year before when inflation was actually in the negative,” says Aline. In the table below, we see Aline’s point, in addition to the contribution of food and energy price surges, as mentioned above. Despite support from governments, recessions in the EU and UK are likely At its worst time, inflation in the EU reached 10.1%, which has had a detrimental effect on consumer spending and behaviour, confidence in the markets and overall GDP growth. Due to this, a number of European governments have tucked into their coffers to support economies (households and businesses) affected by the energy crisis. Notably, Germany leads by spending 6.5% of its GDP on energy support, while the Netherlands has spent 4.8% and Italy has spent 3.3%. France has capped the prices of gas and electricity to 6%. Despite these efforts, Aline reports that consumer confidence has been the lowest ever since the financial crash of 2007 - 2008: Source:Source: Refinitiv, ABN AMRO Group Economics Inflation & central banks by Aline Schuiling, Price Points Live, 13.10.2022 In addition, a slight recession is expected in the third and fourth quarters of 2022 and the first quarter of 2023 in the EU and UK, despite decreasing inflation. However, the US will experience a slightly stronger economy as well as a larger bump up in 2023. Source: Refinitiv, ABN AMRO Group Economics Inflation & central banks by Aline Schuiling, Price Points Live, 13.10.2022 For price setting behaviour, these predictions matter Although some of these expectations don’t look overwhelmingly positive, central banks, businesses, retailers and e-commerce players rely on these predictions for setting prices in the near and far future. This, in turn, affects the consumer. It is vital for all businesses to be aware of these changes and on top of what the ECB expects for the Eurozone economy. Retailers who have a quick and confident response to high inflation not only survive but thrive in the years to follow: “The most resilient retailers were able to drive 11% annual growth in total return to shareholders”, McKinsey reports, between the years of the Great Recession of 2007 - 2009. This number was five times higher than their peers through to 2018. Within e-commerce and retail, there is an opportunity here to test one’s robustness. After all, if brands and retailers want to ensure long-term success, they must develop sound strategies for difficult periods and inflationary challenges. The entire recording of the event can be reviewed here.
Price Points Live: Inflation is set to decrease to 2% in 202420.10.2022
As retail awaits higher spending this festive season, brick+mortar enjoys a comeback
Inflation may be the top-of-mind issue for retail and e-commerce players alike, but a new and surprising trend that should maintain morale and a robust attitude is seeing the sharp decline in store closures in the US...
Inflation may be the top-of-mind issue for retail and e-commerce players alike, but a new and surprising trend that should maintain morale and a robust attitude is seeing the sharp decline in store closures in the US and UK. In addition, the holiday season is set to bring increased spending compared to 2020 and 2019, despite an increase in the cost of living and a decline in confidence in the markets. Adobe Analytics expects global holiday season shopping to reach €938 billion this year, making the festive season retail’s favourite time of year. Omnia takes a look at why brick-and-mortar is experiencing a smoother ride versus previous years, and what we can expect for 2022’s holiday spending. 2022 is the year brick-and-mortar rallied Two years into the global e-commerce boom that has been predicated on Covid-19 lockdowns and stay-at-home restrictions, e-commerce players have been taken aback by the sky-rocketing growth - and matched demand - for shopping online. However, now that most of the world has opened up and lockdowns are a thing of 2020, pent up demand from consumers has resulted in another trend: Brick-and-mortar stores are seeing more openings since pre-pandemic levels in 2019. Today, store openings in the US and the UK are higher than store closures, showing a surprising reversal in the years leading up to 2020. Coresight Research has tracked retail store openings and closures in the US and has seen a year-on-year 55% decrease in store closures from September 2021 to 2022. Some of the factors include overwhelming demand from consumers to get out and shop; higher demand for premium real estate spaces, such as in Manhattan, and financial incentives for tenants during the pandemic when real estate was floundering. In the US alone, 2022 has seen 5,000 new store openings, including brands like Hermes, Gap Inc and Deichmann. In the UK, PwC reports that store closures have significantly slowed down since 2020 and 2017 with an average of 34 closures per day in the first half of 2022, compared to 61 per day in 2020. Despite the successes of brick-and-mortar stores this year, the reasons and conditions for its success can’t be expected to last. As consumers return to normal, pre-pandemic life, the desire to shop won’t last, especially since inflation is the highest it's been in the US, UK and the EU in decades. In addition, since demand for high-end retail spaces has reached bidding war levels, rent will increase and financial incentives won’t be on offer anymore. For the upcoming holidays, e-commerce and brick-and-mortar will receive a welcomed boost among inflation Retail’s favourite time of year is around the corner, and festive season decorations, deals and promotions are already filling Instagram timelines, shopping aisles and Bol.com carts. With a whirlwind last two years dealing with unpredictable markets and evolving consumer behaviour, one thing remains a sturdy, reliable bench for retail to rely on: Holiday spending. Consumer spending is expected to see an increase in 2022, which bodes well for brick-and-mortar stores as well as e-commerce shops. PwC reports that consumer spending for the upcoming holidays in December will increase by 10% when compared to the same period in 2019 - the very December that saw some of the very first cases of Covid-19. Spending will increase by 20% versus spending in 2020. What else can we expect from consumers this festive season? An average of €1,472 will be spent this holiday season, which includes gifts, travel and entertainment An average of €777 will be spent on gifts; €465 on travel; and €230 The highest spender is expected to be a young male living in the city Consumers will spend more money on themselves this year as well as their families compared to previous years In terms of age groups, millennials (approximately 24 - 40-years old) will spend the most, at an average of €1,878 while Brands with loyalty cards, programs and credit cards can expect 79% of millennials to use them for their associated brands Household annual earnings more than €123,000 will likely overspend on their holiday budget by 15%, taking their holiday spending to an average of €2,840 - double that of the average mentioned above A majority of of consumers, 41%, will wait until late November for the best holiday deals The ever-surprising consumer If there’s anything retail can learn from consumer behaviour this year, it’s how resilient and robust shoppers are, despite rising living costs and a changing retail landscape. One of the attributes of the improvements and predicted successes discussed in this article are the attitudes and motivations of consumers, which remain unpredictable in the best way possible. As retail heads into the holiday season, and brick-and-mortar store openings remain steady, consumers will be watched closely for the next trend in offline and online shopping.
As retail awaits higher spending this festive season, brick+mortar enjoys a comeback19.10.2022
After rising inflation, consumers turn to credit and more debt
Inflation is not a new phenomenon that consumers, businesses, banks or e-commerce giants have had to deal with. The first time the term was used to describe an inflation of a currency was in Latin in 1838; after which...
Inflation is not a new phenomenon that consumers, businesses, banks or e-commerce giants have had to deal with. The first time the term was used to describe an inflation of a currency was in Latin in 1838; after which it became a term and a practice often used and implemented by governments. To the consumer, hearing that inflation is increasing is simply a sound call that their cost of living will increase. To businesses and e-commerce players, it’s a sign that their overhead costs and the prices of their product may have to climb the ladder too. It’s safe to say that inflation isn’t the favourite of most - consumers and businesses alike. Fast-forward to 2022 and many countries in Europe, Asia and the US are experiencing some of the highest inflation levels in decades as a culminating effect of the Covid-19 pandemic and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. In August, the UK reached a staggering high of 10.1% inflation, a number they haven’t reached in 40 years, while the Bank of England predicts that it will increase to 13% later on in the year. It was the same for France, who reached 6.1%; a 37-year high. In the same month, the EU reached 9.1% inflation. It’s been a year of much stress for the average consumer, which begs the question: With inflation on the rise all round, will people expand their debt limits? Will credit pose a risk to markets? Do inflation expectations mean anything for consumers? We’re looking at the relationship between rising inflation and increasing credit debt, and if shoppers are turning to credit to offset the sting of rising living costs. How rising inflation results in higher credit card debt It is well known that each time inflation increases, governments turn to interest rates to offset the effect on economic growth and unemployment. It’s almost as if rising inflation and increases in interest rates go hand in hand as a solution for fiscal departments the world over, and it is no different today. To sum up the chain reaction into one sentence, supply chain issues coupled with rising inflation causes higher prices in gas, food, utilities and clothing to pressure consumers into using their credit cards to make ends meet, resulting in more consumer debt and a higher dependency on borrowed money. Let’s break this down a little further: Supply chain issues. Once the pandemic began to slow down, the surge in demand for anything from Korean skincare, Italian bicycles and Swiss watches outweighed the global supply chain’s ability to meet the demand. Something as obscure as a lack of shipping containers caused massive delays on a global scale, which resulted in businesses having to find other (more expensive) ways of shipping their products. And even if they didn’t find another way, the cost of a shipping container in 2022 rose nine times the price it was in 2019 from $1100 to $9200. Following this, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine sparked massive increases in inflation around the world. Russia is the world’s number one gas exporter, and with the instability surrounding the Russia-Ukraine conflict, markets became unsteady, sending inflation sky-rocketing. As gas prices rose, so did food, home essentials, utilities and more. Salary increases cannot match this speed, so consumers turn to credit cards to assist with the monthly bills. In the US alone, credit card balances rose by $52 billion in the last quarter of 2021 alone, showing just how dependent consumers can become on credit. This is the largest quarterly increase in 22 years. UK credit card debt is set to increase by 8%, reaching a 5-year high, and it is expected to climb another 5.5% in 2023. European banks are tightening up In July, the European Central Bank conducted a survey asking banks across Europe if they had seen a loosening or tightening of credit standards, which include their internal guidelines and approval criteria. Speaking specifically about the second quarter of 2022, 153 banks responded saying that they had considerably tightened credit standards on loans to businesses and home loans due to a decrease in risk tolerance in a time of low confidence in the markets and a shaky economic outlook. However, the demand for loans increased in the second quarter and is expected to do so in the third quarter too, thanks to the increased prices of production, continued supply chain disruptions and high energy prices. Consumer credit was also tightened during the same period, with higher risk perceptions as the main reason. At the same time, the European Parliament’s Internal Market and Consumer Protection Committee has approved new rules on credit lending, credit debt, overdrafts and loans that are unsuitable for consumers’ budgets. The new rules are part of the Consumer Credit Directive (CCD) that was created 14 years ago. Quite notably, the current state of the EU economy is the first to instigate Parliament to make changes in the 14 years the CCD has been around. Creditworthiness, pricing rules and information regarding requirements have all been amended, with more restrictions to combat overwhelming debt. For example, consumers applying for a credit card or a credit increase will have to give more information regarding their financial obligations and living expenses. Banks can now use and ask for information from non-financial entities like a consumer’s smartphone contract provider or utilities companies to obtain information on their accounts. Although these changes are mostly positive for the long-run financial health of consumers, it may be stressful in the short term while they are reaching for borrowed money to get them through the month. Do inflation predictions mean anything to consumers and businesses? An essay written by Veronique de Rugy and Jack Salmon at George Mason University in the US touched on consumer expectations regarding inflation. They surmised that inflation expectations matter. Why? Because if it is known that price increases are coming tomorrow, it affects what is being spent today. If businesses can see increasing overhead and wage prices for next year, they’ll increase the price of their products this year. This is how an economy stays in the black. This sentiment is shared by the European Central Bank who published a report trying to understand consumers’ expectations of inflation, how sociodemographic factors influence those expectations, and how the role of uncertainty affects a higher or lower prediction. The report, entitled “Making sense of consumers’ inflation perceptions and expectations - the role of uncertainty”, published in the ECB Economic Bulletin of 2021, found that higher expectations of inflation and a negative economic outlook mostly came from young females that belong to lower income and educational groups. People with a more positive outlook on the economy and a lower expectation of inflation reported having more financial comfortability. Overall, the report concluded that inflation predictions and expectations from consumers are in fact important for “the monetary transmission mechanism” - In other words echoing what de Rugy and Salmon stated above, that predictions influence today’s consumer behaviour. Inflation: A necessary evil? With the EU’s tightening of credit approval processes to combat overwhelming debt, and with the understanding that inflation expectations play an important role in the present and future economies of countries around the world, we can remain hopeful that the rise in inflation is not all that bad. However, inflation is not predicted to decrease for the rest of 2022 or even into 2023, bringing rise to the fears that consumers will rely on credit more often. Understanding and dealing with inflation - as a consumer or a business - is like walking a tightrope on the edge of a mountain. As a brand or a retailer looking for space in a shopper’s cart, you’ll have to compete just that much more to get their attention and their hard-earned money. For example, a shopper will have to choose between their favourite brand of cat food versus the cheaper, maybe less nutritious brand. Or, if a consumer receives a bonus, are they going to spend it on having the latest iPhone (even though they already own one) or buying a much-needed washing machine for the very first time? This is where consumer behaviour and price elasticity meet. Learning how brands and retailers can better navigate through times of high inflation using Dynamic Pricing is something our CEO Sander Roose is passionate about. Stay posted for more business and commerce content or follow us on our LinkedIn page!
After rising inflation, consumers turn to credit and more debt21.09.2022
What can the European e-commerce industry learn from the US?
Although Europe is not in the top five e-commerce markets globally, it should not be discounted as a strong contender within the pool of the most successful e-commerce markets around the world: It's valued at $827...
Although Europe is not in the top five e-commerce markets globally, it should not be discounted as a strong contender within the pool of the most successful e-commerce markets around the world: It's valued at $827 billion in 2022, with an expected annual growth rate of 14% until 2025. After all, Germany and France follow in sixth and seventh place respectively, and one cannot ignore that the sheer size of the US market plays a large part in its success. With differences and similarities alike, what can the European e-commerce arena learn from the US? Lessons for the European and American markets Following an in-depth report created by McKinsey showing the positive impact on profits when more time, strategy and budget is allocated to retail media, it can be suggested that the European, Middle East and African regions (EMEA) should take notes from the US’s successful focus on retail media, a sector of the industry that is being led by Amazon, Target and Walmart Connect in the US. It is also a growing trend in the UK. "In 2021, retail media in the US was worth $30 billion, and retail media networks (RMNs) are growing at a 10% annual rate in the UK." But, what is retail media, exactly? This includes in-house and out-house targeted advertising for the retailer and the very brands they stock. In doing so, it reaches the very needs and wants of the customers. The type of media includes in-store advertising with digital screens, social media marketing through a retailer’s digital platforms and third-party advertising on Google. McKinsey estimates that if a retailer sets up their own RMN, their profits could increase by between 60% - 85%. In supporting this conclusion, this may also be because RMNs have access to first-party data that can target customers with relevant content instead of traditional mass marketing. Speaking of the value of first-party data, research shows that 91% of consumers are more likely to spend money on a brand that offers them deals and recommendations that are actually pertinent to them. European retailers are following North America's lead in retail media expansion with similar results. Although e-commerce penetration in Europe is slightly less than in the US (14.4% vs 15.3% of all retail sales), Western Europe is far ahead in terms of the in-store digital experience. This includes increased use of robotics and AI in retailers to improve the overall delivery and experience. For example, brick-and-mortar stores in Western Europe offer more omnichannel options like BOPIC (buy online, pick-up in-store) and roboticized item collections like Ochama in the Netherlands which uses robots to collect and package each item. In-store modernisation is more advance in Europe than in the United States. Talk to one of our consultants about dynamic pricing. Contact us How are retail markets in the EU, UK and US reacting to high inflation? Currently, retail markets in the various continents are reacting differently to high inflation. In the UK, a 40-year record high of 10.1% inflation was reached in August, which was attributed to increasing costs in energy, food, vegetables, and staple items like toilet paper and deodorant. France experienced a similarly sharp increase, reaching a rate of 6.1%, which is the country’s highest in 37 years. Surprisingly, the UK and France have been made outcasts with this statistic, as countries across Europe like Germany, Italy, as well as Canada and the US experienced a slowing down of increasing inflation in July. Furthermore, the Bank of England predicts that 10.1% will not be the worst numbers that we see - in fact, inflation in the UK may rise to 13% later in the year. Despite some positives regarding inflation in the EU mentioned above, the continent’s largest online fashion retailer, Zalando, has experienced decreases in revenue every month since the start of 2022. The Financial Times reported that Zalando has experienced a 29% drop in net cash this year to €1.6 billion. Across the Atlantic, retail sales remained steady and consistent in July and August. Although it may be incremental, retail sales increased by 0.7% across multiple categories. As the world’s largest retailer, Walmart reported strong returns despite rising inflation and described “resilient consumer spending” as the reason. Home Depot, another American retailer, has also experienced steady and increasing turnover, detailing the spending on home DIY and improvement as “incredibly high”. In fact, this last quarter ended with Home Depot achieving their highest sales and earnings ever. This shows how US consumers are investing in the homebody economy more than before, despite the almost total end of covid-19 restrictions. Other US retailers like Target and Lowe’s experienced positive returns on their shares this month too. E-commerce markets in developing countries are showing promise Other players are showing their grit as they grow. Brazil is proving to be the country with the e-commerce market with the largest annual growth rate. The Indian e-commerce market is expected to grow to $111 billion by 2025, and with a census of more than 1 billion people, the Indian e-commerce industry should be something for industry leaders to look at for investment opportunities. In 2021, Latin America saw a 25% increase in e-commerce sales from 2020. By 2023, online retail sales in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region, which includes Australia, Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Myanmar, Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, New Zealand, South Korea, Singapore, Vietnam and many more, will be a total greater than the rest of the world combined. China does fall part of this region which gives it a greater boost. Is there a clear winner? When it comes to the status as the reigning e-commerce market champion, we don’t see a clear winner between the US and the EU. Both markets flourished under the urgency and chaos of Covid-19 restrictions, however, both markets have more to learn when it comes to offering customers targeted deals and promotions. The EU shows promise of using robotics and AI in a more effective way than the US, while shoppers in the US are proving to show more resilience in the times of high inflation. Despite the competitive nature of both North America and the EU, both markets could share in the knowledge and learn valuable lessons from one another.
What can the European e-commerce industry learn from the US?18.08.2022
Faster shipping is changing demands, with retailers edging to keep up
There is a reason a retailer’s shipping or delivery method is called “the last mile”. It’s easily one of the most challenging and complicated parts of the logistical and supply chain process - and one of the most...
There is a reason a retailer’s shipping or delivery method is called “the last mile”. It’s easily one of the most challenging and complicated parts of the logistical and supply chain process - and one of the most expensive. The Millenial and Gen Z age groups are currently the largest living generations alive today, and by 2029, they will make up 72% of the world’s workforce. This makes them the number one focus group for retail leaders spanning the globe. However, people from all generations and age groups have, at some point, shopped online and experienced the various delivery and shipping methods on offer. Now that consumers are used to Amazon’s industry-setting standard of same-day delivery and even two-hour delivery in over 2,000 US locations, how willing are shoppers to pay more for fast delivery? How has delivery changed the relationship between consumers and retailers? What could we see take place in the realm of delivery advancements and technology? Will consumers pay more to get faster shipping methods? A 2021 report conducted by Omnitracs on consumer behaviour found that 65% of US shoppers are willing to spend more money to receive faster, more reliable delivery. There are three main factors that affect a consumer’s decision when choosing between speed vs cost: Their age, the urgency of the delivery and the total cost including delivery. The urgency of the purchase may involve shoppers looking to buy last-minute birthday or festive season gifts or a desirable item that the shopper has been eyeing out for some time. The total cost includes the cost of all items plus delivery. However, it isn’t just the concluding number - it’s also about the cost of delivery in relation to the cost of the item. For example, if same-day delivery is €10 on an item that only costs €30, consumers will have to weigh out if this additional cost is worth it. What’s notable about the total cost factor is that it is dependent on the first factor: Age. Statista surveyed consumers at the end of 2021 and found that depending on your age group, you’re likely to spend a certain percentage of the total order value to get faster delivery. Gen Zer’s would pay approximately 5% of the order value, while Boomers (57 - 75) would only pay 2.2%. For example, if an order totaled €100, then Gen Z shoppers are willing to pay €5 and Boomers would pay just over €2. How delivery is changing the relationship between shopper and retailer Before the e-commerce boom, when it came to getting the goods, consumers did not have a power majority. Shoppers had to physically go to the store to purchase goods, which were determined by the shop's own trading hours. In other words, retailers didn’t have to move an inch to get the consumer to come to them. Today, as e-commerce dominates global shopping with desktop web shops and mobile apps, the relationship dynamic has flipped 180 degrees: The consumer has forced the retailer to come to their homes, working shopping into their personal schedules when it suits them, or simply when they’re feeling snackish or inspired. In China alone, revenue for online retail achieved a world-first when it surpassed brick-and-mortar revenue for the first time, accounting for 52.1%. Furthermore, by the end of 2021, 54% of global sales from shopping online came from mobile apps, showing just how much the consumer has changed in the last two decades. So, with the consumer-retailer relationship evolving in such a short amount of time, retailers - from grocers to home furniture - have had to revolutionise their entire logistics and supply chains model to meet the demands of the modern consumer. When the concept of “delivery to your door” first came on the scene, consumers dealt with 3-4 day wait times, wrong or unfulfilled orders, and returns were a nightmare. However, because consumers were enjoying the convenience of home delivery so much, shoppers did not notice the mishaps and longer waiting periods for deliveries because they had nothing else to compare it to. In 2022, with next-day and same-day delivery being the norm, as well as free shipping options and a more seamless returns system, it is almost inconceivable that consumers ever patiently waited almost a full work week to receive their order. But as delivery options expanded and became more personalised, the demands of consumers grew larger. It was no longer acceptable for a retailer to not offer tracking information on a parcel, omnichannel delivery and/or pick-up options, a returns policy that benefited the consumer, and other features. Having convenience, choice, speed and customization became the crux of the choice consumers had when choosing a retailer to shop from. Because shopping from the comfort of your home not only became the norm but the law in many countries during the height of the Covid-19 pandemic, consumer behaviour and expectations shaped how retailers would survive or thrive; which has set the tone for the consumer-retailer relationship in 2022 and beyond. According to a Shopify report entitled “Future of Commerce”, 75% of consumers said that free shipping had a “very significant influence” and 60% said same-day or next-day delivery had a “significant influence” on their decision to purchase. This ultimately shows the significant power shift between the consumer and the retailer. To put it bluntly, the consumer is saying, “Show me some options I like or I’m going somewhere else.” And, in an overwhelmingly saturated and competitive market, they can. How a customer experiences delivery, either online or offline, is viewed as an extension of the retailer and is part of the personal review a customer may have when deciding when or if to shop from a particular retailer again. The same aforementioned report conducted by Shopify, which includes data from millions of Shopify stores around the world, also concludes that 74% of consumers value transparency and clarity when it comes to a store’s delivery/shipping costs and policy. A further 68% would prefer free returns and an estimated delivery time. A great way to handle this is to provide the speed, method, ship time and cost for all of your delivery options. And, notice we said delivery options because in 2022, consumers want choice just as much as they want convenience. Talk to one of our consultants about dynamic pricing. Contact us Delivery trends today and going forward Other than next-day, same-day and two-hour delivery, retailers are finding ways to utilise their brick-and-mortar stores as well as their online channels. Click-and-collect and BOPIS Because many brands and retailers have an omnichannel business model, delivery options may include click-and-collect, which is also known as BOPIS (buy online, pick up in-store) or ROPIS (reserve online, pick up in-store). These are ideal for shoppers who have ordered groceries or home goods while at work and plan on picking them up on the way home. Another new delivery method is curbside pick-up, which sees a store employee hand out pre-ordered parcels on the curb to increase convenience for shoppers and turn-around time for orders. These are all in addition to home delivery. Although consumers may not necessarily go for the option that sees them having to jump in their car, just having the option is pleasing to them. Click-and-collect may also refer to a shopper visiting the warehouse for collection as to avoid the wait time for delivery, however, this option needs to be selected before purchase so that the supply chain isn’t taken by surprise. However, the BOPIS method isn’t just a strategy to make shopping more seamless for consumers; it is also a way of increasing foot traffic. The Wall Street Journal found that 50% of shoppers opt for BOPIS and 45% of shoppers ultimately buy something else while in store. This successfully blends the demand for omnichannel shipping/delivery methods, and increases the retailer’s sales per BOPIS order. The future of delivery Consolidation after fast digitalisation is taking place at an alarmingly speedy rate, turning online stores into marketplaces into e-commerce conglomerates. There are many benefits to consolidation for big players, however, smaller businesses will need to seriously weigh out the pros and cons in the face of the company’s ethos, mission statement and long-term goals.
Faster shipping is changing demands, with retailers edging to keep up22.06.2022
Gen Z is changing and influencing buying behaviour across retail
You may have heard the terms “Generation Z” and “Millennials” as a way to describe a certain age group, however, the terms are also being used to describe a certain trend, be it in the change in spending habits or...
You may have heard the terms “Generation Z” and “Millennials” as a way to describe a certain age group, however, the terms are also being used to describe a certain trend, be it in the change in spending habits or behaviours. As e-commerce continues to mature and brick-and-mortar stores are repositioning themselves, finding creative ways to remain relevant, Gen Z is ushering in a new era of shopping for the world of retail. Although Millennials and baby boomers remain vital to retail, it is interesting to note how this younger age group, who have never known life without the internet, streaming services, apps or shopping online, are spending their money. After all, they are the future of shoppers and currently account for 20% of the market in the US, valued at $144 billion. More importantly, teenagers influence their parents to spend more than $600 billion per year globally. As we delve into the unique differences between Gen Z and Millennial spending habits; and whether influencer marketing and the concept of instant gratification is still relevant, we highlight a number of interesting facts in buying choices retailers should take onboard for the future of retail. Gen Z vs Millennial spending habits Specifically, Gen Z refers to the age group that was born in the late 1990’s and up to 2010. Today, adult Gen Zers should be between the ages of 18 - 24. Millennials, on the other hand, are people born roughly between 1986 - 1996. They should be between 26 - 35 years old in 2022. Although there aren’t that many years between the two age classifications, there are significant differences in the way they shop, make decisions and what they value. If retailers, both online and offline, are wanting to attract and retain this new era of shoppers, they’d be smart to see what makes them tick when it comes to spending. Omnichannel shoppers Despite growing up with online shopping as the norm, a McKinsey & Company study that surveyed 10,000 consumers across multiple age groups and 25 product categories found that Gen Z are in fact fans of omnichannel shopping; instead of strictly online-only. Gen Z shoppers enjoy the experience of going to physical stores as well as using their apps to make quick purchases or enjoying the ease of same-day delivery. This is good news for retailers who have an omnichannel strategy, but for those who are solely online, they will need to incentivise shopping online over the tactile and sometimes visceral experience that brick-and-mortar stores offer Gen Zers. Brand authenticity and identity It is more important for Gen Zers than Millennials to shop from brands or retailers that have a strong brand identity. It is also more valuable for Gen Zers to spend money on brands that value authenticity. This comes from a desire to stand out instead of fitting in and we see this in their choice to choose brands who focus on issues like sustainability or anti-racism instead of luxury or coolness. According to a report from First Sight, 73% of Gen Zers are happy to pay an extra 10% on an item if they know it is sustainable while for Millennials, brand names have shown to be more important than values. Sporting a jacket from Levi’s Jeans or gym apparel from Lululemon is a large motivating factor for Millennial spending choices, regardless of how the product is manufactured. This year, McKinsey did an extensive Gen Z survey to find out who they really are and how it affects companies. Below, we see how the various generations are defined and how that definition affects their consumption. Gen Z’s core behaviours are: Influencers are becoming less influential Only 10% of adult Gen Zers (aged 18 - 23) allow influencers or celebrities to inspire or sway their buying choices and although social media is still a large determining factor, 39% to be exact, it is less about a blogger or influencer posting about outfits and products and more about a brand using their social media accounts to engage with users. For example, a brand like Adidas or Fenty Skincare will reach and influence Gen Z more by creating engaging and meaningful content with their own social media pages than handing off an item or product to an influencer to include in an Instagram post. Influencers impact Millennials even less, at only 6%, and their largest motivators at 32% are online reviews, websites and blogs. Small businesses over global corporations Afterpay, a fin-tech service in the US that allows you to buy now and pay later, released their findings from January 2020 - July 2021 and found that spending at small businesses increased among Gen Zers by 268%. Millennials still make up the bulk of people who buy from small businesses, but Gen Z takes the cake for the biggest growth rate. Although thrifting, buying second hand or vintage clothing and furniture was not started by Gen Zers, it is a movement that has been accelerated by them. Because of their age group, most Gen Zers were in primary school during the global financial crash of 2008 and are just finishing high school during Covid-19. Their psyche has been heavily influenced by economic crises, which affects how and where they spend their money. The age of same-day delivery vs instant gratification There are two schools of thought surrounding how Gen Z deals with the issue of instant gratification. On the one hand, they are somewhat used to having same-day delivery, or at least next-day delivery as being the norm. On the other hand, Gen Z has shown to take more time with decision-making when it comes to buying within certain categories like clothing, footwear, and skincare products. In addition, it is easier than ever to compare prices for the same product across multiple online stores simultaneously, which is something Gen Zers love to do. According to a Drapers Bespoke study that surveyed 2,000 Gen Z and Millennial shoppers, 51% of Gen Zers find that price comparison is the biggest benefit of online shopping. However, the same study showed that 45% of Gen Zers picked “waiting for deliveries” as the most annoying thing about online shopping over “unpredictability of fit”. Often referred to as “the last mile”, delivery is likely the most expensive and most important part of the online process for retailers, and with 56% of shoppers not returning to an online store if a delivery took longer than they expected or if there were other delivery issues, the importance of this speaks volumes. This highlights that it is less about instant gratification and more about impulse control and if that impulse is not satisfied within the expected time frame, shoppers may choose to go to the next best option. Gen Zers see delivery as an extension of the retailer or brand they’ve shopped from and include it in their own personal experience. The future of e-commerce is young, but not unpredictable A November 2021 report by Bloomberg estimates Gen Z’s disposable income to be approximately €343 billion, which is an estimate that tripled in three years. As mentioned above, Gen Zers have been shaped by economic turmoil at various points in their life, making them a little more susceptible to getting a job as a teenager, getting a part-time job if they already have one, or saving as much of their earnings as they can. It also makes them a little more cautious and thoughtful about who gets their money. Brands like Estee Lauder, Coach and American Express Co. have named Gen Z as prime targets to gain their attention and loyalty, but they will need to look at what Gen Z shoppers value, like and dislike in order to turn them into customers. However, the difficult part with Gen Z is that it isn’t just one factor that they look to for buying a product - it’s every factor. It is the material used; the country of origin; the ingredients; the makeup of the company’s C-suite; the shipping methods and costs; the very packaging of each delivery; the entire carbon footprint; the way grassroots employees are paid and treated and more. The connected world of Gen z It has become the norm to stay abreast with information unlike ever before. Gen Zers, and any other generation for that matter, can find out anything they want to know by simply typing a few words into Google on their smartphones. After all, McKinsey calls this generation “True Gen” to describe one of their core values: A search for truth. Gen Zers want to tell a story with their buying choices, from clothing to skincare, and if brands want to remain relevant to this developing group of consumers, they’d be sure to take a look at how they’re being perceived.
Gen Z is changing and influencing buying behaviour across retail26.05.2022
Grey Markets: A 20-Billion Euro Industry
Over the last two decades, as the growth of e-commerce has propelled the retail industry forward, a parallel trend has taken shape: The rise of the grey market or parallel market. The expansion of online stores like...
Over the last two decades, as the growth of e-commerce has propelled the retail industry forward, a parallel trend has taken shape: The rise of the grey market or parallel market. The expansion of online stores like eBay and Amazon in the early 2000’s allowed for unauthorised resellers of the premium and luxury segment to take place, and at times having only negative effects on the brands they trade, the customer and the industry as a whole. The grey market is a sector that has operated out-of-sight from most consumers but is now taking centre stage in many consumer baskets. An estimated 8% of the €243 billion personal luxury goods market is grey. For instance, if you are looking for a pair of Ray Ban aviator sunglasses, the price is €145 on ray-ban.com. However, with a simple search on our PriceTracer platform, we found the product for the average price of €118 over all offers. From 44 vendors, 25 of them are selling this product for below the average price. Grey-market activities mainly cover two scenarios: Unauthorised third-party resellers will import a product in bulk, usually from a different market and then resell it on their online store. The second scenario features retailers like Amazon and Alibaba, whereby smaller retailers use their platform as unauthorised third-party resellers. In both cases, most have no official partnership with the brand they’re retailing and as it is most often high-end items such as designer clothing, high-end skincare and makeup, sporting brands there is a huge demand. In Germany, a top global fashion brand has 11 official, authorised resellers, however, our PriceTracer service detects 130 vendors nationwide. This means this particular brand within Germany has a grey market size of 91.5% compared to a much smaller pool of authorised sellers of 8.5%. In other cases, brands may not be aware of the size of their grey market pool. Defining grey and black markets and counterfeit goods There are two key aspects that often get muddied when looking at grey markets, namely the differences in counterfeited vs unauthorised products. Grey market activity refers to the unauthorised distribution channels where branded products are traded. The product is the real, however, it’s the unauthorised distribution channels that make it part of grey market activity. Black markets are more sinister. Black market activity includes items that are illegal to manufacture or sell. This includes both counterfeit and genuine products. Examples of black market items are exotic or protected wild animals, illegal drugs, weapons or human organs for illegal transplants. Counterfeited goods are fake products attempting to mimic the real thing. Sellers of counterfeit goods usually sell these items at a lower price point in a market that would typically not be subject to this brand’s retail strategy. Similar to some of the counterfeit makeup, electronics or sports brands sold at street markets around the world. How a product’s final price is comprised There are a number of pricing strategies that brands and retailers may use to come up with a specific number, including competitor-based pricing, cost-plus pricing, value-based, penetration, price skimming, target costing and of course dynamic pricing where everything mentioned above can even converge. Whichever one is used, the end price involves a delicate algorithm balancing the cost price, projected profit margins, inflation, marketing, logistics, employees and the market. Authorised sellers have access to and are part of the chain that links all the costs within a price together. Grey market sellers do not, on the other hand. So, when grey market sellers choose to sell a brand’s product at a much lower or higher price, it has a negative ripple effect on the brand, its customers and the market. Talk to one of our consultants about dynamic pricing. Contact us What are the ways in which brands, retailers, customers and retail as a whole are affected? Sales and margins decrease In 2016, a report by KPMG showed that the estimated value lost by products being sold through unauthorised sellers in the US amounted to $58 billion. Six years on, running parallel to the rise of e-commerce that number has surely increased. The most immediate and obvious impact is the effect on sales and profit for the brand itself as well as their manufacturers and authorised resellers. If a grey market reseller sells a product - like a pair of Nike running shoes - closer to cost price, authorised resellers will take the knock. As the grey market reseller has thickened the competitiveness by providing the exact same product at a lower price. Customers lose certain benefits Knowingly or not, if a customer buys a product from a grey market seller, there are certain things they may not receive that they would if they had chosen an authorised seller. Firstly, there is no 100% guarantee that this product is authentic. Because of the informality of the grey market industry, you cannot be absolutely certain that what you’re getting is not a knock-off product. Secondly, there are often no return policies like with most established retailers. If a product like a shoe or a dress doesn’t fit the way you’d like, you can't necessarily return it. Lastly, there is very little in the realm of customer service as one would receive going into a store or using the online chat feature in the brand or approved e-commerce outlet. Brand identity takes a knock A brand often chooses specific retailers to resell their product. For example, ASOS is an authorised reseller of Adidas. Smaller, lesser-known retailers may purchase Adidas products in bulk and start selling them on a lower price level than average without Adidas’ knowledge. This retailer may also be on the other end of the spectrum when it comes to identity and aesthetic, which can be hurtful to the brand. It is not without reason that premium brands spend a lot of money on marketing campaigns, sponsorships and events to establish a particular image in the market, which is also reflected in a certain price level of its products. Brands select authorised retailers with care that are aligned with their goals, and if a grey market seller attempts to jump on the bandwagon, it could negatively impact brand identity. Customers lose trust in the brand Grey market activity also affects the home electronics industry, with a number of global electronics and smartphone brands falling victim to copy cat merchandise. It is no surprise then that customers thinking they’ve purchased the real thing will be disappointed and rightfully disgruntled when the product stops working after a few weeks, or not at all. Customers - who unknowingly bought electronics from grey market sellers - will lose faith and trust in the brand’s product and overall stature in the market. How can brands fight against grey market resellers? Educating customers about buying from authorised sellers through their advertising and marketing strategies is not a fireproof way to get the message across to customers, but it is a start. Some brands have begun to use brand-specific stickers or tags on products to show that only legitimate products from authorised sellers will have these stickers or tags. Others are using tracking codes to see where products are going, which country they may be shipped off to and if a bulk amount was purchased. However one of the best ways to take action is to simply monitor your brand and the pricing in the market, if there are periods when the price takes a dip you will be first to know and possibly take action.
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